ry posts
FeedPosted Aug 23rd 2009 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Canadian banks are scheduled to step into the earnings spotlight this week, with third-quarter reports coming from Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO), Bank of Nova Scotia (NYSE: BNS), Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE: CM), Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY), and Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD). While Canadian banks on the whole held up better than their U.S. counterparts during the financial crisis, these five are expected to report that their earnings are still declining in the most recent quarter.
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters are looking for EPS for these banks to have fallen from 15% to 25% from a year ago. Their long-term EPS growth forecast is for between 10% and 12%, which is in the same range as U.S. rivals JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) and Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC), but better than Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) and Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C). Earnings multiples for these Canadian banks are 10x to 12x, but none of them have a First Call consensus recommendation is to buy. The Motley Fool, though, considers TD as a value stock and RY a stock poised to pop. All of them are trading much closer to their 52-week highs than lows, and shares of all are up more than 100% since March lows.
Continue reading The week in preview: Canadian banks in the earnings spotlight
Posted May 24th 2009 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Industry, AutoZone Inc (AZO)
After the Memorial Day holiday in the United States, the earnings spotlight turns to Canadian banks: Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO), Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE: CM), Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY), and Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD) are all scheduled to report their second-quarter results.
While banks north of the border of generally have held up better than their U.S. counterparts, analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect the four listed above to report that earnings declined between 20% and 30% since the same period of last year. All four have P/E ratios around 10, and they are paying dividends. Shares of all four have surged 50% to 83% in the past three months, but are still 26% to 38% lower than a year ago.
Continue reading The week in preview: Canadian and U.S. banks, and more
Posted Feb 22nd 2009 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Marvel Entertainment (MVL)
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expected the parade of earnings declines to continue into the final week of February, with Martha Stewart Living Omnimedia Inc. (NYSE: MSO), Nordstrom Inc. (NYSE: JWN), Home Depot Inc. (NYSE: HD), Wynn Resorts Ltd. (NASDAQ: WYNN), Macy's Inc. (NYSE: M), DreamWorks Animation SKG Inc. (NYSE: DWA), Limited Brands Inc. (NYSE: LTD), Target Corp. (NYSE: TGT), Royal Bank Of Canada (NYSE: RY), Del Monte Foods Co. (NASDAQ: DLM), Kohl's Corp. (NYSE: KSS), Washington Post Co. (NYSE: WPO), Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL), Gap Inc. (NYSE: GPS), Campbell Soup Co. (NYSE: CPB), RadioShack Corp. (NYSE: RSH), and H.J. Heinz Co. (NYSE: HNZ) all expected to post lower earnings for the most recent quarter. Office Depot Inc. (NYSE: ODP), Saks Inc. (NYSE: SKS), and Cooper Tire & Rubber Co. (NYSE: CTB) are expect to have swung to a loss.
Continue reading The week in preview: Eye on Marvel, KBR, First Solar, Deckers and more
Posted Nov 30th 2008 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Sears Holdings (SHLD), Toll Brothers (TOL), Smithfield Foods (SFD)
Last week, Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO), one of Canada's oldest and largest banks, reported growth in its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings. But it may be the only one that does, as at least two of the Canadian banks scheduled to report fourth-quarter numbers this week have already released preliminary results that warn of lower earnings due to debt write-downs and trading losses.
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect Toronto-based Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE: CM) to post earnings 42.6% lower than a year ago, or $1.28 per share. CIBC beat estimates by a penny in the third quarter, but missed by a penny in the period before that. The bank faces a class-action lawsuit related to investments in collateralized debt obligations consisting of U.S. subprime mortgages. Shares have climbed 20.7% from a recent 52-week low of $39.52, but are down 37.8% in the past three months.
Toronto Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD), Bank of Nova Scotia (NYSE: BNS), and Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY) are expected to report more modest earnings declines of $1.01 per share, $0.73 per share, and $0.83 per share, respectively. All three Toronto-based banks topped estimates in the third quarter. Toronto Dominion and RBC have recently announced plans to offer shares in order to raise capital. Toronto Dominion and Scotiabank have been trading near 52-week lows, and their share prices are down around 39% in the past three months. But only Toronto Dominion has a consensus buy recommendation from analysts.
Continue reading The week in preview: Canadian banks, homebuilders, Sears and food producers
Posted Aug 29th 2008 11:42AM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Analyst initiations
Analyst upgrades:
- Merriman upgraded shares of Netezza (NYSE: NZ) to Buy from Neutral following the company's solid Q2 results as they believe it is well-positioned for strong operating results heading into 2H09.
- JP Morgan raised Cabot (NYS: CBT) to Overweight from Neutral. The firm expects 2009 to be a better year given lower raw material costs and higher contract prices.
- JP Morgan also upgraded Royal Ahold (OTC: AHONY) to Overweight from Neutral on valuation.
- Liberty International (OTC: LBYIY) was upgraded to Hold from Sell at Deutsche Bank.
- BMO Capital upgraded Royal Bank (NYSE: RY) to Market Perform from Underperform and Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO) to Outperform from Market Perform.
Analyst downgrades:
- Jefferies downgraded shares of Constellation Energy (NYSE: CEG) to Underperform on Hold on concerns the company will come under increasing pressure to issue equity. The firm lowered its target to $60 from $71.
- Thomas Weisel downgraded Williams-Sonoma (NYSE: WSM) to Market Weight from Overweight citing continued macro pressures.
- Wachovia has concerns that Kayne Anderson's (NYSE: KED) book value will be pressured by its investment in ProPetro Services, trading losses associated with SemGroup, and negative developments at Quest Midstream. The firm cut shares of Kayne to Market Perform from Outperform.
- Energy Conversion (NASDAQ: ENER) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Piper.
- Deutsche Bank cut International Paper (NYSE: IP) and Domtar (NYSE: UFS) to Hold from Buy.
- H&E Equipment (NASDAQ: HEES) was lowered at Credit Suisse to Neutral from Outperform.
Analyst initiations:
- Morgan Stanley yesterday initiated Elan Corp (NYSE: ELN) with an Overweight rating. The firm sees a low-probability of a Tysabri withdrawal.
- ThinkPanmure views On Semiconductor (NASDAQ: ONNN) as a nice turnaround story with opportunities for shares gains in notebooks and consumer gaming platforms. Shares were initiated with a Buy rating and $14 target.
- Petrohawk Energy (NYSE: HK) was assumed with an Outperform rating at Morgan Keegan.
- Regency Energy (NASDAQ: RGNC) was initiated at Merrill Lynch with a Neutral rating.
Posted Aug 24th 2008 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Dell (DELL), Tiffany and Co (TIF), Sears Holdings (SHLD), Economic data
Results for the tech stocks in last week's preview were a mixed bag, some beats, some misses, some in line. By and large, expectations for tech companies reporting results this week remain high, though. Here's what analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are anticipating in the way of earnings, as compared to the same period of the previous year.
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LaBarge Inc. (AMEX:
LB): $0.27 EPS (+33.3%) on sales of $71.6 million (+10.4%)
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Dell Inc. (NASDAQ:
DELL): $0.36 EPS (+11.1%) on sales of $15.9 billion (+7.8%)
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HEICO Corp. (NYSE:
HEI): $0.46 EPS (+13.0%) on sales of $147.1 million (+10.5%)
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Novell Inc. (NASDAQ:
NOVL): $0.05 EPS (flat) on sales of $241.4 million (-0.7%)
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Continue reading The week in preview: Earnings expectations for techs, Canadian banks
Posted May 6th 2008 3:22PM by Eliza Popescu (RSS feed)
Filed under: AFLAC Inc (AFL), Options, Housing, Recession
Over the past year, we have been hearing a lot of bad news about investment banks and insurers. The slumping housing market, credit crunch and subprime mortgage troubles have been leading the headlines, so many of you are probably shying away from financial stocks as almost all the banks have been getting only bad publicity lately.
In the light of those worries about safe investments, CNNMoney is asking us to reconsider our opinions, claiming that there really are some quality stocks in these challenging financial times.
Berkshire Hathaway tops the list, mainly because of its CEO Warren Buffett, who has the experience of surviving previous recessions. While some investors may have impression that the company has a lot of tough times ahead, CNNMoney sees Berkshire with a lot of capital, which could be enough to steer it through the current economic storm. To support this argument, CNNMoney cites Keppler Asset management CIO Michael Keppler, who is convinced that Berkshire will be able to beat the difficult market.
Continue reading Berkshire Hathaway, Aflac and RBC among best financials, says CNNMoney
Posted Apr 7th 2008 2:23PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Canada, Stocks to Buy
"Almost untouched by the subprime scandal and the subsequent credit fallout, Canada's banks are strong and their risk of writeoffs are consider by most analysts as minor," notes Genia Turanova and Gregory Dorsey in Leeb's Income Performance Letter.
Here, they look at two favorites in the Canadian banking sector: Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD) and Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY).
"Toronto-Dominion and its subsidiaries, collectively known as TD Bank Financial Group, serve more than 14 million customers. The group offers a full range of financial products and services including wholesale banking securities, personal and business banking, wealth management and U.S. personal and commercial banking.
"TD Bank is looking to expand its US presence by acquiring New Jersey-based Commerce Bancorp. After the acquisition is completed, TD's US banking operations will double. As for the hot topic of all financials these days – its subprime exposure – Commerce Bancorp's $16 billion loan portfolio has no subprime exposure.
Continue reading Income expert banks on Canada
Posted Feb 8th 2008 4:19PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad news, Recession
Consumer confidence in the economy dropped even lower in February 2008, on concerns that job growth will slow and that the U.S. economy may fall into a recession, RBC Bank announced Friday,
in its monthly survey.The RBC Cash Index dropped to 48.5 in February 2008 from 56.3 in January 2008. The February 2008 stat was the index's lowest reading since the bank started the index in 2002, the bank said.
RBC (NYSE:
RY) said the February 2008 reading continues a downward trend that has persisted through the last year, with consumer sentiment fell across the board - - with concerns about the U.S. economies health and worries about job security and investing weighing on Americans.
Economist Glen Langan told BloggingStocks Friday this month's RBC survey is consistent with other polled data on the current economic mood of Americans.
Continue reading RBC consumer confidence index drops to lowest level since 2002
Posted Oct 26th 2007 9:15AM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newspapers, Magazines, ,
MAJOR PAPERS:
- A former Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY) trader alleged that some employees "miss-marked" bonds to increase profits at the New York office's investment banking unit, the Wall Street Journal reported.
- The WSJ also reported that private-equity firm J.C. Flowers & Co is in talks with UK lender Northern Rock, but has not confirmed it will launch a bid for the troubled firm wrapped up in the subprime meltdown.
OTHER PAPERS:
- The New York Times reported Merrill Lynch & Co Inc (NYSE: MER) CEO Stanley O'Neal contacted Wachovia Corporation (NYSE: WB) CEO G. Kennedy Thompson last week to discuss the possibility of a merger between the companies, according to inside sources; Merrill's board has reportedly started considering candidates to replace him.
- The Times also reported that designer Tommy Hilfiger agreed to sell his biggest clothing line exclusively at Macy's Inc (NYSE: M). Under the agreement, Mr. Hilfiger would remove his clothing lines from stores like The Bon-Ton Stores Inc (NASDAQ: BONT) and Dillard's Inc (NYSE: DDS).
Posted Oct 25th 2007 4:45PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Microsoft (MSFT), Research in Motion (RIMM), Nortel Networks (NT), Stocks to Buy
My recent Investing in Ontario post took a look at the Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY), Manulife Financial Corp. (NYSE: MFC), and Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD); three public companies examined by the Motley Fool this past summer.
However, Ontario is more than just Canada's financial center. Its abundance of resources and location on Great Lakes have made Ontario a manufacturing powerhouse, including steel production and automobile manufacturing in southern Ontario, and mining and forestry in the north. Toronto is Canada's film and media center, as well as an important tourism destination. Niagara Falls is one of world's most popular tourist destinations. Other Ontario companies the Motley Fool liked include Research in Motion Ltd. (NASDAQ: RIMM), Nortel Networks Corp. (NYSE: NT), and IMAX Corp. (NASDAQ: IMAX).
Research in Motion (RIM), Canada's largest public company, is well know for its BlackBerry smart phones, but it also provides software development tools and produces radio-based modems used in portable devices. The consensus recommendation of analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial is to buy RIM, and has been since April. RIM met analysts' earnings per share estimate when it reported second quarter FY2008 earnings in early October, and Wall Street expects EPS of 62 cents in the third quarter, double the 31 cents actual from a year ago. RIM has a five-year EPS growth rate of 73.5%, easily beating the S&P 500 and the technology sector average. RIM's share price has been climbing since a share split in August, to reach a 52-week high of $128.36 on Tuesday; it opened today at $124.75. Also this week, RIM announced plans to sell the BlackBerry in China, and introduced Facebook for the BlackBerry as well. For more on Microsoft Corp.'s (NASDAQ: MSFT) challenge to RIM and other RIM-related news, see Bloggingstocks' RIM coverage.
Continue reading Investing in Ontario: Research in Motion (RIMM), Nortel Networks (NT), and IMAX (IMAX)
Posted Oct 12th 2007 2:25PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Industry, Canada, Stocks to Buy
Its abundance of resources and location on the Great Lakes have made Ontario an economic powerhouse. Canada's capital, Ottawa can be found there, as well as its largest city, Toronto, which is also Canada's financial hub. Seven of Ontario's eight largest companies are financial institutions, and Toronto is also the home of one of the largest stock exchanges in the world. When the Motley Fool took a look at stock investment opportunities in Ontario this past June, three of the companies they focused on were financial institutions: Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY), Manulife Financial Corp. (NYSE: MFC) and Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD). Considering the credit crunch and the weakness of the U.S. dollar, I thought it might be interesting to see how those companies are faring now.
The Royal Bank of Canada, also known as RBC Financial Group, is Canada's largest financial institution. It has 1,300 domestic locations and offices in 30 countries. In September, RBC's Gord Nixon won Canada's Outstanding CEO of the Year award for 2007. More recently, RBC announced the acquisition of a Caribbean bank, and it was one of four Canadian banks affected by restructuring at VISA. With RBC's five-year earnings per share growth rate of 26.5% (better than the S&P 500), the consensus recommendation of analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial is to buy RBC, despite missing earnings expectations for the past two quarters. RBC's share price is near an all-time high on the NYSE, closing Thursday at $57.09 on the NYSE. RBC will release its next quarterly report on November 30.
Continue reading Investing in Ontario: Royal Bank of Canada (RY), Manulife Financial (MFC), Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)
Posted Apr 26th 2007 2:26PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: Deals, Competitive strategy, Citigroup Inc. (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), , Barclays plc ADS (BCS), Wells Fargo (WFC)
Now that ABN AMRO is "in a buyout limbo" between Barclays Plc. (NYSE:BCS) and a Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc. (LON: RBS) bid consortium, this brings up a situation: What will become of LaSalle Bank?
As part of the Barclays offer for ABN AMRO Holdings NV (NYSE:ABN), Barclays was going to sell LaSalle Bank to Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:BAC). That was going to finance $21 billion worth of the "record international bank merger" transaction. Since Royal Bank of Scotland (plus Santander and Fortis in the group) has joined in the bidding at a slightly higher price, the second offer is only "inclusive of LaSalle Bank."
The consortium may or may not keep LaSalle Bank in the long run, but it should at least consider the value. Under no circumstances should Bank of America be automatically assumed as the automatic winner, or at least not at the proposed price tag. The "for sale" sign is in the window at LaSalle Bank, so why not see who would be interested. A break-up fee of $200 million would be due to Bank of America if the deal changes. For such a large transaction that is not the end of the world. $200 million just isn't what it used to be.
So, who would step up to the plate outside of Bank of America? The two most obvious names inside the US are JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) and Wachovia Corp. (NYSE:WB). North of the border there is also Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE:RY), Bank of Nova Scotia (NYSE:BNS), and Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE:TD).
Continue reading What is LaSalle Bank's future after ABN AMRO?