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China learned that yuan-dollar peg is a two-edged sword

Currency exchange China, which has kept its currency, the yuan, artificially low in order to keep the cost of its exports low and promote a domestic economic boom as its nation develops, is finding that the strategy has a negative effect: domestic inflation.

Unlike market-based currencies characteristic of the foreign exchange, China's government sets the yuan's value -- allowing it to trade in a tight band, currently at about or near 7.2730 yuan to the U.S. dollar. China argues that the yuan/dollar peg is necessary to promote economic growth and protect young, developing businesses and sectors.

And the strategy is working: China has registered +10% GDP growth for more than four years; has the world's third-largest economy, in purchasing power parity terms, behind the European Union and the United States; and has generated massive trade surpluses, particularly against the U.S.

Still, the U.S. counters that the peg keeps China's goods at artificially low prices and hence gives China's companies an artificial competitive advantage in trade. China has turned aside those and other U.S. concerns, particularly the trade deficit, arguing that if the U.S. wishes to lower its trade deficit, its citizens should save more and consume less, and the U.S. government should eliminate its budget deficit.

Continue reading China learned that yuan-dollar peg is a two-edged sword

Consumer spending exceeds income in November 2007

Consumers spent more than they earned in November 2007, returning to near-decade long characteristic that has been responsible for driving a considerable portion of U.S. economic growth, the U.S Commerce Department reported Friday. Meanwhile, nominal income rose just 0.4% in November 2007, below the 0.5% estimate, the department announced. Nominal income gained 0.2% in October 2007.

Consumer spending rose 1.1% in November 2007, above the 0.9% estimate. Spending on durable goods -- such as autos, furniture and appliances -- increased 0.6%, after a 0.1% decline in October 2007. Non-durable goods spending also rose 0.6%, and services spending gained 0.5%.

Continue reading Consumer spending exceeds income in November 2007

Taj Mahal's dollar refusal symbolic of greenback's rough 2007

What international transaction perhaps best symbolizes the U.S. dollar's rough year of 2007?

Giddy British tourists with more money to spend in New York than, seemingly, Donald Trump?

How about an international attraction that won't take dollars? In November 2007, India's Taj Mahal, one of the seven wonders of the ancient world and India's most popular shrine, announced it would no longer accept the dollar, citing the greenback's weak currency status, and accept only rupees, Bloomberg News reported Thursday.

Since January 2001 or during the past six years the dollar has fallen about 55% against the euro, 35% against the British pound, and about 10% against the Japan's yen. On Thursday the dollar was mixed against the world's major currencies. The dollar gained 0.62 cents to $1.4320 against the euro and 1.50 cents to $1.9831 against the British pound, but fell 0.25 yen against Japan's yen.

When a currency, such as the dollar, declines versus another currency, that means the purchasing power of those holding the dollar declines - - a sort of 'non-legislative' tax increase. It goes without saying that most citizens, and institutions, don't like to hold currencies that decline in purchasing power.

Continue reading Taj Mahal's dollar refusal symbolic of greenback's rough 2007

U.S. dollar rises against major currencies

The dollar rose to one-week highs against the world's major currencies Wednesday, as currency traders took profits following extensive dollar declines over the past 10 weeks.

Traders said Abu Dhabi Investment Authority's $7.5 billion investment in Citigroup (NYSE: C) contributed to the trading session's pro-dollar sentiment, on the belief that deep-pocketed, patient global investors may be able to provide capital to help keep key credit markets liquid in the quarters ahead.

The dollar improved to $1.4768 against euro, to $2.0681 against the British pound, and to 109.70 yen against the Japanese yen.

Currency trader Andrew Resnick, formerly of Next Capital of New York, told BloggingStocks Wednesday that the dollar's rise should not delude one into thinking there's been a fundamental change in currency conditions:

"I see nothing changing structurally. We've got the U.S. trade deficit, a slowing U.S. economy, and the possibility of another rate cut by the Federal Reserve, so pressure will resume on the dollar," Resnick said. "We may not see as many players in the carry trade, but the long-term bias remains dollar-lower."

Continue reading U.S. dollar rises against major currencies

(Yet another) remonstration about the weak U.S. dollar

In the weeks ahead, BloggingStocks will take an in-depth look at the U.S. dollar's decline, its impact on the global and U.S. economies, as well as on job creation, trade, and investment.

Remonstrations about the weak U.S. dollar are getting to be a little bit like what Mark Twain said about the weather:

"Everyone seems to complain about the weather, but no one ever seems to be able to do anything about it," Twain said.

Similarly, everyone seems to complain about the weak U.S. dollar, but no one ever seems to be able to do anything about it.

This time it was former U.S. Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin, who Tuesday told Bloomberg News that relying on a falling currency to increase exports isn't a "sound approach" and said policies should be implemented to strengthen the dollar.

Continue reading (Yet another) remonstration about the weak U.S. dollar

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Last updated: May 28, 2012: 08:39 PM

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