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Is Satyam in play?

Over the years, IT outsourcing Satyam (NYSE: SAY) became a symbol of the innovation and growth of India. Unfortunately, with the uncovering of the billion-dollar accounting scandal, the name is now in tatters.

However, Satyam has done an impressive job in taking action to deal with the crisis. For example, the company brought in A.S. Murthy as the CEO -- a 15-year veteran of Satyam -- who has lots of credibility. At the same time, the company has also appointed Homi Khusrokhan, the former Managing Director of Tata Chemicals, and Partho Datta, the former Finance Director of the Murugappa Group as special advisors. Boston Consulting Group will also provide much-needed assistance-for free.

Continue reading Is Satyam in play?

CEO gloom at record highs

Every year, the world's elite converge on Davos, a Swiss mountain village, to discuss the world and what they want to do to it. We're not invited but we end up paying the price for the mistakes that Davos Man makes. This year, Davos Man is feeling weepy. Let's hope that doesn't lead to a year of inaction on the world's pressing problems.

PriceWaterhouseCoopers (PWC), which is now famous for not catching a fraud of epic proportions at Satyam Computer Services (NYSE: SAY), has done a survey of Davos attendees which gives a flavor for just how pessimistic they are. It found that only 20% of 1,124 CEOs in 50 nations said they were very confident about prospects for revenue growth in 2009, down from half last year, and 25% said they were pessimistic -- this is the most gloomy result since PWC began tracking the CEO outlook in 2003.

Continue reading CEO gloom at record highs

Blackstone rides the tiger and gets eaten

When the financial shenanigans were uncovered by Satyam's (NYSE: SAY) CEO, B. Ramalinga Raju, he gave a memorable quote: "It was like riding a tiger, not knowing how to get off without being eaten."

And, yes, it's also been pretty rough for many investors in India. Just look at the Blackstone Group LLP (NYSE: BX). In fact, according to Reuters, it looks like the experience has been a nightmare.

Over the past three years, Blackstone has invested about $730 million in India. Unfortunately, much of this was done at the peak of the market. Bear in mind that some of Blackstone's investments have lost 70%+ of their value.

True, India still holds lots of promise. To support its massive population, it's critical that the country find ways to grow and build its infrastructure. And, this means that there must be foreign investment.

Thus, India should rethink its investment regulations and try to loosen things up. If not, the recent losses could scare away investors for some time, ultimately crimping the long-term growth rate.

Tom Taulli is the author of various books, including The Complete M&A Handbook and The Streetsmart Guide to Short Selling: Techniques the Pros Use to Profit in Any Market. He is also the founder of BizEquity, a valuation website.

Madoff made up trades

Bernie Madoff, who wears a bullet-proof vest when he goes out thanks to his fear that someone wants to shoot him, has been getting the kind of obsessive media attention that used to be reserved for O.J. Simpson back in the 1990s. They cover the entrance to his apartment and the voyages he takes to lower Manhattan's courthouse.

Now it looks like the media has a new Madoff angle to chew on. He made up the account statements that he sent to his victims. And investigators can find no evidence that he conducted any trades. For example, one Madoff victim's November 2008 account statement showed all sorts of trades -- including the buying and selling of shares in Fidelity's Spartan US Treasury Money Market Fund. But Fidelity has no record that Madoff's firm dealt with the Fidelity unit the works with investment advisers like Madoff.

If Madoff was not making up account statements he could not have pulled off his fraud. Of course the same thing can be said for Satyam Computer Services (NYSE: SAY) and Enron. As I have posted, when you allow a company or an investment manager to write their own report card, you are just asking for trouble. Simply banning that practice and replacing it with a 100% independent group of financial statement preparers would save society uncounted misery.

Peter Cohan is president of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and is the author of You Can't Order Change: Lessons from Jim McNerney's Turnaround at Boeing. He owns Fidelity's Spartan US Treasury Money Market Fund shares and has no financial interest in the other securities mentioned.

India's Enron gives Harvard Business School another black eye

Harvard Business School (HBS) got its first black eye from Enron when an alumnus about which HBS had written gushing cases, Jeff Skilling, ended up causing one of America's biggest corporate frauds. And now Enron and HBS are joined again with the scandal at Satyam Computer Services (NYSE: SAY) -- whose stock finally opened yesterday on the NYSE and plunged 86% -- which has been dubbed India's Enron.

Satyam's founder and chairman Byrraju Ramalinga Raju is a graduate of HBS's executive education program. And HBS accounting professor Krishna G. Palepu was on Satyam's board of directors. But both of these gentlemen are gone now. And while I would have thought that Palepu would serve on Satyam's audit committee -- he opted out of that rule because of a consulting contract he had with Satyam which he felt would have compromised him had he served on the audit committee.

Palepu said he didn't learn about the fraud until after he had resigned from the company. So we are left with many questions: Why did Palepu resign if it wasn't because of the fraud? As an accounting professor, why didn't he detect problems with its books? (It would have been simple to compare Satyam's stated cash position with the content of its bank accounts). Was Palepu window dressing on Satyam's board? Did he just fly to India for the board meetings and accept his compensation or did he ask probing questions and try to understand Satyam's finances and strategy?

Continue reading India's Enron gives Harvard Business School another black eye

Stocks in the news: C, MS, AA, PFE, WIT, F, EYE, SAY, PALM, HOG

Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) may announce as early as Monday a deal to combine their retail brokerage operations. Analysts say this move, which has been in the news already Friday, could trigger a fresh wave of consolidation in the troubled and thinning banking industry. The Financial Times reported that Citi may receive $2.7 billion for 51% of Smith Barney. Other estimates put the number between $2-3 billion. CNBC reported a deal announcement is unlikely to come today. MS shares were 2.7% higher in premarket trading.
In more Citi news, The Wall Street Journal reported Citi's board is backing its CEO. Also late Friday, it was announced that Robert Rubin would retire from Citi. Citi shares traded over 2% lower in premarket action.

Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA) is set to report its fourth-quarter results after the close Monday, unofficially kicking off the earnings season. Only last week Alcoa said it would cut 13% of its workforce as well as production as demand has been severely hit by the recession and aluminum prices plummeted to about 70 cents per pound from about $1.50 per pound last summer. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters, on average, expect Alcoa to report a loss of 5 cents per share on revenue of $5.41 billion, but I've other estimates pegging Alcoa's loss at 10 cents per share.
Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank downgraded Alcoa to Sell from Hold, saying recently announced production cuts will lead to significant losses in the short term. AA shares were 4.3% lower in premarket trade.

[Update 9:15 am:
Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT) and Advanced Medical Optics (EYE) announced that Abbott would acquire Advanced Medical Optics for $22 a share, or about $2.8 billion including debt. The per share price is more than double the closing price of $8.85 on Jan. 9. ABT shares were 1% lower in premarket, but EYE shares were over 144% higher in premarket trade.]

Continue reading Stocks in the news: C, MS, AA, PFE, WIT, F, EYE, SAY, PALM, HOG

Earnings highlights: Time Warner, Satyam, Google, KB Home, Mosaic and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

For more earnings highlights, see Intel, Walmart, Chevron, Family Dollar, Monsanto and others

Upcoming earnings releases include Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA), Infosys (NASDAQ: INFY), Linear Technologies (NASDAQ: LLTC) , Xilinx (NASDAQ: XLNX), Genentech (NYSE: DNA), Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), Marshall & Ilsley (NYSE: MI), Sealy (NYSE: ZZ), Johnson Controls (NYSE: JCI).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

Stocks in the news: CVX, YHOO, KBH, BBY, COH, SBL, HAL, PALM ...

Chevron (NYSE: CVX) warned late Thursday of significantly lower fourth-quarter earnings than in the previous quarter. This isn't surprising as there has been a steep drop in energy prices from the record oil prices in the prior quarter. Chevron also said it experienced narrower refining margins, but didn't give any estimates.

Yahoo (NASDAQ: YHOO) may be naming a new CEO as soon as next week, according to The Wall Street Journal. Ex-Autodesk CEO Carol Bartz is the leading candidate. YHOO shares traded 3.7% higher in premarket action.

KB Home (NYSE: KBH) reported total revenues for the fourth quarter ended November 30, 2008 were $919.0 million, down from $2.07 billion for the year-earlier quarter, and a net loss of $307.3 million, or $3.96 per diluted share. Analysts had expected a fourth-quarter loss -- excluding any charges -- of $1.23 a share. KBH shares were nearly 3% higher in premarket trade.

Continue reading Stocks in the news: CVX, YHOO, KBH, BBY, COH, SBL, HAL, PALM ...

Satyam: 'India's Enron'

Satyam Computer Services (NYSE: SAY) has not opened for trading today but it was down 91% in "pre-market." When you hear why, you'll realize that Satyam could be India's version of Enron. There were glimmers of trouble a few weeks ago when Satyam's chairman, Ramalinga Raju, unilaterally decided to buy his son's construction companies -- Maytas Properties Ltd. and Maytas Infra Ltd -- but when the stock collapsed after the announcement, he pulled back within 12 hours.

While that was bad enough, the biggest shocker came today when Raju resigned after announcing that he had faked Satyam's numbers for several years. It turns out that the reason he wanted to buy those construction companies was to plug the $1.03 billion gap between the falsely accounted for and real cash on Satyam's books.

Here's an irony: the word Satyam means "truth" in Sanskrit. And when the truth came out, Satyam got into a rapidly cascading wave of troubles. First, shareholders blocked his asset purchases, then the World Bank banned Satyam from bidding for orders for eight years, alleging that improper benefits were given to World Bank employees. Then four directors quit, and finally, Raju quit the company and announced his fraud.

Continue reading Satyam: 'India's Enron'

Closing Bell: Dow closes down 245 points; AA, BAC, INTC, SAY

Today's equity markets were looking weak from the start, and the horrible ADP jobs data took care of the rest. T. Boone Pickens calling for the possibility of $100 oil again failed to prevent oil's retreat by more than $5 a barrel today after a brief cease-fire took place in Gaza.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:
DJIA: 8,769.70 -245.40 -2.72%
NASDAQ: 1,599.06 -53.32 -3.23%
S&P 500: 906.65 -28.05 -3.00%
Top Analyst Upgrades
Top Analyst Downgrades

Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA) was down sharply on bad news of its own, with shares declining 10% at $10.88 late in the day. Alcoa announced that it was cutting 13% of its workforce and streamlining its manufacturing after selling off units.

Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) was down almost 2% at $14.01 late in the day after being slammed by Oppenheimer's Meredith Whitney as one of the bank stocks which would likely have to raise capital this year. This is despite the firm's confirmed sale of a stake in China Construction Bank Corp.

Continue reading Closing Bell: Dow closes down 245 points; AA, BAC, INTC, SAY

Options Update: Satyam volatility elevated; shares collapse on accounting fraud

Satyam (NYSE: SAY) is recently trading at $1.44 in pre-open trading, below its close of $9.35. SAY Chairman Ramalinga Raju resigned after saying he falsified earnings and assets at India's fourth-largest software services provider. SAY January option implied volatility closed at 121, February at 114; above its 26-week average of 87, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Infosys (NASDAQ: INFY), a technology services firm based in India, closed at $26.60. INFY is scheduled to report Q3 EPS on January 12. INFY January 27.5 straddle is priced at $2.80, February 27.5 straddle is priced at $4.90. February option implied volatility of 63 is near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Wipro Ltd (NYSE: WIT), a technology services company based in India, closed at $8.41. WIT is expected to report Q3 EPS in mid January. WIT February call option implied volatility is at 78, puts are at 86; near its 26-week average of 80, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Stocks in the news: AA, BAC, SAY, MON, DOW, ROH, AAPL, INTC ...

Alcoa, Inc. (NYSE: AA), the aluminum maker giant and a Dow component, said late Tuesday it will cut 13,500 jobs, or 13% of its global workforce, as well as reduce aluminum production by an additional 135,000 metric tons per year, lowering output by 18% annually. Alcoa has been hit by the auto industry slowdown among other things and this is designed as cost-saving move to offset the declining demand. AA shares traded over 5% in premarket action at 7:30 am. AA shares traded 8% lower about an hour after open.

Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) sold part of its stake in China Construction Bank Ltd., China's second-biggest commercial lender, for $2.8 billion. BAC reduced its stake form 19.1% to 16.6%. Despite the $15 billion bailout money it received from the government, it seems BAC needs more money to cope with the worst financial crisis for banks since the 1930s. BAC shares were over 1% lower in premarket tade at 7:38 am. BAC shares were 2.5% lower around 10:20 am.

Satyam Computer Sciences (NYSE: SAY) shares crashed 84.5% in premarket trading at 7:45 am after the software firm announced it had falsified accounts and assets for years and inflated cash and bank balances by more than $1 billion, leading the group's founder and chairman to quit. Credit Suisse said it was suspending its coverage of Satyam.

Continue reading Stocks in the news: AA, BAC, SAY, MON, DOW, ROH, AAPL, INTC ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AAPL, AXP, AMZN, KSU, IPG

Analyst upgrades:
  • UBS upgraded Kansas City Southern (NYSE:KSU) to Buy from Neutral and lowered its target to $26 from $35 citing valuation.
  • Gabelli upgraded Media General (NYSE:MEG) to Hold from Sell because the firm thinks that Harbinger Capital has sold most of its shares in the company. As a result, the firm thinks the stock will be under less selling pressure.
  • Eagle Bulk Shipping (NASDAQ:EGLE) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Merrill Lynch.
  • Centene (NYSE:CNC) was raised to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
  • Ralcorp (NYSE:RAH) was upgraded at Credit Suisse to Outperform from Neutral.
  • Interpublic Group (NYSE:IPG) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Morgan Stanley.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Keefe Bruyette downgraded Healthcare Realty(NYSE:HR) to Market Perform from Outperform on concerns the company's development activity could be dilutive to near-term earnings.
  • Citigroup downgraded Satyam (NYSE:SAY) to Sell from Buy as they believe the company's acquisition plans, and subsequent cancellation of the deals, will lessen investor confidence in the name.
  • Oppenheimer downgraded Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) to Perform from Outperform citing Steve Jobs cancellation of his annual key note speech at Macworld on January 6. The analyst said the unexpected announcement underscores Apple's long-term dependence on Job's health and its lack of succession plan.
  • Baird downgraded Carlisle NYSE:CSL)to Neutral from Outperform.
  • Gibraltar Industries (NASDAQ:ROCK) was downgraded at Piper Jaffray to Sell from Buy.
  • NetApp (NASDAQ:NTAP) was cut to Accumulate from Buy at ThinkPanmure.
Analyst initiations:
  • Citigroup believes the acquisition of Barr enhances Teva's (NASDAQ:TEVA) growth. The firm started shares with a Buy rating and $52 target.
  • Suntrust initiated American Express (NYSE:AXP) with a Reduce citing slowing growth and greater-than-industry deterioration in credit quality.
  • Roth Capital initiated The Buckle (NYSE:BKE) with a Hold rating and $17 target citing the deteriorating macro environment.
  • Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Allegheny Tech (NYSE:ATI) were assumed with Neutral ratings and targets of $52 and $26, respectively, at UBS.
  • Digital Realty (NYSE:DLR) was initiated at Piper Jaffray with a Buy rating.
  • Mylan (NYSE:MYL) was started with an Overweight rating and $15 target at JP Morgan.

Options Update: Volatility elevated for India-based companies; IBN, SAY, INFY, WIT

ICICI Bank (NYSE: IBN), India's second largest bank IBN, closed at $13.21 Wednesday. IBN December option implied volatility of 143 is above its 26-week average of 82 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Infosys (NASDAQ: INFY), a technology services firm based in India, closed at $24.31 Wednesday. INFY December option implied volatility of 91 is above its 26-week average of 59 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Satyam Computer Services (NYSE: SAY), a technology solution provider based in India, closed at $12.62 Wednesday. SAY over all option implied volatility of 85 is above its 26-week average of 76 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price fluctuations.

Wipro Ltd (NYSE: WIT), a technology services company based in India, closed at $7.47 Wednesday. WIT over all option implied volatility of 83 is above its 26-week average of 71 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

The Sensex rose 0.7 percent to 9,092.72 at the close in Mumbai India, the highest in almost two weeks.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

The week in preview: Mulling over techs, financials

The earnings crunch begins in earnest this coming week, with companies from Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) and PepsiCo Inc. (NYSE: PEP) to Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE: LUV) and Harley-Davidson Inc. (NYSE: HOG) scheduled to report results for the quarter just ended. But with the ongoing turmoil in the markets, much attention is on the tech and financial sectors. This week will provide plenty to mull over on both counts.

Wall Street expectations for tech stocks are fairly optimistic. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are looking for chip maker Altera Corp. (NASDAQ: ALTR) and software/service company iGate Corp. (NASDAQ: IGTE) to be the sector's biggest earnings gainers of the week. Altera is expected to report earnings of 30 cents per share (up 33.3% from a year ago) on revenue of $355.1 million. Altera had previously forecast flat sales for the quarter, and shares fell to a 52-week low last week. iGate is expected to report earnings of 14 cents per share (up 42.9%) on revenue of $55.6 million. India-based iGate recently spun off its Mastech consulting services. Shares are down 45.0% in the past three months, and also reached a new 52-week low last week.

San Jose-based Novellus Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: NVLS), on the other hand, is expected to report that net income tumbled 90.4% from a year ago to 4 cents per share, on revenue of $245.6 million. Novellus fell to a 52-week low early last week, and shares are down 44.5% year to date.

Continue reading The week in preview: Mulling over techs, financials

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IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+17.4610,023.42
NASDAQ+7.122,112.44
S&P 500+2.671,069.30

Last updated: November 08, 2009: 11:40 PM

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