shorts posts
FeedPosted Jun 26th 2009 3:30PM by Joseph Lazzaro (RSS feed)
Filed under: McDonald's (MCD), Fortune Brands (FO), Stocks to Sell
Investor and trader Mishko Janusevich had a mantra that he used to repeat while outlining the top, new stock shorts that appeared that day, as determined by technical indicators.
He would stand next to the overhead projected stock chart at the front of the trading room, point to the stock chart and recite, "You see this stock? You see that it's dropped $8 in past two days? You think it can't drop any more? SELL THAT STOCK it's dropping more!!"
Short these shares if you can tolerate high-risk and are an experienced investor that does not remove Buy/Stop Losses:
Continue reading Short City: McDonald's, Fortune Brands
Posted Feb 18th 2009 2:50PM by Timothy Sykes (RSS feed)
Filed under: Google (GOOG), Apple Inc (AAPL), Dell (DELL), General Electric (GE), Amazon.com (AMZN), General Motors (GM), Hansen Natural (HANS), Short stories, Schlumberger Limited (SLB), Bank of America (BAC), Chevron Corp (CVX), Morgan Stanley (MS), Stocks to Sell

These are not the only signs, just a few examples of when to bet against a company, all of which would have worked out great over the past year:
1. Right when management admits a massive fraud over many years,
Satyam Computer Services (
SAY)
2. Companies lie about the health of management:
Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:
AAPL)
3. Arrogance and greed blinds management to excessive risk-taking:
General Electric Co. (NYSE:
GE),
Citigroup (NYSE:
C),
Morgan Stanley (NYSE:
MS),
Bank of America (NYSE:
BAC),
General Motors Corp. (NYSE:
GM)-pick an over-leveraged financial, any financial...and yes, considering all the messy financial instruments these companies took on, they are all financial stocks.
Continue reading Seven signs you should short sell a stock
Posted Feb 18th 2009 9:30AM by Sam Collins (RSS feed)
Filed under: Technical Analysis, DJIA

With turmoil in virtually every equity market, caused by the uncertainty of the world's economies, there was a rush for the exits Tuesday. But negative breadth of 14-to-1 on the New York Stock Exchange -- with just 1.6 billion shares traded -- is usually not the mark of a breakdown but of an emotional selling climax.
Yesterday, the Dow's close came within just 0.31 of the index's lowest close made on Nov. 20 at 7,552.29, with decliners on that day ahead by 15-to-1. Curiously, on that day the Nasdaq recorded breadth of 6-to-1 compared to a negative 5-to-1 yesterday.
Continue reading Today's technical outlook: Watch out for a bear trap
Posted Oct 1st 2008 9:00AM by Jim Cramer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Ford Motor (F), General Motors (GM), Short stories, Market matters, Citigroup Inc. (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Federal Natl Mtge (FNM), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS), Amer Intl Group (AIG), , Wells Fargo (WFC), Cramer on BloggingStocks, U.S. Bancorp (USB)
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says if you're short, you don't want the bill passed. Let's look at that perspective. First, let's make an important point: Nothing from Congress is going to make this market go up. We need the market go up because it is cheap and it attracts buyers, and because there are companies out there that are worth more than they are trading at -- perhaps as private companies, perhaps as investments right now, if anyone had cash and confidence.
Right now it seems there is neither. All we have are the futures, on stocks and on oil, and they bounce around and we do what they tell us at the start. Then the hedge funds come in and start selling because of their broken models and their redemptions. Then the short-sellers come in and figure out ways to knock down things. Then the rumors start about another bank failure and then we go down.
I want to break that spiral because I own stocks. If I am short stocks, I love the spiral.
Now, the bill in Congress does not break the spiral by any means. What breaks the spiral is a sense that the system is not falling apart, which it most certainly is.
Anything that could help break that spiral is encouraging. Consider that we had the equivalent of Pearl Harbor -- the collapse of so many banks -- and now we need an effective response, which must be massive and persuasive.
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Short-seller's paradise
Posted Sep 9th 2008 10:45AM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades
Two days before its second-quarter earnings report, lululemon athletica inc. (NASDAQ: LULU) was hit this morning with a steep price-target cut. RBC slashed its price target on LULU from $47 to $30, noting "a 200 basis-point increase in our cost of equity assumption." The analysts tempered their bearish note by reiterating an Outperform rating on the shares.
The brokerage firm's downwardly revised target represents a 64% premium to the stock's closing price Monday. By contrast, the average 12-month price target on LULU is $39.72, according to Thomson Financial. This consensus estimate is 117% higher than yesterday's close, which seems to indicate that further price-target cuts could be in the offing, particularly if second-quarter earnings fail to impress.
During the past four quarters, First Call reports that lululemon has met or exceeded analysts' per-share profit expectations every time. However, it's safe to say that nobody on Wall Street was particularly impressed by LULU's last quarterly earnings report. Since the company announced inline earnings of 12 cents per share on June 2, its shares have shed 43% of their value. Even more compelling, institutional investors have reduced their stake in LULU by a net total of 5% since last quarter.
Continue reading lululemon smacked with price-target cut ahead of earnings
Posted Aug 13th 2008 9:24AM by Jim Cramer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Industry, Market matters, , Federal Natl Mtge (FNM), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Amer Intl Group (AIG), , Cramer on BloggingStocks
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says struggling banks can be shorted to oblivion now that the rules won't be enforced. Memo to the FDIC: Watch your back. The SEC just flipped its allegiance to the bad guys, the guys who want to break not just certain banks, but your bank! That's right, with the scrapping of the emergency rule that eliminated naked shorting, where you don't have to find the stock, and with the end of the vigilance against bear raiding, the SEC may have just caused a run at the FDIC.
I had hoped that the SEC would see that these financials have been manipulated to unreasonable levels, making the confidence in all institutions so low that nobody wanted to give them money. The rule change -- which when you think of it, wasn't much of a rule change as much as an enforcement of the way things are supposed to be, where you actually have to find the stock you sold short first so you don't fail to deliver -- worked!
It gave the system some breathing room. I think the rule change might have saved
Merrill Lynch (NYSE:
MER) (
Cramer's Take) from being shorted into oblivion so it couldn't have done its deal.
Lehman (NYSE:
LEH) (
Cramer's Take) didn't do a deal, those bad boys be back on the griddle now for unknown European exposure.
AIG (NYSE:
AIG) (
Cramer's Take) wasn't protected in the first place and I believe will need to raise $10 billion to $15 billion in the teens to cover its European exposure. Now there's little hope at all for
Fannie (NYSE:
FNM) (
Cramer's Take) or
Freddie (NYSE:
FRE) (
Cramer's Take), as their stocks will be blitzed into oblivion and Hank Paulson will have to start the planning of cash infusions as opposed to what he said last Sunday -- why did he say that, for heaven's sake? Maybe he's too close to John "We don't need capital" Thain from their
Goldman (NYSE:
GS) (
Cramer's Take) days.
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: SEC paints a target on Downey and its ilk
Posted Aug 12th 2008 9:42AM by Elizabeth Harrow (RSS feed)
Filed under: Major movement, Earnings reports
Fossil, Inc. (NASDAQ: FOSL), the maker of watches and trendy apparel, surprised the Street this morning with stronger-than-expected second-quarter earnings. The retailer multiplied the positive momentum by boosting its full-year forecast. This double dose of good news has sent shares of Fossil more than 8% higher in early-morning trading.
For the recently concluded quarter, net income soared 71% to $25.1 million, or 36 cents per share, while net sales jumped 15% to $353.2 million. The results exceeded Fossil's own forecast, provided in May, for a profit of 29 cents per share on sales growth of 12% to 14%. Analysts had even more modest expectations, with the consensus calling for a profit of 25 cents per share on $346.9 million in revenue.
Digging deeper into the second-quarter figures, gross margin rose from 49.1% to 53.9%, thanks to cost-cutting initiatives and inventory management. Same-store sales climbed 5.7%, while direct-to-consumer sales surged 25%. Domestic watch sales grew by 2.3%, and international wholesale sales rose 20% (or 9.5%, excluding currency fluctuations).
Continue reading Fossil, Inc. (FOSL) catches the shorts off-guard with strong 2Q report
Posted Jul 25th 2008 2:01PM by Melly Alazraki (RSS feed)
Filed under: Market matters, Commodities, Oil
There are many factors that affect oil prices. Fundamental factors such as global supply and demand and dollar moves are often cited. But many also say that traders play a big role in affecting oil prices fluctuations. No doubt, fundamentals are behind oil's long-term uptrend. And it is the dollar's weakness of the past few years that has supported the trend. But short term? Could traders' short covering be the reason behind oil's recent run-up to nearly $150 a barrel?
Perhaps, but that's behind us. Oil prices have
retreated more than $20 dollars since. What caused that? Have the fundamentals changed? Some say global demand is bound to slow as the global economy weakens, but others say supply concerns due to geopolitical unrest are also growing. Has the dollar strengthened? A little, but then it declined right back Thursday after a housing report showed recovery is still far off. And what about traders?
Well, here's where
The Wall Street Journal as well as
Reuters bring an interesting theory. They say that the rise and fall in oil prices coincided with energy company SemGroup L.P.'s (mis)fortunes. SemGroup is a little known private company that transports, stores and distributes crude oil and refined products. It is also the parent of pipeline operator
SemGroup Energy Partners L.P. (NADSAQ:
SGLP). SemGroup L.P. filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection Tuesday. According to the
Journal, "Changes in its hedging strategies coincided with big moves in oil recently."
Continue reading Has SemGroup caused the recent oil runup and selloff?
Posted Jul 25th 2008 9:55AM by Jim Cramer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Industry, Market matters, Citigroup Inc. (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Chesapeake Energy (CHK), , Wells Fargo (WFC), , Cramer on BloggingStocks, U.S. Bancorp (USB)
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says we're back in the same predicament, and more bank runs could be the result. No one did a deal. The financials rallied gigantically, there was tremendous enthusiasm, and yet no bank was ready with an offering. It is amazing, especially when you consider that the natural gas companies, like
Chesapeake Energy (NYSE:
CHK) (
Cramer's Take) and
XTO Energy (NYSE:
XTO) (
Cramer's Take) were ready, despite horrible declines in their stocks.
The moment that
Citigroup (NYSE:
C) (
Cramer's Take) got through $20 or
Merrill (NYSE:
MER) (
Cramer's Take) through $30 or
Lehman (NYSE:
LEH) (
Cramer's Take) through $20, they should have peddled billions more in preferred stock or even common stock.
Just spot 'em right out there. For about a week, people decided the rally could - and would - last if these banks had built up some fortresses. They didn't.
And that's why we are back in the same predicament. I don't want to write here which bank is next to fail. There are enough of them (particularly one that just changed its CEO) that the FDIC will have to have a plan to keep the bad loans and sell the banks, maybe not even with the branches because all that's worth anything is the deposits.
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Banks fail to raise money when they could
Posted Jul 22nd 2008 8:41AM by Jim Cramer (RSS feed)
Filed under: Short stories, Market matters, Citigroup Inc. (C), American Express (AXP), , Options, , Cramer on BloggingStocks
TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says they're not just the opposite of longs -- they have the power to destroy companies. Today will be riotously ugly. Today's a day where you could take down a
Capital One (NYSE:
COF) (
Cramer's Take) or a
Citigroup (NYSE:
C) (
Cramer's Take) -- some bad credit card exposure there -- off of
American Express (NYSE:
AXP) (
Cramer's Take). You can bang down
Nat City (NYSE:
NCC) (
Cramer's Take) into oblivionville off of it and hammer
Merrill Lynch (NYSE:
MER) (
Cramer's Take) to the point where you could hear the rumors fly of capital needs.
Freddie (NYSE:
FRE) (
Cramer's Take), merciless Freddie, right at ya. Today's the day when the uptick rule would be the only friend to the notion of owning stocks without fear every minute, fear that they will break your stock. Today's the day that the uptick rule can save
Lehman (NYSE:
LEH) (
Cramer's Take) from $14 or lower. Today's why we need it.
Yet, every time I do a piece that talks about the need to reinstate the uptick rule or enforce the naked short laws, I am immediately greeted with the same nonsense: why should the longs get protection the shorts shouldn't? In fact, other than the usual gang of two -- Patrick Byrne and David Patch -- I don't get any positive feedback on these pieces like the one I did last night on "Mad Money."
Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Shorts are not and should not be equal
Posted Jun 6th 2008 10:00AM by Douglas McIntyre (RSS feed)
Filed under: General Electric (GE), US Airways Group (LCC), United Technologies (UTX)
How the mighty have fallen, at least in the stock market. GE (NYSE: GE) trades near a 52-week low at $31.
Now, short sellers have added insult to injury. The short interest in GE has moved up 11 million to 68.7 million between May 15 and May 30. That percent increase is almost as high as the jump in the short interest at US Air (NYSE: LCC).
The fact that so many shares are bet that GE will fall further is extraordinary. The company still holds one of the best credit ratings of any corporation in the US. Its infrastructure business, the firm's largest division, continues to do remarkably well.
But investors are assuming that GE's industrial, medical and financial operations could have more bad quarters ahead of them.
Shares in rival conglomerate United Technologies (NYSE: UTX) have far outperformed GE during the last year.
That says a mouthful.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
Posted Apr 30th 2008 4:01PM by Zac Bissonnette (RSS feed)
Filed under: Scandals, JPMorgan Chase (JPM),
Connecticut Senator Chris Dodd has joined the baloney brigade -- the term Gary Weiss coined for the tinfoil hat crowd of conspiracy theorists who blame corporate problems on short-sellers.
Referring to the collapse of Bear Stearns, which some have blamed on shorts, Senator Dodd
said that "This goes beyond rumors. This is about collusion."
Hold up. So Bear Stearns didn't collapse because of massive losses and a balance sheet like something out of a 1950s horror movie? No, apparently not. Bear Stearns collapsed because short sellers were betting it would collapse.
But isn't that like saying that the Patriots lost the Super Bowl because people bet against them in Las Vegas? The soaring short interest in Bear Stearns was an indicator of the company's problems, not a cause of them. The fact that JPMorgan needed guarantees from the Federal Reserve to acquire the company is proof of that.
Posted Nov 23rd 2007 2:42PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: General Electric (GE), Short stories, Advanced Micro Dev (AMD), Corning Inc (GLW), , EMC Corp (EMC), Qwest Communications Intl (Q)
It is usually an interesting read to see what is going on in overall NYSE, AMEX, and NASDAQ short selling. Today we looked over various short interest reports based upon November 15, 2007, on the NYSE, which is fresh data for U.S. traders because of the Thanksgiving holiday. The
total NYSE Short Interest went up from 11.932 billion shares on October 31 up to 12.387 billion shares as of November 15. This is the second increase in a row but within recent month data.
Below is a summary of some key NYSE short interest changes:
Stock (Ticker) 11/15/2007 10/31/2007 %Change
Corning (NYSE: GLW) 12,678,622 16,112,839 -21.31%
EMC (NYSE: EMC) 50,028,872 61,281,674 -18.36%
VMware (NYSE: VMW) 11,681,831 10,440,110 +11.89%
There were also many key net share changes in short interest, and here are a few of the key names:
Stock (Ticker) 11/15/2007 10/31/2007 Net Change
CVS Caremark (NYSE: CVS) 67,661,461 37,871,140 +29,790,321
Mirant Corp (NYSE: MIR) 50,241,294 23,796,710 +26,444,584
Qwest Comm. (NYSE: Q) 66,747,528 82,000,170 -15,252,642
General Electric(NYSE: GE) 61,608,091 66,708,279 -5,100,188
Out of financials, Countrywide Financial NYSE:CFC) led the charge with more than 112 million shares. Here are some expanded short interest notes:
Posted Nov 23rd 2007 11:02AM by Douglas McIntyre (RSS feed)
Filed under: Short stories, , , , Wells Fargo (WFC)
A review of the short interest in stocks traded on the New York Stock Exchange shows that some investors are willing to bet that shares in big financial institutions may go ever lower.
The figures from the exchange take the short interest in companies on November 15 and compare it to the numbers from October 31.
The short interest in Countrywide Financial (NYSE: CFC) moved up 5.5 million shares to 112.5 million. It was the second most-shorted stock listed on the NYSE. In the last five trading days, the stock has moved from above $12 to below $9, so traders may have already made some money. Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) saw a sharp increase in shares sold short, up 12.3 million to 74.6 million. Trading in the stock over the last five days has made that bet look good. And, short sellers may hold their positions for a while longer, hoping for more bad news from the sector.
Wall Street's shorts also moved into positions that assume shares in commercial banks could sell off more. Shares sold short in Wachovia (NYSE: WB) spiked almost 7 million to 37 million, and the short interest in Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) moved up almost 6 million to 53.7 million.
If more mortgage-related write-offs come out of the financial services industry, the gambles against stocks in the sector will pay off handsomely.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
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