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Options Update: Sara Lee January volatility flat into personal care sale

Sara Lee (NYSE: SLE) closed at $10.54. Unilever (NYSE: UN) agreed to buy SLE's personal-care and European detergent unit for $1.88 billion. SLE's board of directors authorized a $1 billion share repurchase program. SLE October option implied volatility is at 39, November is at 38; near its 26-week average of 38 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

MSCI Brazil Index (NYSE: EWZ) is recently up 37 cents to $65.04 in pre-open trading. Brazil Bovespa Stock Index is up 0.1%. EWZ call option volume of 14,379 contracts compares to put volume of 22,765 contracts. EWZ October option implied volatility is at 37, October and January is at 38; below its 26-week average of 45, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Options Update: Perot Systems volume up into Dell's $3.9 billion acquisition

Dell (NASDAQ: DELL) will commence an offer to acquire Perot Systems (NYSE: PER) for $30 per share in cash. DELL expects the transaction to be accretive to DELL's GAAP earnings in its fiscal year 2012. PER options were active last week, with 2,549 contracts trading on September 18, the most active day since July 2002. PER over all option implied volatility of 48 is above its 26-week average of 36, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Sara Lee (NYSE: SLE) closed at $10.68. SLE October option implied volatility of 34 is near its 26-week average of 36. SLE options were active on September 18 with 17,563 contracts trading according to Track Data.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Earnings highlights: Blockbuster, Walmart, Applied Materials, ING, Priceline ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Blockbuster, Walmart, Applied Materials, ING, Priceline ...

Sara Lee (SLE) beats the Street by a nickel

Sara Lee chocolate puddingMaker of tasty pastries, lunch meat, and shoe polish (?) Sara Lee Corp. (NYSE: SLE) surprised Wall Street this morning when it reported a fourth-quarter loss of $14 million, or two cents per share. Last year in the same reporting period, SLE lost $672 million, or 95 cents per share.

Not only were these numbers an improvement on a year-over-year basis, but they topped analysts' expectations as well. Excluding charges related in part to its Spanish bakery business, the firm banked 29 cents per share, topping per-share estimates of 24 cents. Revenue was off 10% during the quarter to $3.16 billion.

Continue reading Sara Lee (SLE) beats the Street by a nickel

The week in preview: Eye on retail -- Walmart, Macy's, Blockbuster ...

Last week offered mixed messages about whether an economic recovery is indeed underway. The unemployment figures were not as bad as feared, but July sales numbers were nothing to write home about, despite the wild popularity of the so-called cash-for-clunkers program.

The question is, where has consumer confidence (and consumer spending) been? Retail is a good place to look, and as it turns out, this week several shopping mall and strip mall favorites will be reporting earnings for the most recent quarter.

Continue reading The week in preview: Eye on retail -- Walmart, Macy's, Blockbuster ...

Earnings trade #3 -- Sara Lee (SLE)

sara lee earnings tradeDon't look now, but Sara Lee (NYSE: SLE) is up about 20% in the past month. People gotta eat, and, thanks to the recession, they're opting to eat at home more often.

Sara Lee reports earnings on August 12, and analysts expect earnings per share to be 5 cents less than a year ago. Last quarter, the company blew out the estimate by nearly 40%.

With sentiment mixed (only a third of analysts rate the shares a "buy"), another beat this quarter should keep the rally intact.

Buy SLE call options.

Next: Earnings Trade #4

Win the earnings game with these four trades

earnings tradesBeating the Street at the earnings game is all about knowing the market's true expectations for a stock.

Knowing the market's expectations -- not just the analyst expectations -- for a stock will often provide the edge necessary to turn earnings season into a profit opportunity.

The more data and trends you can look at to determine not only what investors expect, but also how investors are positioning themselves for the expected move, the better.

Continue reading Win the earnings game with these four trades

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ANF, YHOO, X, SLE, OSK ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Deutsche Bank upgraded Portland General Electric (NYSE: POR) to Buy from Hold on valuation as it finds the risk/reward on shares attractive at current levels. The firm raised its target price to $22 from $20.
  • FBR Capital upgraded Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) to Outperform from Market Perform after channel checks indicated recent sales are driving increased traffic and easing market share losses. The firm raised its target price on shares to $37 from $21.
  • Barclays upgraded Yahoo (NASDAQ: YHOO) to Overweight from Equal Weight as it believes the company is well positioned for a rebound in advertising and that the valuation is compelling at current levels. The firm raised its target on shares to $20 from $15.
  • Kohl's (NYSE: KSS) was raised to Overweight from Market Weight at Thomas Weisel.
  • U.S. Steel (NYSE: X) and CB Richard Ellis (NYSE: CBG) were upgraded at Goldman to Neutral from Sell.
  • Dolby Laboratories (NYSE: DLB) was upgraded at JP Morgan to Overweight from Neutral.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ANF, YHOO, X, SLE, OSK ...

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Too much debt makes stocks dangerous

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says companies saddled with high debt loads can be found in every sector in every business.

Overleveraged. Too much debt. Need to pay down debt. How many times have you read that story?

You read it so much because it plays out every day and plays havoc with stock picking almost every time you see a savory stock down on its luck.

This weekend, as I went through the charts, I was amazed at how low some stocks have gone, stocks that I would normally say to just take a flyer on, but turn out to have so much debt, short- and long-term, that they are just too dangerous.

Consider these perhaps poisonous morsels:

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Too much debt makes stocks dangerous

Top Stock Picks '09: Sara Lee (SLE)

This post is part of a special annual report -- Top Stock Picks '09 -- in which TheStockAdvisors.com asked 75 leading newsletter advisors to select their favorite investment for the new year.

"To paraphrase its marketing slogan: 'Nobody shouldn't like Sara Lee (NYSE: SLE),'" says Steve Ralston, consumer products sector expert at Zacks Investment Research.

"From the sales of staple products, consumer non-durable companies generate solid cash flow, with which management can enhance shareholder value through share repurchases and dividend increases.

"Recently restructured consumer non-durable companies are especially attractive, particularly if they are well-managed, trade at a single-digit P/E, and yield more than 4%.

"My favorite stock for 2009 is Sara Lee. Sara Lee announced a 5-year restructuring plan (the Transformation Plan) 3-1/2 years ago. The company has been right-sized, having divested unprofitable and low margin businesses.

Continue reading Top Stock Picks '09: Sara Lee (SLE)

Sara Lee (SLE): A buy for tough times

"Even in tough economic times, Sara Lee (NYSE: SLE) should fair well thanks to its offering of non-cyclical goods," says quantitative analyst Vahan Janjigian, editor of The Forbes Growth Investor.

"Sara Lee is a leading producer of branded foods, beverages, and personal care products. Roughly 50% of sales are generated outside of the U.S. Leading brands include Ball Park, Hillshire Farm, Jimmy Dean, Sara Lee, State Fair, Earth Grains, and Senseo brand coffee products.

"Management launched a comprehensive restructuring plan in 2005 to focus on core products and maximize operating efficiencies. These actions yielded $218 million in annualized cost savings in fiscal 2008.

"Food commodity costs soared earlier this year. However, SLE has been able to pass costs to customers through price increases. Furthermore, it has benefited from growing volumes. Fiscal Q4 net sales grew 12.2% year-over-year to $3.5 billion.

"With its earnings announcement, management issued fiscal 2009 guidance. It expects net sales to grow 4-6% year-over-year to $13.7-14 billion and pro forma earnings to grow 8-18% to 90-98 cents per share.

"Since issuing guidance, economic conditions have deteriorated significantly. This could lead to increased trading down activity to lower-priced brands or private-label goods.

"Also, the strengthening dollar has turned the foreign exchange tailwind into a headwind. Yet food commodity and energy costs have fallen significantly, which could provide margin relief for the company."

Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com offers a daily look at the latest market commentary and favorite stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

Before the Bell: Market falls as oil prices slump and Fannie (FNM) slashes dividend

Stock futures were trading down as Fannie Mae posted its fourth straight quarterly loss. Investors were awaiting word from a government report on worker productivity to see if there is any sign of an economic rebound. Those figures, though, proved disappointing.

Bloomberg News reported that worker productivity in the U.S. grew at a lower-than-expected rate in the second quarter as employers cut jobs to weather the jump in raw-material expenses. "Employers eliminated 165,000 jobs from April through June to shore up profits, and still managed to get more output with fewer workers," the news service says. "Gains in productivity help lower inflation and bolster the Federal Reserve's forecast that prices will moderate."

Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) posted its fourth straight quarterly loss and slashed its dividend. The second-quarter net loss was $2.3 billion, or $2.54 a share. Excluding one-time items, the loss was $2.51 a share, compared with the 72-cent average estimate of 10 analysts in a Bloomberg survey. Shares tumbled more than 12% in pre-market trading.

Continue reading Before the Bell: Market falls as oil prices slump and Fannie (FNM) slashes dividend

Three reasons women need to save more than men -- Seriously!

In a conversation with an attorney friend of mine, who happens to be a woman, she asked for some general financial guidance. During the course of the conversation it occurred to me that women need to save more than men. There are many reasons for this, here are a few:

The first and most obvious reason women need to save more than men is that they live longer -- often without the support of a significant other. Living longer and living alone cost more money.

Second of all, women still do not have complete earnings parity with men. Some of this has to do with job type and some with history. But nevertheless, we are not there yet. If there is a 15% disparity, then a woman is starting at a disadvantage whether saving for her retirement in the future or for buying a gallon of gas today. This can only be made up by saving more and investing more. This is a worthy goal except that with less resources the difficulty is exacerbated.

Continue reading Three reasons women need to save more than men -- Seriously!

The week in preview: Expectations remain high for energy and oil

With a turn of the calendar page, we drift into the middle portion of the current quarter, but the earnings season rolls on. Among the many companies scheduled to report quarterly results this coming week are Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX), Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO), News Corp. (NYSE: NWS), and Whole Foods Market International (NASDAQ: WFMI). Let's take a look at which companies Wall Street analysts are expecting to be among the top earnings gainers and decliners this week.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial expect the following to report strong earnings growth when compared to the same period of the previous year.

Continue reading The week in preview: Expectations remain high for energy and oil

Earnings highlights: Cisco, News Corp., Crocs, Clear Channel, WWE, CVS and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Upcoming results to watch for include Sprint Nextel (NYSE: S), XM Satellite Radio (NASDAQ: XMSR), Sirius Satellite Radio (NASDAQ: SIRI), Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS), Whole Foods (NASDAQ: WFMI), Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT), Deere & Co. (NYSE: DE), Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL), Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT), JC Penney (NYSE: JCP), Macy's (NYSE: M), Nordstrom (NYSE: JWN), Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ), Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

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DJIA+11.0410,237.98
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S&P 500+1.481,094.56

Last updated: November 10, 2009: 10:13 AM

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