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The shareholders of student-loan provider
SLM Corporation (NYSE:
SLM), better known as Sallie Mae,
have agreed to a $25.3B buyout by a group led by J.C. Flowers & Co. -- but that does not mean the deal is done. Now the buyer must decide if it still wants Sallie Mae, and if so, are they are still willing to pay a price that is now 28% higher than SLM's closing price yesterday.
But there's some uncertainty about Sallie Mae's business model due to the government's possibly cutting subsidies more than SLM had anticipated. That would negatively affect the company's profit and possibly cause the buyers to withdraw or seek to renegotiate terms. This has not gone unnoticed by SLM shareholders. "Sallie Mae seems to be trying to move it to fruition before the legislation goes through," says Richard Hofmann, an analyst with CreditSights.
SLM Corp. said it doesn't expect the proposed legislation to kill the transaction, but a spokesman for the buyers said that there was a "possibility that the conditions to closing may not be met." Whether the buyers are truly skeptical of the transaction closing, or are using this as leverage for a better price, is unclear.
Says Hofmann: "Our question has been whether Flowers wants to abandon the deal, or do they want better terms? To say they really think it is a bad deal and want to walk away is far-fetched."
Another possibility is that the buyers, who include Flowers,
JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:
JPM) and
Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:
BAC), have reconsidered this large a purchase in light of the current market conditions. If so, they won't be alone.