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Sotheby's Betting on Matisse and Warhol

Sotheby's logoAfter a dismal 2009, there is hope for the art auction segment. There was reason for optimism at in the past quarter, as the major houses started to move impressive pieces again, and momentum continued through the beginning of this year. Now, we're getting ready to move into the busy months of May and June. Unlike last year, auctioneers, collectors and dealers seem to be ready to play.

May 2008 was essentially the last hurrah of an art market rally that had lasted several years and created incredible amounts of paper canvas and bronze wealth. It was at this point that Sotheby's (BID) sold a fairly late triptych by artist Francis Bacon for an incredible $86 million to Russian billionaire Roman Abramovich, a transaction that has become the poster child for the excesses of the art market.

Continue reading Sotheby's Betting on Matisse and Warhol

Cigarette Company Finds Money in Art

The second largest cigarette maker in the world is making some waves in the art market. British American Tobacco (BTI) sold several paintings last night at a Sotheby's (BID) auction in the Netherlands, picking up $18.5 million last night. This contributed to a record night for the auction firm's Netherlands office.

Previously known as the Peter Stuyvesant Collection, the BATartventure Collection includes more than 1,400 pieces and doubled the upper end of its presale estimate, yet another sign that strength is returning to the art market this year – after a year and a half of agony.

Continue reading Cigarette Company Finds Money in Art

Earnings Highlights: AutoZone, Ciena, Fannie Mae, PetSmart, Sotheby's ...

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks:

  • AutoZone Inc. (AZO) reported better-than-expected Q2 earnings, as well as sales and gross margin growth.
  • Big Lots Inc. (BIG) beat Q4 earnings expectations, raised its guidance, and lifted its share repurchase program.
  • Carmike Cinemas Inc. (CKEC) swung to better-than-expected profit in Q4 and reported strong sales growth.
  • Ciena Corp. (CIEN) reported a bigger-than-expected Q1 net loss and some revenue growth, and offered guidance.
  • DISH Network Corp. (DISH) posted a year-over-year increase in Q4 revenue but also a decline in per-share earnings.

Continue reading Earnings Highlights: AutoZone, Ciena, Fannie Mae, PetSmart, Sotheby's ...

Sotheby's Trading Higher After Q4 Release

Famous auction entity Sotheby's (BID) posted its fourth-quarter numbers Monday. The market liked them. Late in the trading day, shares were up more than 7%, easily topping the 30-day average mark.

One reason investors were keen to give Sotheby's a bid is the absence of red ink. A year ago, the company lost 14 cents per share. During the last three months, $1.09 per share was booked. Total sales increased over 30%, which helped out, but net auction sales unfortunately saw a downturn of 7%.

Continue reading Sotheby's Trading Higher After Q4 Release

Five Reasons to Watch Art Stocks in 2010

The art market spent a year and a half circling the drain. Signs of life at the end of 2009, however, have become a reality, with recent auctions at Sotheby's (BID) and Christie's (CRUPF) exceeding expectations and showing triple-digit growth from comparable auctions last year.

Overall, art prices last year were off around 50%, with the contemporary art sector suffering even more severe declines of up to 70%. With prices this low and a recovery taking shape, it's time for investors to get in, and it looks like we'll see an art rally this year.

Continue reading Five Reasons to Watch Art Stocks in 2010

Options Update: Sotheby's Volatility Elevated into EPS and London Contemporary Sales

Sotheby's (BID) closed at $22.45. Sotheby's and Christie's hosted postwar and contemporary art sales in London this week. BID is expected to report Q4 EPS in late February. March option implied volatility is at 63; April is at 58; above its 26-week average of 55, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Darden Restaurants (DRI) closed at $38.05. Darden is hosting an investor meeting on February 17. March option implied volatility is at 31, July is at 34, below its 26-week average of 36, according to Track Data suggesting decreasing price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Sotheby's and Christie's suffer 75% revenue decline for major art auctions

Christie's and Sotheby's (BID) were only able to pull in a combined $482.3 million on five high-profile art evening auctions in New York and London this year -- down 75% from 2008. Last year, the same collection of flagship auctions was good for $1.97 billion, which was off from the $2.4 billion record set in 2007. This year's performance still lags 2006's $1.1 billion aggregate tally.

From 2003 through 2007, the contemporary art market grew by a factor of eight, according to data from ArtPrice, yet the fun came to an abrupt halt in the fourth quarter of last year, thanks to the collapse of Lehman Brothers and the near-collapse of American International Group (AIG), which Sotheby's losing $50 million and Christie's $40 million, as pieces were unable to reach the prices guaranteed to sellers by the auction houses (a practice which has since been abandoned).

Continue reading Sotheby's and Christie's suffer 75% revenue decline for major art auctions

BIDding down for Sotheby's, but high hopes for Q4

Sotheby's (NYSE: BID) had a great night this week, tripling the performance of competitor Christie's (OTC: CRUPF). But, it didn't come soon enough to help the company's third quarter results.

The auction house suffered from the art market slump that was exacerbated by the global financial crisis, posting a net loss of $57.8 million (89 cents a share). This is worse than the $47 million loss (73 cents a share) it delivered a year earlier. Three analysts that Bloomberg surveyed expected a loss of 29 cents a share. Revenue was off 41% to $44.9 million for the quarter.

Continue reading BIDding down for Sotheby's, but high hopes for Q4

Earnings highlights: AIG, Caterpillar, Cisco, News Corp., Procter & Gamble ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: AIG, Caterpillar, Cisco, News Corp., Procter & Gamble ...

Closing Bell: The down day that didn't feel too down (USU, WFMI, BID, ERTS, TIVO)

The markets closed down in negative territory, but today will feel like a win to many traders. Each day the news keeps getting a set up for a sell-off and nothing materializes. Bears are even getting frustrated because of no substantial pullbacks. The weaker employment data had little dent, but then the weaker services market kept the rally from emerging today.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 9,280.97 -39.22 (-0.42%)
S&P 500 1,002.68 -2.97 (-0.30%)
Nasdaq 1,993.05 -18.26 (-0.91%)

Top Analyst Upgrades
Top Analyst Downgrades

Continue reading Closing Bell: The down day that didn't feel too down (USU, WFMI, BID, ERTS, TIVO)

Sotheby's reports loss but hopes for recovery

An embittered Sotheby's (NYSE: BID) has turned in its first quarterly profit in a year, showing signs that the worst of the art market slump may be over. The company, which has seen contemporary art auction prices fall 76.2% from May 2008 to today, reported a decline of 87% in earnings for the second quarter, but company CFO William Sheridan says that the worst of this market is behind us. Sell-through rates are up, with more inventory moving likely to help with sagging revenues.

But commission revenue seems to be headed in the wrong direction. For Q2, Sotheby's reported commission revenues at 21.3%, up from 41% year-over-year. Unfortunately, this isn't the measure you want to go up. Lower-priced pieces tend to have higher commission rates, meaning that the auction house's Q2 performance was dragged down by less desirable inventory.

Continue reading Sotheby's reports loss but hopes for recovery

Art market sucks, Hirst and Prince turn to books

Damien Hirst has gotten to the point where the sound of his own voice isn't good enough – now he needs a record of his thoughts for the ages. He and fellow artist Richard Prince (who actually has some talent) discuss the pains of the art market in Requiem II, which is scheduled to be published by Other Criteria this fall. Of course, Hirst is one of the publishing house's founders, making one wonder if this is the only most effective way for him to get a book published.

If a recent interview with ArtNews is any indication, Requiem II will contain the insights you'd come to expect from an artist of Hirst's caliber. My personal favorite: "Yeah, we ain't gonna sell as much art, art shows are gonna get better now the focus shifts away from money."

Brilliant.

Continue reading Art market sucks, Hirst and Prince turn to books

Art prices could fall 40% in recession

If you were planning to sell that Damien Hirst in your closet to help pay the mortgage, think again. According to a recent piece in Portfolio, "To capitalize on the past few boom years in the art market, Hirst's studio churned out works at a speed that many feared would overwhelm demand, pushing down prices further."

Daniel Komala, president and co-founder of Larasati Auctioneers tells Bloomberg that art prices could fall 40% in 2009. Bloomberg adds that "Confidence levels in the contemporary-art market have fallen 81 percent since May 2008 and may take between three and five years to recover, according to a survey released by research company ArtTactic Ltd. this week. Almost half the respondents to the survey expected auction prices would fall by 30 to 50 percent from their May 2008 highs."

What is ailing the art market seems to be the same thing that's ailing housing. For instance: Speculative buying drove up prices for hot contemporary artists (or houses), leading to a flood of new works (construction) hitting the market. Then consumer confidence took a plunge and now people are freaking out.

Prices for more artists with longer track records -- like Monet -- are not expected to be impacted nearly as much. Shares of leading auctioneer Sotheby's (NYSE: BID) have already been pulverized by concerns about the market, taking another big dive yesterday. But with its solid balance sheet and strong moat, the stock might even be interesting as the ultimate contrarian play right.

Money winners of 2008: Damien Hirst and his $198 million art auction

This post is part of our feature on Money Winners of 2008. See all 20.

Hedge fund managers weren't the only ones making buckets of money during the great boom of the early 21st century. So too were the artists whose work the newly rich love to buy. And no one has made more money selling paintings and sculptures to private equity bigwigs and Russian oligarchs than British artist Damien Hirst.

Until recently, Hirst was famous largely for his conceptual sculptures of dead animals floating inside glass-walled boxes. Much of his work displays an obsession with death, including a human skull encrusted with 8,000 diamonds and a box filled with flies feasting on a rotting cow's head. And his art isn't cheap. The asking price for the skull, titled "For the Love of God," was $100 million.

But like all modern visionaries, Hirst saved his greatest innovations for the marketplace itself. In the summer of 2008, Hirst organized his own art auction, neatly bypassing the dealers whose commissions typically claim a good chunk of the sale price of a piece of art. Sotheby's hosted the sale, waiving its usual fee to do so. Over 20,000 people viewed the show in just two days, and when it was over, Hirst had sold $198 million worth of art, a new record for a single-artist auction.

Hirst's profits may be puny compared to the financiers who buy his work, but $200 million in two days is a pretty good haul by most standards. And it sets the bar higher for the next generation of artists who create the shiny trophies that billionaires so love to collect.

Be sure to check out more Money Winners of 2008.

The week in preview: Expectations remain high for energy and oil

With a turn of the calendar page, we drift into the middle portion of the current quarter, but the earnings season rolls on. Among the many companies scheduled to report quarterly results this coming week are Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX), Cisco Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO), News Corp. (NYSE: NWS), and Whole Foods Market International (NASDAQ: WFMI). Let's take a look at which companies Wall Street analysts are expecting to be among the top earnings gainers and decliners this week.

Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial expect the following to report strong earnings growth when compared to the same period of the previous year.

Continue reading The week in preview: Expectations remain high for energy and oil

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