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Bernie's bets: A trio of trades from Schaeffer

Options expert and stock trader Bernie Schaeffer combines fundamental, technical and sentiment-based metrics to select his specific trades.

In his latest The Options Advisor, he looks at a trio of diverse trades: wireless semiconductor play, Broadcom (NASDAQ: BRCM); homebuilder, Ryland Group (NYSE: RYL); and miner, Southern Copper (NYSE: PCU).

"Broadcom has rocketed up the charts in 2009, racking up a year-to-date gain of about 74%. The stock has stair-stepped consistently higher since January, capitalizing on support at its 10-week and 20-week moving averages.

"BRCM's relentless upward momentum has forced many short sellers out of their bearish positions, as short interest on the equity dropped by nearly 20% during the past month.

Continue reading Bernie's bets: A trio of trades from Schaeffer

Southern Copper (PCU): Mining for high returns

"Weakness in commodities suggests a screaming sign of an overreaction; it's time to take another look at a high-quality, high-yielding commodity stocks such as Southern Copper (NYSE: PCU)," says global investing expert Nick Lanyi.

In his High Yield International, he says, "With mines in Mexico and Peru, Southern Copper ranks #1 in total copper reserves of any publicly traded company, making it almost a pure play on a rebound in the metal's price." Here's his contrarian outlook.

"Southern Copper has enough reserves to continue its current rate of production for the next 80 years without a single expansion or acquisition.

"With copper prices falling, the firm's earnings are taking a hit -- and the dividend has recently been cut. Now that this cut has already been factored into the shares, I think it's a better time to look at the stock than just a few weeks ago.

"Based on 2008 dividends, the stock yields 12.7% at the current price. Even if the dividend comes down more, I look for a yield of 8-9% over the next 12 months.

Continue reading Southern Copper (PCU): Mining for high returns

Analyst upgrades 9-5-07: BP, BRG, CHKP and VCLK

MOST NOTEWORTHY: The energy & petroleum sector, BP PLC, BG Group, Check Point and ValueClick were today's noteworthy upgrades:
OTHER UPGRADES:

Newspaper wrap-up: NBC does not renew iTunes contract with Apple

MAJOR PAPERS:
  • Amid mounting criticism for its role in the subprime crisis, McGraw Hill Companies Inc (NYSE: MHP) replaced Kathleen Corbet, the president of Standard & Poors, with Deven Sharma, a McGraw Hill senior VP who has been with S&P since the end of last year, reported the Wall Street Journal.
  • Barron's Online's "Inside Scoop" column reported that Aeropostale Inc (NYSE: ARO) CFO Michael Cunningham sold $2.1M in stock Monday at an average price of $22.43 per share, according to SEC data.
OTHER PAPERS:

Analyst downgrades 5-03-07: BBI, CVC and NDAQ

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Cablevision Systems Corp (CVC), Nasdaq Stock Market Inc (NDAQ), Greenbrier Cos (GBX), Southern Copper Corp (PCU) and Hawaiian Holdings (HA) were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Oppenheimer downgraded shares of Cablevision Systems Corp (NYSE: CVC) to Neutral from Outperform and does not expect a higher bid to emerge.
  • Matrix cut Greenbrier Cos (NYSE: GBX) to Sell from Hold on the belief that slowing demand for double-stack and forest products rail cars is leading to slowing revenues.
  • Credit Suisse downgraded Southern Copper (NYSE: PCU) to Underperform from Outperform based on valuation.
  • Goldman cut Hawaiian Holdings (AMEX: HA) to Sell from Neutral based on weak fundamentals and increased liquidity concerns.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • Morgan Stanley downgraded UBS AG (NYSE: UBS) to Underweight from Equal Weight.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

New highs from Southern Copper, Nike, Lehman, Lockheed Martin

Every now and then I like to check out the list of stocks that are trading at new highs. Today as I scan the list I see a couple of big names that I think are worth mentioning.

Southern Copper (NYSE: PCU) is trading up to a new high today. It seems like this stock is setting new highs on a daily basis, and you would be hard pressed to find me a more impressive thirty day chart for a stock. Last week I wrote about how Jim Cramer had once again thrown his support behind the company and that helped push the stock up 2% that day. Since then the stock has tacked on roughly another $1.50 to it's price. Yesterday I caught another clip of Cramer talking about PCU on Wall Street Confidential. He pointed out that the increasing interest in hybrid cars is going to really help keep copper climbing since copper is such a huge component in hybrid car batteries. The stock has hit a new high of $66.06 today but has sold off a bit and is currently trading flat at $65.10.

Nike Inc. (NYSE: NKE) has also set a new 52-week high today of $102.79 and is currently trading up 1.2% to $102.40 up $1.23. Yesterday Chief Executive Mark Parker said on Tuesday worldwide revenue could rise 53% to $23 billion within five years. That's a pretty bold statement for the shoe giant. The company also announced that they would be adding 100 more stores worldwide over the next 3 years.

Continue reading New highs from Southern Copper, Nike, Lehman, Lockheed Martin

Cramer gets behind Southern Copper...again

Southern Copper Corp. (NYSE: PCU) has quietly been putting on quite a show lately. The stock has been setting new highs on a daily basis for the last week or so and last night Jim Cramer got back on the train.

Cramer used to be a big fan of PCU but changed his tune back on November 10 when he decided that the copper industry was about to top out and decided to get bearish. PCU closed out trading on November 10 at $53.04.

Unfortunately for our Mad Money friend he has been missing out on quite a party as the below chart illustrates:



Today the stock is trading up another 2.0% to $63.74 and set yet another new 52-week high earlier in the session at $64.32. Pretty impressive... thanks for the endorsement Jim!

The company said earlier this week that it is planning on boosting its total copper output in 2007 to about 700,000 tons! That should keep the copper-hungry Chinese happy, as that seems to be the country with the greatest appetite for copper these days.

I love this stock. I have been a fan of PCU for years, mainly due to its impressive dividend yield which is currently running at an annual 11.2%. You just can't beat that, and watching the daily new highs just adds the cherry on top for PCU shareholders.

For those of you who seek out high dividend plays, this is definitely a stock that you should check out.

[DISCLOSURE NOTE: PCU is a long term holding in my personal portfolio.]

Michael Fowlkes has worked as a stock trader for seven years and spent the last two years working as an analyst for the online investment advisory service Investor's Observer.

Cramer goes South -- way South, to Southern Copper

Evidently, Jim Cramer can opine on worldwide politics, not just money! Tonight on MAD MONEY he went far afield from his usual fare and pointed to the New York Times World Briefing about how the leader of the Shining Path in Peru will spend the rest of his life in prison.

Cramer, the sort to see an investment decision in any news, said this is actually good for Peru. But what's the pick? He likes Southern Copper Corporation (NYSE:PCU) the best, formerly Southern Peru Copper. He thinks Peru is a good Latin country that is still pro-capitalism. He thinks it is a real democracy, but the real reason to buy is the yield. It yields 8% from its dividend. It is also #4 on Fortune's 100 Fastest-Growing Companies. He said it has larger reserves than Phelps Dodge Corporation (NYSE:PD) and he said the company can smelter copper cheaper than others. He also said a strike resolution was favorable to the company. Cramer also said that the new non-hedging policy on copper prices will create an earnings explosion.

Cramer has been positive on Southern Copper before. Its shares closed down 0.7% at $50.65 in regular trading, but it traded up to $51.50 after Cramer touted the stock. Its 52-week trading range is $24.79 to $54.97.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+20.0310,246.97
NASDAQ-2.982,151.08
S&P 500-0.071,093.01

Last updated: November 11, 2009: 12:21 AM

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