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Brown-Forman intoxicated on its Q1 results

Brown-Forman (NYSE: BF.B), the maker of alcohol products such as Jack Daniel's and Southern Comfort, is drunk on success today. The B shares of the company were up well over 8% at the time of this writing in afternoon trading, on good volume. The first-quarter earnings served as the catalyst.

Net sales unfortunately decreased 7%, but earnings per share on an adjusted basis (taking into account a charge in the year-ago period) expanded by 17% to 81 cents. According to Earnings.com, that number came in way ahead of estimates of 62 cents per share.

Continue reading Brown-Forman intoxicated on its Q1 results

Diageo's 2010 forecast has investors crying in their beer

This morning, Diageo (NYSE: DEO), the world's largest spirits maker, announced that annual profit increased 7%. The company's net sales for the year increased 15% to 9.3 billion pounds thanks to solid performance in its international segments.

Diageo's sales increased during the past few quarters, thanks to investment in major brands like Johnny Walker, Guinness, and Smirnoff. This investment has helped the company weather the global economic downturn better than most of its major rivals.

Continue reading Diageo's 2010 forecast has investors crying in their beer

Molson Coors Brewing serves up quarterly earnings

Although commodity cost pressures continued, Molson Coors Brewing Company (NYSE: TAP) saw its quarterly earnings climb 51% compared to a year ago. Net income excluding special items rose 46% to $216.4 million, far better than the pro forma profit of $136.6 million a year ago.

According to the brewery, five of its six focus brands saw sales to retailers increase. The lone declining brand was Miller Lite, which decreased in the mid-single digits. Coors Light saw its sales to retailers increase in the low single digits, Keystone Light saw a double-digit increase, Miller High Life saw a mid-single-digit increase, and (my wife's favorite beer) Blue Moon helped drive TAP's craft and import portfolio higher. Miller Genuine Draft saw sales to retailers increase after a decade of drops thanks to growth from MGD 64. TAP's total sales increased 3% thanks to pricing strength that offset a 2% drop in volumes. TAP expects to achieve $238 million in synergies by the end of 2009, which is higher than its original forecast of $225 million.

Continue reading Molson Coors Brewing serves up quarterly earnings

Booze a defensive play in a bear market

Bad news in the market means good news for Constellation Brands Inc. (NYSE: STZ) which manufactures and markets spirits, wines and beers under a variety of labels. Brands include Robert Mondavi wines, Corona beer and Black Velvet whiskey. When the economy is good, folks drink to celebrate. When the economy starts to tank, people drink to commiserate. Constellation benefits either way. The company just released 1Q 2009 results. Profits jumped 50%! Diluted (no pun intended) EPS was $0.20, up from $0.13 in 1Q 2008. Consoldiated net sales increased 3%, with wine sales up 15% and spirit sales, led by vodka, up 9%. Constellation offloaded several lower profit margin lines including Almaden and Inglenook wines, and added higher product margin line wines Clos du Bois and Wild Horse.

Investors, whether drinkers or tea-totalers, like the numbers. The stock is up over 5% in the last two days, closing on July 2nd at $21.22

Molson Coors (TAP) to brew new high-end beer

In an effort to fight back against shifting consumer trends to spirits and wine, the Wall Street Journal reported that Coors Brewing Co. (NYSE: TAP) has created a new subsidiary to "introduce above-premium beers to the marketplace," according to an email sent to beer wholesalers last week.

The move comes at a time when the American beer business is facing considerable headwinds, including slower growth due to upscale "craft" beers and a strong push for market share by imports. Anheuser-Busch Cos. (NYSE: BUD), the largest American beer maker, and SABMiller PLC's (NYSE: SAB) Miller Brewing Co., the second-largest, have already introduced new beverages to combat these headwinds.

Continue reading Molson Coors (TAP) to brew new high-end beer

Constellation Brands: A mighty big beverage portfolio

If your Final Jeopardy question read "What U.S. state is home to the biggest wine producer in the world?", would you answer California? You'd be wrong. It's New York! In fact, the Fairport, N.Y. firm in question sells more than 250 brands of flavored ethanol.

Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ) produces and markets wine, spirits and beer. The Wines division is responsible for such brands as Robert Mondavi, Inniskillin, Simi, Arbor Mist and Blackthorn (cider). The Spirits division distills such brands as Black Velvet, Chi-Chi's, Fleischmann's, Canadian LTD and Mr. Boston. The Imports division has the right to import, market, and sell Corona Extra, Corona Light, Modelo Especial, Pacifico and St. Pauli Girl. The firm distributes its products through wholesalers, government beverage control agencies and various retailers in some 150 countries. Diageo (NYSE: DEO) and Fortune Brands (NYSE: FO) are major competitors.

The company pleased investors late last month, when it reported solid Q1 results and guided FY08 EPS in-line with the average Street estimate. The CEO announced an acquisition strategy focused on European expansion, premium spirits and niche wines. Banc of America Securities subsequently reiterated its "buy" rating on the issue and boosted its price target to $27. The news kept STZ shares cycling through a positive 10-week trading channel. The price is currently moving near the base of that channel, where oversold CCI, Stochastic and Momentum technical parameters suggest the potential for a rise back toward the top.

Altogether, brokers recommend the issue with two "strong buys," one "buy," eleven "holds" and one "sell." Analysts see a 22% growth rate through the next year. The STZ P/E ratio (20.60), Price to Sales ratio (1.02), Price to Book ratio (1.73) and Price to Cash Flow ratio (11.93) compare favorably with industry, sector and S&P 500 averages. Institutions own about 84% of the outstanding shares. The stock is one of those used to calculate the S&P 500 Index. Over the past 52 weeks, it has traded between $18.83 and $29.17. A stop-loss of $20.50 looks good here.

Larry Schutts is a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com and the vice president of Stockwinners.com.

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Last updated: February 11, 2012: 01:56 AM

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