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U.S. November job gains seen easing pressure on Fed

November's 94,000 added jobs statistic is likely to tip the scales in favor of a quarter-point cut in short-term interest rates instead of a half-point cut, economists and analysts say.

"The November job creation number, while not outstanding, is more than enough to quell the half-point hawks," economist Steve Affinito told BloggingStocks Friday. "The Fed will cut interest rates by one-quarter point next week."

Affinito said the November 2007 jobs report was "the sole bright spot" after a string of negative economic data recently reported for the U.S. economy. That data points to a slow-growing U.S. economy (or possibly worse) through Q1 2008, many economists agree.

"If we can register 2% GDP growth in the first quarter of next year, that would be acceptable at this point, and I would take it," Affinito said, adding that Q1 could conceivably show a contraction. For Q4 2007 Affinito estimates that the economy will have slowed to 2.3-2.6% growth.

Continue reading U.S. November job gains seen easing pressure on Fed

Are you among the 600,000 to be bailed out by Bush's mortgage plan?

The Wall Street Journal reports that 600,000 subprime mortgage borrowers could be bailed out under the Bush mortgage plan. As the details of the plan emerge, it's becoming clearer that the plan will punish those with high credit scores. reward some in the middle with mediocre scores, and punish those in the deepest amount of trouble. To get the reward, those receiving a bailout will be put through a battery of financial tests. And mortgage-backed securities (MBS) investor lawsuits are a safe bet if the plan ever goes into effect.

As I posted yesterday, the Bush plan creates more losers than winners. Those 600,000 with the potential to get bailed out are clear winners. The losers include all other mortgage borrowers, any mortgage investor holding the rights to the payments from the mortgages that won't reset upwards, the principle of free markets, and the already-tarnished Bush legacy.

Here are some more plan details: 1.2 million homeowners relatively current on their mortgages would contact credit counselors or their loan-servicing companies that would sort them by their credit and payment history and ability to pay. Those 60 days behind on more than one mortgage payment over the past year would get credit counseling to talk them through the loss of their homes.

Continue reading Are you among the 600,000 to be bailed out by Bush's mortgage plan?

U.S. mortgage delinquencies hit 20-year high

Foreclosure sign The number of mortgage delinquencies rose to a 20-year high in Q3 as borrowers increasingly found it difficult to make payments within the 30-day grace period, the Mortgage Bankers Association announced Thursday.

The percent of home loans with payments more than 30 days late rose to seasonally-adjusted 5.59%, the MBA announced -- the highest level since 1986. The group's survey began in 1972.

Telling stat

The delinquency statistic suggests that the housing correction "is far from over," according to economist Steve Affinito.

"It's not even the beginning of the end," Affinito told BloggingStocks on Thursday. "Generally during a housing slump, what you see first is a rise in unsold homes, and then a rise in delinquencies, mostly from homeowners who did not sell or could not refinance."

Continue reading U.S. mortgage delinquencies hit 20-year high

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Last updated: November 10, 2009: 06:07 PM

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