The New York Times reports that another European bank hedge fund has been wiped out due to its investment in subprime mortgage backed securities (SMBS). Netherlands' NIBC Holdings reported that it lost at least $188 million on investments in the American mortgage market for subprime loans. It joins Paris' BNP and Düsseldorf, IKB Deutsche Industriebank, and some Australian hedge funds and banks.

With the globalization of financial markets, it's clear that nobody knows which banks, hedge funds, insurance companies, and pension funds own those SMBSs. Nor do they know how much money banks have lent these institutional investors. But if the banks decide they want their money back, and the collateral is worthless, then the institutional investors will either need to sell more liquid holdings -- e.g., stocks -- or they will file for bankruptcy.

In a rather lame move, the Wall Street Journal reports that in an effort to see if they're hiding losses, the SEC is examining the books of U.S. investment banks to see if they're marking down the value of their own subprime portfolios in the same way as they are marking down those of their clients. But what's really needed, as I suggested above, is a view of the global damage -- not just the situation in the U.S.

Continue reading Who owns our toxic subprime waste?

Who owns our toxic subprime waste? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 10 Aug 2007 10:20:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Ben Bernanke told us in May that the impact of subprime mortgages collapsing would be contained. But The Financial Times begs to differ. FT reports that leading bankers are trying to calm the global markets even as they admit that the shockwaves from the U.S. subprime collapse could put private equity deals on hold for the next few months.

Is Ben Bernanke wrong? How could a former Princeton economist not understand that problems in one category of loans might make banks nervous about other loan categories? Or is it simply that Bernanke took his job as economic cheerleader in chief a little too seriously?

One banker thinks it could be three months before subprime's damage takes its foot off the brakes of private equity. Bob Diamond, Barclays president, predicted the consequences of the subprime collapse could take more than a year to be resolved. However, he said the leveraged loan market should recover more quickly: "We would expect at some point over the next two to three months to see that market at more normal volume levels."

Maybe Diamond is right and Bernanke is righter. But is it possible that their predictions are just wishful thinking? I don't know. What do you think?

Peter Cohan is president of Peter S. Cohan & Associates, a management consulting and venture capital firm. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter.

Will the subprime fallout snag private equity? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 03 Aug 2007 15:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.