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<generator>Blogsmith http://www.blogsmith.com/</generator><item><title><![CDATA[Credit crunch hitting mortgages: where can you profit next?]]></title><link>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/03/credit-crunch-hitting-mortgages-where-can-you-profit-next/</link><guid isPermaLink="true">http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/03/credit-crunch-hitting-mortgages-where-can-you-profit-next/</guid><comments>http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/03/credit-crunch-hitting-mortgages-where-can-you-profit-next/#comments</comments><description><![CDATA[<p>Filed under: <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/bad-news/" rel="tag">Bad News</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/shortstories/" rel="tag">Short Stories</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/nfi/" rel="tag">NovaStar Financial (NFI)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/imb/" rel="tag">IndyMac Bancorp (IMB)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/ahm/" rel="tag">Amer Home Mtge Investment (AHM)</a>, <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/category/housing/" rel="tag">Housing</a></p><p>The <em><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/03/business/03lender.html?hp">New York Times</a></em> [registration required] reports that <strong><a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/american-home-mortgage-investment-corp/ahm/nys?from=lookup">American Home Mortgage Investment Corp.</a></strong> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/american-home-mortgage-investment-corp/ahm/nys?from=lookup">AHM</a>) is shutting its doors thanks to the fear of its lenders -- who provide the wholesale money they lend to home buyers -- that they won't get their money back. Doug McIntyre posted about this <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/03/american-home-mortgage-gives-up-the-ghost/">here</a>. Several of AHM's peers -- <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/indymac-bancorp-inc/imb/nys?from=lookup"><strong>IndyMac Bancorp</strong></a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/indymac-bancorp-inc/imb/nys?from=lookup">IMB</a>) and <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/accredited-home-lenders-holding-co/lend/nas?from=lookup"><strong>Accredited Home Lenders Holding</strong></a> (NASDAQ: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/accredited-home-lenders-holding-co/lend/nas?from=lookup">LEND</a>) -- are also in rough shape.</p>
<p>Last <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/10/01/profiting-from-real-estates-decline/">October</a>, I began looking for ways to profit from the collapse in the housing market. My best idea -- <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2006/12/18/short-stories-profiting-from-the-subprime-mortgage-bust/">posted in December</a> -- was to short shares of <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/novastar-financial-inc/nfi/nys"><strong>NovaStar Financial</strong></a> (NYSE: <a href="http://finance.aol.com/quotes/novastar-financial-inc/nfi/nys">NFI</a>) which dropped from $116 to $7.19. This post got the attention of a reporter from NPR's MarketPlace who dropped by my office this week to interview me about where the next opportunities for short profits might lie.</p>
<p><strong><em>My answer is that I don't know.</em></strong> That's because the hedge funds, endowments, pension funds, and insurance companies that buy the mortgage backed securities (MBS) constructed from the loans that NovaStar and its peers originate are not disclosing the value of their MBS holdings. To identify short selling opportunities, I'd like to know this information because many MBS holders will be wiped out. </p><p><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/03/credit-crunch-hitting-mortgages-where-can-you-profit-next/" rel="bookmark">Continue reading <em>Credit crunch hitting mortgages: where can you profit next?</em></a></p><p style="padding:5px;background:#ddd;border:1px solid #ccc;clear:both;"><a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/03/credit-crunch-hitting-mortgages-where-can-you-profit-next/">Credit crunch hitting mortgages: where can you profit next?</a> originally appeared on <a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com">BloggingStocks</a> on Fri, 03 Aug 2007 10:00:00 EST.  Please see our <a href="http://www.weblogsinc.com/feed-terms/">terms for use of feeds</a>.</p><h6 style="clear: both; padding: 8px 0 0 0; height: 2px; font-size: 1px; border: 0; margin: 0; padding: 0;"></h6><a href=http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/03/business/03lender.html?_r=1&amp;hp&amp;oref=slogin>Read</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/03/credit-crunch-hitting-mortgages-where-can-you-profit-next/" rel="bookmark" title="Permanent link to this entry">Permalink</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/forward/957066/" title="Send this entry to a friend via email">Email this</a>&nbsp;|&nbsp;<a href="http://www.bloggingstocks.com/2007/08/03/credit-crunch-hitting-mortgages-where-can-you-profit-next/#comments" title="View reader comments on this entry">Comments</a>]]></description><category>accredited home lenders</category><category>AccreditedHomeLenders</category><category>ahm</category><category>american home mortgage</category><category>AmericanHomeMortgage</category><category>imb</category><category>indymac bancorp</category><category>IndymacBancorp</category><category>inthenews</category><category>lend</category><category>nfi</category><category>novastar financial</category><category>NovastarFinancial</category><category>short</category><category>suprime</category><dc:creator><![CDATA[Peter Cohan]]></dc:creator><pubDate>Fri, 03 Aug 2007 10:00:00 EST</pubDate></item></channel></rss>
