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Guns and gold tell the story on the economy

When gold miners and gun-toters lag the broader economy, it's usually a good sign that conditions are on the mend. Both sectors outperform when times were tough, but this year, their growth has slowed relative to the market has a whole.

The S&P 500 index has gained 57% since March 9, 2009, according to a USA Today report, while Barrick Gold (NYSE: ABX) and Newmont Mining (NYSE: NEM) are up 36% and 21%, respectively, for the same period. Smith & Wesson (NASDAQ: SWHC) is up 30%. Again, these are definitely respectable results, but they aren't keeping pace with the index.

Continue reading Guns and gold tell the story on the economy

Earnings highlights: Best Buy, FedEx, Campbell, National Semiconductor, Talbots ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Best Buy, FedEx, Campbell, National Semiconductor, Talbots ...

Smith & Wesson spikes higher on earnings surprise

Late Wednesday, Smith & Wesson Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: SWHC) stepped into the earnings spotlight to release its fiscal first-quarter results. The firearm firm raked in a profit of $12.6 million, or 21 cents per share, sharply higher from its year-ago earnings of $2.3 million, or 5 cents per share. Revenue for the period jumped 30% to $102.2 million, buoyed by a 30% increase in firearm sales and a 39% gain in non-firearm sales.

The results soared past analysts' expectations, which called for a fiscal first-quarter profit of 10 cents per share on $94.1 million in revenue. SWHC's bottom line received a boost of 5 cents per share during the recently concluded quarter from its acquisition of Universal Safety Response Inc.

Continue reading Smith & Wesson spikes higher on earnings surprise

The week in preview: End-of-quarter earnings expectations: Nike, Oracle, Walgreen ...

This week brings a small flurry of end-of-the-calendar-quarter earnings reports. And for the most part, the expectations of the analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters aren't very high. Companies expected to report declining earnings in the most recently concluded quarter include America's Car-Mart Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT), Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. (NASDAQ: BBBY), ConAgra Foods Inc. (NYSE: CAG), Jabil Circuit Inc. (NYSE: JBL), Jackson Hewitt Tax Service Inc. (NYSE: JTX), Monsanto Co. (NYSE: MON), and Sonic Corp. (NASDAQ: SONC).

Continue reading The week in preview: End-of-quarter earnings expectations: Nike, Oracle, Walgreen ...

Earnings highlights: FedEx, Best Buy, RIM, Adobe, Smucker, Discover and more

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: FedEx, Best Buy, RIM, Adobe, Smucker, Discover and more

Smith & Wesson rallies on solid 4Q revenue outlook

Smith & Wesson Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: SWHC) is sharply higher today after shocking Wall Street with a better-than-expected fourth-quarter forecast. Last night, the company reported that strong demand for its handguns and tactical rifles sent revenue up 20% during the quarter to $99.5 million, outpacing analysts' expectations for sales of $90.83 million. SWHC's full fourth-quarter results will be reported Monday, June 22.

Continue reading Smith & Wesson rallies on solid 4Q revenue outlook

Obama stimulates the ammo industry, with a bullet

BulletPresident Obama has already succeeded in stimulating one area of American business. Those convinced that his administration will bring restrictions and taxes to the gun industry are scrambling to arm themselves, so much so that the nation is suffering a widespread ammo shortage.

The panic, fanned by the NRA, is good news for companies such as Smith & Wesson (NASDAQ: SWHC), Colt's Manufacturing Company, and Remington.

Continue reading Obama stimulates the ammo industry, with a bullet

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: SWHC, WFC ,CCE, GM, FCX

Analyst upgrades:
  • Merriman upgraded Smith & Wesson (NASDAQ:SWHC) to Buy from Neutral on valuation after channel checks indicated an increase in gun sales in October after an Obama win became apparent. The firm believes shares can trade up into the $4 to $5 range.
  • Credit Suisse upgraded Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) to Outperform from Neutral citing the company's improved balance and potential earnings power following its $11B equity offering.
  • JP Morgan upgraded Coca-Cola Enerprises (NYSE:CCE) to Overweight from Neutral on valuation and easing commodity and labor costs.
  • Manulife (NYSE:MFC) was raised to Outperform from Sector Perform at RBC Capital.
  • SL Green Realty (NYSE:SLG) was upgraded at UBS to Buy from Neutral.
  • Molina Healthcare (NYSE:MOH) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Barclays downgraded General Motors (NYSE:GM) to Underweight from Equal Weight on cash concerns and believes any assistance from the government would substantially dilute equity holders. Barclays set a $1 target on GM shares.
  • Stephens cut LandAmerica (NYSE:LFG) to Underweight from Equal Weight following the Fidelity National (NYSE:FNF) takeover as they expect no other bidders to emerge and believe shares could go back to under $5 if Fidelity National walks away.
  • Deutsche Bank downgraded solar companies to reflect deteriorating fundamentals in the sector, an adequate supply of c-Si modules, the strengthening dollar and restricted access to capital. First Solar (NASDAQ:FSLR), Canadian Solar (NASDAQ:CSIQ), Energy Conversion (NASDAQ:ENER) and Sunpower (NASDAQ:SPWRA) were downgraded to Hold from Buy.
  • Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ:URBN) and Aeropostale (NYSE:ARO) were downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays.
  • FMC Technologies (NYSE:FTI) was lowered to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
Analyst initiations:
  • Freeport McMoRan, HLS Systems, and Kimberly Clark were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Banc of America expects Freeport McMoRan's (NYSE:FCX) earnings will decline sharply in 2009 and thinks the dividend could be at risk. Shares were initiated with a Neutral rating and $29 target.
  • Roth Capital initiated HLS Systems (NASDAQ:HOLI) with a Buy rating and $5 target. The firm is positive on the company's management team and the company's outlook for EPS growth.
  • Citigroup thinks Kimberly Clark's (NYSE:KMB) margins have bottomed and that the current valuation is too low. Shares were assumed with a Buy rating and $65 target.
  • Synaptics (NASDAQ:SYNA) and Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE:ICE) were initiated at Merrill Lynch with Neutral ratings.
  • Tim Hortons (NYSE:THI) was assumed with a Sell rating at Goldman.

Earnings highlights: Lehman, UBS, Krispy Kreme, Pepsico, Pep Boys and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Lehman, UBS, Krispy Kreme, Pepsico, Pep Boys and others

Benihana, Smith & Wesson report lower Q4 earnings

Both Japanese restaurant chain Benihana Inc. (NASDAQ: BNHN) and gun maker Smith & Wesson Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: SWHC) on Thursday said that their profits fell in their fiscal fourth-quarters. Shares of the former fell Friday by more than 11%, while shares of the latter rose nearly 6%.

Miami-based Benihana's fourth-quarter net income fell 30% from the year-ago quarter to $2.7 million, or 17 cents per share percent, due to the difficult environment for restaurants. Revenue for the quarter ended March 30 fell 2% to $70.2 million, and same-store sales fell 2.2%.

Analysts polled by Thomson Financial had expected a profit of 15 cents per share on revenue of $70.8 million.

For the fiscal year, earnings fell 13% to $11.7 million, or 75 cents per share, and revenue rose 9% to $296.9 million.

Shares of Benihana fell to a 52-week low of $6.69 on Friday before closing at $6.97. Shares are down 44.7% year to date.

Continue reading Benihana, Smith & Wesson report lower Q4 earnings

Analyst initiations: Linc Energy, Equinix, Smith & Wesson

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Linc Energy, Equinix and Smith & Wesson were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Merriman initiated Linc Energy (OTC: LNCGY) with a Buy rating and believes the company is well-positioned to become a large producer of ultra-clean, high quality diesel fuel, at extremely high margins.
  • Equinix (NASDAQ: EQIX) was assumed with a Buy rating and $120 target at Deutsche Bank. The firm thinks the company continues to benefit from favorable industry dynamics as customer demand continues to outstrip supply of new co-location space industry-wide.
  • Susquehanna is positive on Smith & Wesson's (NASDAQ: SWHC) leading market position in the handgun market and top line growth. The firm started shares with a Positive rating.
OTHER INITIATIONS:

Smith & Wesson (SWHC) slashes forecast again

SWHC logoSmith & Wesson Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: SWHC) stock is falling this morning after the company cut its outlook for the second time since late October, forecasting this morning a profit of 40 cents per share for the year ending April 30. The company had previously estimated 63 cents per share in profit. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on SWHC.

After hitting a one-year high of $22.80 in August, the stock hit a one-year low of $9.51 yesterday, but is well below that number today. This morning, SWHC opened at $7.02. So far today the stock has hit a low of $6.68 and a high of $7.25. As of 10:45, SWHC is trading at $7.14, down $2.78 (-27.9%). The chart for SWHC looks bearish and steady.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a June bear-call credit spread above the $10 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in 6 and a half months as long as SWHC is below $10 at June expiration. Smith & Wesson would have to rise by more than 40% before we would start to lose money.

SWHC has been above $10 as recently as yesterday, but has fallen sharply this morning and shown resistance around $10.10 over the past few weeks. This trade could be risky if the stock bounces back strongly, but with drops like today's and the one in October, investors will probably be cautious with this stock for the coming months.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in SWHC.

Before the bell: SWHC, AAPL, TGT, AXP, MOT, JBLU ...

Before the bell: Futures edge lower, awaiting jobs data

Gun maker Smith & Wesson (NASDAQ: SWHC) shares are down nearly 37% in premarket trading after the company lowered its full-year profit outlook on Thursday due to higher promotional spending and a plant shutdown.

Jim Goldman of CNBC reports that his sources in Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) Asia operations said "Apple will be making headlines in the next few weeks and months with some of its hottest products: the iPod Touch, the iPhone and a new ultra-portable laptop." Specifically, he reports that Production of iPod Touch has increased, the iPhone 3G version may be in store by May-June and then there is the unveiling of a new, ultra portable laptop computer at the company's Macworld event next month in San Francisco. To this, I know more than a few colleagues who would react by saying, last chance to buy Apple below $200. Maybe.

Notable calls:
  • Banc of America Securities downgraded Target (NYSE: TGT) to Neutral from Buy due to the macro environment.
  • Merrill Lynch downgraded the ratings on American Express (NYSE: AXP) and Capital One (NYSE: COF) to Sell from Neutral, citing increasing consumer credit concerns. Morgan Stanley also cut its rating on Capital One to Underweight from Overweight, with a similar concern about the growing problems in the U.S. consumer finance industry.

Continue reading Before the bell: SWHC, AAPL, TGT, AXP, MOT, JBLU ...

Before the bell 6-15-07: CAL, BA, EBAY, SWHC ...

Main market news here.

Continental Airlines Inc. (NYSE: CAL) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman Sachs due to valuation, a weak domestic market and oil prices.

Gun-maker Smith & Wesson Holding Corp. (NASDAQ: SWHC) shares are up 6.5% in pre-market trading (8:17 a.m.) after the company topped analyst estimates when it reported fourth-quarter results yesterday. The company also raised its 2008 outlook on expectations of strong sales for pistols, as well as a new range of shotguns and rifles. In numbers, Smith & Wesson earned $5.2 million, or 12 cents a share, on net product sales of $82.6 million, a 59.3% rise. Analysts were expecting earnings of 10 cents a share, before items, on sales of $72.9 million, according to Reuters Estimates.

Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) CEO James McNerney told newspapers today in Paris ahead of the airshow that he is confident the company can meet its goal to roll its first 787 "Dreamliner" jet off the production line on July 8. I, for one, doubt he would still maintain this to be the case such a short time before the promised date if didn't feel he could deliver. Well, I guess we will know soon enough though.

GE Money, the consumer lending unit of General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE), said it will offer eBay MasterCard in partnership with eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) in late June.

Adobe Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: ADBE) is seeing some pressure early this morning after the company reported a 24% rise in profits yesterday after the close to $152.51 million, or 25 cents a share. Excluding certain items, Adobe said earnings per share were 37 cents, beating analysts expectation of 35 cents a share. The lower end of the forecast for the next quarter, however, was below analysts' estimates.

While Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) yesterday said over 1 million copies of its Safari for Windows were downloaded within 48 hours of its introduction, many on the blogosphere wonder what was the purpose of creating this in the first place. While the most common arguments are: "1) this is a challenge to Microsoft, and; 2) this is a strategic platform for Apple to offer its own web-based application suite." I, Cringely has a few other reasons in mind.

Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton and her husband, liquidated a blind trust valued at $5 million to $25 million in April hoping to avoid any possible conflict of interest as the fund included investments in oil and drug companies like Pfizer Inc. (NYSE: PFE), Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM), Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT) and more.

Virginia Tech mass murderer buys guns illegally. Why wasn't law enforced?

Virginia Tech mass murderer Seung-Hui Cho was mentally deranged. But he had no problem buying his two weapons of mass destruction from a Roanoke, VA gun dealer and the combination of a Green Bay, WI web site and Blacksburg, VA pawnbroker. This got me thinking that there ought to be a law against selling guns to people in his mental condition.

It turns out there is. In this case, the law was simply not enforced. That's Newsweek's revelation. It found that the same 1968 federal gun law that blocks convicted criminals from buying firearms (passed after the assassinations of Martin Luther King Jr. and Robert F. Kennedy) also prohibits gun purchases by those who have a history of mental illness.

On Cho's gun application -- Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms Form 4473 -- he was asked: "Have you ever been adjudicated mentally defective or ... committed to a mental institution?" Cho answered "no."

Continue reading Virginia Tech mass murderer buys guns illegally. Why wasn't law enforced?

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DJIA+20.0310,246.97
NASDAQ-2.982,151.08
S&P 500-0.071,093.01

Last updated: November 10, 2009: 07:14 PM

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