"Gloom is thick enough to cut with a knife," says market historian and seasonal timing expert Sy Harding, whose timing system has just triggered a new intermediate-term buy signal on stocks. Here, in his Street Smart Report, the contrarian explains why he believes we are now near a market low.

He also looks at four new ETF index positions he has established in his portfolio. "The slowdown continues. Foreclosures soar. Debt problems are spreading to corporate and credit card loans. The housing collapse continues. The problems are affecting employment.

"And of course the credit crunch continues. Gasoline hit a record high $3.26 a gallon last week. Consumer confidence, and corporate CEO confidence is at multi-year lows regarding the economy.

"The gloom and doom has spread from financial publications to local newspapers and magazines, now featuring stories of layoffs and local plant closings, local small businesses suffering, comparisons to previous bad times, even occasionally to the Great Depression.

"Is the gloom thick enough? Are other conditions in place indicating we are near a market low? Here's why we think so:

In his Street Smart Report, market historian and seasonal timing expert Sy Harding takes an in-depth look at the economic outlook, explaining the Fed's concerns over inflation and potential stagflation.

"Investors in their thirties and forties often don't understand why the Federal Reserve sometimes becomes very worried about inflation.

"Their experience has been that, sure, the price of most everything rises over the long-term. But so what? They now pay $30,000 for automobiles their parents paid $10,000 for, and their grandparents bought for $2,000. Homes that sold for $50,000 in a previous generation now sell for $250,000.

"But their income has grown even faster, so their standard of living is significantly higher than it would have been fifty years ago. So what's to worry about inflation?

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My top pick for 2008 is the PowerShares U.S. Dollar Index Bullish (ASE: UUP)," says seasonal timing expert Sy Harding in his Street Smart Investor.

"The US dollar has been in a frightful decline against most global currencies for six years now. Its decline has served the US economy well. Among other positives, the weaker dollar made US exports less expensive for foreign consumers, while making imports more expensive for US consumers.

"That has been a win-win situation for US manufacturers in a period when US manufacturing has been a struggling sector of the economy.

"The weaker dollar has made travel to the US, and shopping here, a happy experience for foreign travelers. Without purchases of second homes by foreign buyers, the plunge in the housing market would have been even more severe.

For 25 years, Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, has surveyed the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is one of 100+ ideas in the Best Stocks for 2008 report.

"My favorite conservative stock for 2008 is Aegon (NYSE: AEG), a large diversified life insurance and pension services company headquartered in the Netherlands," says Sy Harding, editor of Street Smart Investing.

"Aegon conducts 73% of its business in the Americas, 14% in the United Kingdom, and 11% in the Netherlands. Value Line estimates the company's revenue will grow by 10% in 2007, with earnings per share rising 8%.

"The company has been on an impressive growth track since 2005, and its goal is to double the level of its 2005 business by the year 2010. With 2007 revenues running 48% higher than 2005, the company seems well on its way to achieving that goal.

"Demand for Aegon's products and services should continue in 2008 as longer life expectancies provide a growing demand for pensions and other retirement needs. And in December 2007, Aegon finalized a joint venture agreement with Taishin Financial Holdings Co., headquartered in Taiwan.

Using long-term seasonal cycle studies, Sy Harding was 100% invested until mid-May, when he exited the stock market. He notes, "We may have been early in taking bear fund positions, but it has now paid off."

In his Street Smart Report, the advisor now says, "We continue to expect the low won't be seen until the October-November time frame." In line with this view, he reviews the "downside ETF positions" in his model portfolio.

The advisor explains, "We believe the correction has just begun. We still expect a decline of 20% or more for the Russell from its peak to its low in the October-November time frame."

In his Aggressive Seasonal Timing Strategy portfolio, the advisor has been holding a pair of exchange-traded funds that bet on the downside: ProShares Short Dow ETF (ASE: DOG) and ProShares Short S&P 500 ETF (ASE: SH)."

For those not holding these ETFs, Harding suggests buying now. He forecasts, "Wall Street and market pundits will be trying to hold the market up by focusing investor attention on earnings. But earnings won't matter as the real problem won't go away."

In recent posts, I have reviewed the newsletter advisors' Top Picks from 2007, first highlighting stocks that were in the healthcare, tech, and telecom sectors and then highlighting favorites in the out-of-favor metals and energy areas.

To conclude this review, I'm turning now to the most popular sector in this year's annual Top Picks report -- financial stocks. Of particular note this year is the type of financial stocks that rose to the top of the advisors' buy lists.

In past years, it was routine to see brokerage firms and large cap consumer banks among the Top Picks. This year, only one such company was chosen; Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C) was selected as the favorite stock of both Mark Skousen and Kelley Wright.

Outside of Citi, the advisory community looked to an area that has rarely been cited in previous Top Picks reports --specialty finance companies. For example, Gordon Pape selected Brookfield Asset Management, which provides financing to real estate ventures.

Neil George chose a pair of companies spun off from Australia's Macquarie Bank. Both the Macquarie Infrastructure Trust (NYSE:MIC) and the Macquarie Infrastructure Group (OTC:MCORF) provide financing to global road, bridge, and airport development projects.

Each year Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Stocks Report.

Cedar Fair, LP (NYSE: FUN) is the top conservative stock pick for 2007 from Sy Harding, editor of Street Smart Report. He explains, "With its recent $1.2 billion acquisition of Paramount Parks from CBS Corp., Cedar Fair now operates 17 popular regional theme parks, and five water parks, in 13 states in the U.S. and one province of Canada.

"Cedar Fair is noted for exciting rides, with roller coaster enthusiasts traveling the Cedar Fair circuit on a regular basis to check out the latest offerings. For instance, its Cedar Point Park in Ohio now offers 65 rides and 16 roller coasters, including Top Thrill Dragster, the world's tallest and fastest coaster, and Millennium Force, the world's top-rated coaster for thrills.

"Thrill rides for the brave, water slides, wave action pools, and the like, are only a portion of the magnetism for customers. The parks are family oriented, with attractions for smaller children themed around the 'Peanuts' comic strip characters, and a variety of upscale hotels and restaurants for parents.

Each year Steven Halpern, editor of TheStockAdvisors.com, surveys the leading financial newsletter advisors asking for their favorite stocks for the coming year. This article is part of his 24th annual Top Picks Report.

ASA Bermuda Ltd. (NYSE: ASA), a precious metals closed-end investment company, is the favorite speculation for 2007 from Sy Harding. The editor of StreetSmart Reports explains, "Its by-laws require that it have at least 80% of its investments in the stocks of gold, silver, platinum, or diamond mining companies.

"Its holdings at year-end 2006 were approximately 70% in gold mining companies, with its largest holdings including Gold Fields Ltd., AngloGold Ashanti, and Barrick Gold. The balance of its assets are in other natural resource stocks including Anglo Platinum, Anglo American PLC, and Impala Platinum.

"We expect the bull market in gold and precious metals, which began in 2001, will continue in 2007. Gold tends to move opposite to the U.S. dollar, and in the same direction as the price of crude oil and inflation in general. Many analysts believe the U.S. dollar will be in a continuing downtrend in 2007. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve says it is still concerned about rising inflation.