- FBR Capital upgraded Franklin Resources (BEN) to outperform from market perform and raised its target price for shares to $127 from $105 to reflect its belief the company is well positioned in the current environment.
- UBS upgraded Nuance (NUAN) to buy from neutral and has an $18 price target on the stock. The firm upgraded shares based on valuation and believes the company could be an acquisition target.
- Morgan Stanley upgraded DryShips (DRYS) to equal weight from underweight and has a $5.50 target on the stock. The firm cites the firmer ultra-deepwater drilling market for the upgrade.
- Becton Dickinson (BDX) was upgraded to neutral from sell at Goldman.
- Edwards Lifesciences (EW) was upgraded to market perform at Rodman & Renshaw.
- Arkansas Best (ABFS) was upgraded to neutral from underperform at BofA/Merrill.
take-two posts
FeedAnalyst Calls: BCR, BEN, DRYS, INT, ISRG, NKE, NOK, NUAN, VCLK, ZMH ...
Continue reading Analyst Calls: BCR, BEN, DRYS, INT, ISRG, NKE, NOK, NUAN, VCLK, ZMH ...
Analyst Calls: AEO, BKC, BKE, GRA, KSP, MFE, PSS, TTWO, VPRT ...
- Hudson Square upgraded Take-Two (TTWO) to buy from hold, citing the better-than-expected Q3 report and increased guidance.
- Keybanc upgraded The Buckle (BKE) to hold from underweight given the potential for a special dividend in the near term.
- Stifel Nicolaus upgraded K-Sea Transportation (KSP) to hold from sell, citing KA First Reserve's $100M equity investment.
- Gold Fields (GFI) was upgraded to overweight from equal weight at Morgan Stanley.
- James Hardie NV (JHX) was upgraded to neutral from reduce at Nomura.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: AEO, BKC, BKE, GRA, KSP, MFE, PSS, TTWO, VPRT ...
Options Update: General Dynamics November Volatility Elevated
General Dynamics (GD) closed down 70 cents to $55.87. GD September option implied volatility is at 28, November is at 32, above its 26-week average of 28 according to Track Data, suggesting larger November price movement. Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) is expected to report Q3 EPS on September 2. TTWO September put option implied volatility is at 74, December and January is at 58; versus its 26-week average of 53 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
CBOE Volatility Index-VIX closed down 1.11 to 26.10.
Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Don't Expect Much Upside for Video Game Stocks
It's easy these days to get excited about video game stocks. But investors should beware: Not everything is what it seems. Part of the recent enthusiasm around video game stocks comes from game maker Activision's (ATVI) announcement on Thursday that it was raising its guidance for its Q1 results, which will be released on May 6. The company expects earnings of 72 cents per share, up from its earlier forecast of 70 cents per share. Shares were up nearly 4% on the news and the stock is up about 19% for the year.
Nintendo is also the source of some intrigue as it pushes ahead with ambitious plans to bring video games to the classroom and to implement 3D video game technology. Plus, the company is rolling out a souped-up DSi video game console with a bigger screen.
Continue reading Don't Expect Much Upside for Video Game Stocks
March Video Game Sales Could Level Up Nintendo, Sony and Others
After a disappointing February video game sales report, many analyst insiders are predicting a strong month in March for top video game stocks Electronic Arts (ERTS), Nintendo (NTDOY), Sony (SNE) and Take Two Interactive (TTWO).
The biggest reason is simply because the bar is set pretty low. March 2009 video game sales were down 17% when up against 2008 numbers, and unless the data gets seriously skewed we should see an organic rebound in numbers just from that low. If you'll recall, March 2009 was pretty bad on all fronts -- the economy shed 650,000 jobs, stocks hit a 12-year low, and there was a -6% contraction in GDP for the first quarter of 2009.
With lower expectations, the video game industry may win a reprieve when the March numbers roll out. But on top of those low expectations, a new Nintendo console and a few blockbuster titles should result in decent sales for the industry.
Continue reading March Video Game Sales Could Level Up Nintendo, Sony and Others
Earnings highlights: Best Buy, Discover, General Mills, Nike, Oracle, Rite Aid, Take-Two ...
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks:
- Adobe Systems Inc. (ADBE) shares rose after lower Q4 earnings and revenue beat analysts' expectations.
- Best Buy Inc. (BBY) shares sold off despite better-than-expected Q3 results due to the lower gross margin.
- Charles Schwab Corp. (SCHW) warned that Q4 earnings would come in lower than the Street view
- Discover Financial Services (DFS) shares were up after it reported better-than-expected Q4 earnings.
- First Solar Inc. (FSLR) offered a solid 2010 outlook but the consensus EPS estimate is high in the range.
- General Mills Inc. (GIS) strong Q2 results included better-than-expected earnings and a rosy outlook.
Take-Two Reports Much Higher Adjusted Income
Take-Two Interactive (TTWO), a video game publisher whose competitors include Activision Blizzard (ATVI) and Electronic Arts (ERTS), actually held up well Thursday after the company issued its Q4 report. I was honestly expecting a sell-off after the news. Why? The video game industry just isn't popular these days, so I figured the market would have found some excuse to send the shares packing. To my surprise, Take-Two gained over 1.8% in the regular session and then another 3% in the after-hours following the release.
Revenues increased 6%, but the action was in the per-share profit line. On an adjusted basis, Take-Two brought home 9 cents per share versus 2 cents per share in the fourth quarter of 2008. But I don't think the market cared too much about the data. After all, guidance for Q4 had already been announced near the beginning of the month. At that time, the stock was punished for the bad outlook and the upcoming GAAP loss. And I mean really punished. It lost 30% of its value at one point.
Continue reading Take-Two Reports Much Higher Adjusted Income
Consolidation in the video game sector: Too soon to think about?
The video game industry, as we are all aware, has taken a sharp turn from momentum growth. The various stocks in the sector, from my standpoint at least, are now becoming value-oriented plays. When this happens, the concept of consolidation comes into focus.
Trying to pick a stock that will experience a pop on a buyout is not for the faint of heart, or the impatient. And depending on the stocks you own, you might be hoping that you don't become involuntarily involved in an arbitrage scenario. That's why I was pleasantly relieved when I read an article stating that The Walt Disney Company (DIS) CEO Bob Iger may not be interested in purchasing a software publisher.
Continue reading Consolidation in the video game sector: Too soon to think about?
Earnings highlights: Ciena, Del Monte, Hovnanian, Krispy Kreme, Movado ...
Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
- Abercrombie & Fitch Co. (NYSE: ANF) earnings prospects and declining sales resulted in a downgrade.
- America's Car-Mart Inc. (NASDAQ: CRMT) stronger-than-expected Q1 results led shares to a four-year high.
- ArcSight Inc. (NASDAQ: ARST) reported strong Q1 numbers on increasing demand for cyber security.
- Brown-Forman Inc. (NYSE: BF.B) Q1 results easily topped expectations despite a decline in revenue.
- Ciena Corp. (NASDAQ: CIEN) posted a Q3 loss but revenue improved sequentially, and shares rose.
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Ciena, Del Monte, Hovnanian, Krispy Kreme, Movado ...
Earnings highlights: Citigroup, Kroger, Staples, J. Crew, National Semiconductor and more
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
- Aeropostale Inc. (NYSE: ARO) reported strong Q4 numbers as same-store sales increased.
- American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (NYSE: AEO) same-store sales fell in Q4 but earnings met expectations.
- ArcSight Inc. (NASDAQ: ARST) continued its growth in Q3 and it forecast continued growth.
- Buckle Inc. (NYSE: BKE) posted a better-than-expected Q4 profit and continued same-store sales growth.
- Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C) CEO said in a memo that it earned a profit in the first two months of this quarter.
- Dick's Sporting Goods Inc. (NYSE: DKS) beat Q4 earnings estimates but same-store sales fell.
Is Activision Blizzard in a buying mood? Should it be?
According to speculation in various news outlets and blogs, Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ: ATVI) may end up doing something with its huge cash position. The software publisher, most famous these days for its Guitar Hero property, has around $3 billion in its coffers. The question is, should Activision Blizzard spend its cash on an acquisition as opposed to doing other things with the money, like pay a special dividend or increase its buyback?
Considering that assets are cheap because of the recession, I'd say that a little shopping might not be such a bad idea. Here's an article that discusses the possibility of Activision Blizzard taking over Take-Two (NASDAQ: TTWO) distributor of Grand Theft Auto. Then there's the concept of buying up THQ (NASDAQ: THQI). Perhaps the company could take Mortal Kombat off the corporate hands of Midway Games.
Continue reading Is Activision Blizzard in a buying mood? Should it be?
Earnings highlights: Amgen, Big Lots, Cal-Maine, Piedmont, Take-Two
It was a quiet week, but here are highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
- Amgen Inc. (NASDAQ: AMGN) earnings growth prospects for 2009 make the stock worth a look.
- Big Lots Inc. (NYSE: BIG) offered no 2009 guidance but may benefit from bankruptcies of other retailers.
- Cal-Maine Foods Inc. (NASDAQ: CALM) Q2 earnings fell more than expected but revenue rose.
- Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) said it will soon post preliminary Q4 results in the face of falling oil prices.
- Piedmont Natural Gas Co. Inc. (NYSE: PNY) reported a widened Q4 loss while revenue improved.
- Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. (NASDAQ: TTWO) earnings prospects may make the stock a bargain.
Also, a survey indicated that U.S. corporate profits in the fourth quarter probably fell for the sixth straight quarter. Interest cuts haven't helped bank earnings, will the Fed buying mortgage-backed securities do better? And, are food stocks still a defensive play?
Upcoming earnings releases include Bed Bath & Beyond (NASDAQ: BBBY), Constellation Brands (NYSE: STZ), Family Dollar (NYSE: FDO), and Monsanto (NYSE: MON).
Earnings highlights: Best Buy, FedEx, Goldman Sachs, Nike, RIM, Oracle and others
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
- Adobe Systems Inc. (NASDAQ: ADBE) posted strong Q4 and full-year results, but with flat Q4 revenues.
- Best Buy Inc. (NYSE: BBY) beat Q3 expectations though earnings tumbled, and shares rose about 18%.
- Carnival Corp. (NYSE: CCL) announced that it had lowered its full-year earnings and revenue guidance.
- Discover Financial Services (NYSE: DFS) net income from continuing operations more than doubled in Q4.
- Eaton Corp. (NYSE: ETN) cut its Q4 earnings guidance on weakness in the American auto market.
- FedEx Corp. (NYSE: FDX) Q2 earnings topped expectations and it reaffirmed its guidance.
- General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE) declined to provide quarterly earnings guidance in its annual outlook.
- General Mills (NYSE: GIS) posted a higher-than-expected profit on cost cutting and increased marketing.
- Gilead Sciences Inc. (NASDAQ: GILD) strong earnings growth are expected by one analyst to continue.
- Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS) swung to an anticipated Q4 loss and reported negative revenues.
- Healthcare Realty Trust Inc. (NYSE: HR) was downgraded due to its near-term earnings prospects.
- Honeywell International Inc. (NYSE: HON) affirmed a lower 2009 outlook and said it expects profits to fall.
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Best Buy, FedEx, Goldman Sachs, Nike, RIM, Oracle and others
Options Update: Volatility elevated at gamers into ERTS outlook; TTWO, THQI, ATVI
Electronic Arts (NASDAQ: ERTS) is recently down $2.10 to $17.25 in pre-opening trading. ERTS lowered 2009 EPS & revenue targets. Smith Barney says: "ERTS is entering another period of negative earnings revisions with no positive catalysts on the horizon." ERTS overall option implied volatility of 81 is above its 26-week average of 62 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Activision (NADAQ: ATVI), an online and console game producer, closed at $10.09. ATVI December option implied volatility is at 109, January is at 94; above its 26-week average of 69 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
THQ Inc (NASDAQ: THQI) closed at $5.03. THQI is a developer & publisher of interactive entertainment software. THQI January option implied volatility of 94 is above its 26-week average of 70 according to Track Data, suggesting larger movement.
Take-Two (NASDAQ: TTWO), publisher, developer and distributor of interactive entertainment, closed at $12.12. TTWO rejected ERTS unsolicited bid in February 2008, but subsequently faced opposition from shareholders wanting to cash in on the deal. TTWO December option implied volatility is at 94, January is at 79; above its 26-week average of 74 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
Earnings highlights: Toll Bros., Take-Two, Tiffany, Staples, Kraft, Corning and others
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
- Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) earnings prospects may have encouraged the machinist union to strike.
- Ciena Corp. (NASDAQ: CIEN) Q3 results and weak guidance led shares to a new 52-week low.
- Corning Inc. (NYSE: GLW) lowered its Q3 earnings guidance below previous and analysts' forecasts.
- Dollar Financial Corp. (NASDAQ: DLLR) beat Q4 estimates and posted record 2008 results.
- Ericsson Telephone Co. (NASDAQ: ERIC) was downgraded because it could miss Q3 earnings expectations.
- Esterline Technologies (NYSE: ESL) topped Q3 expectations due to robust aerospace and defense markets.
- Joy Global Inc. (NASDAQ: JOYG) posted strong Q3 results due to a sharp increase in orders.
- Kraft Foods Inc. (NYSE: KFT) backed away somewhat from its previous 2008 earnings guidance.
- Legg Mason Inc. (NYSE: LM) earnings prospects for the next several quarters led to an analyst downgrade.
- MEMC Electronic Materials Inc. (NYSE: WFR) mid quarter update warned of declining demand for chips.
- Navistar International Corp. (NYSE: NAV) was upgraded following a strong Q3 report.
- New York Times Co. (NYSE: NYT) ongoing losses haven't diminished Rupert Murdoch's interest in it.
- Nokia Corp. (NYSE: NOK) warned that it would miss earnings estimates due in part to weak sales.
- Shanda Interactive Entertainment Ltd. (NASDAQ: SNDA) better-than-expected Q2 led to an analyst upgrade.
- Staples Inc. (NASDAQ: SPLS) Q2 earnings slipped while revenues rose, beating expectations.
- Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. (NASDAQ: TTWO) Q3 results soared but cut its Q4 guidance.
- Tenet Healthcare Corp. (NYSE: THC) was upgraded on its prospects for beating expectations.
- Terex Corp. (NYSE: TEX) warned that earnings for Q3 and Q4 would be lower than estimates.
- Tiffany & Co. (NYSE: TIF) posted better-than-expected Q2 results and offered full-year guidance.
- Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE: TOL) reported its fourth straight quarterly loss, but it was smaller than expected.
Also, Jim Cramer discusses a decline in earnings resulting from a collapse of oil and oil services.
Upcoming quarterly reports include Korn/Ferry (NYSE: KFY), Pep Boys (NYSE: PBY), Campbell Soup (NYSE: CPB), Krispy Kreme (NYSE: KKD), and Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ: LULU).
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