td posts
FeedPosted Aug 23rd 2009 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Canadian banks are scheduled to step into the earnings spotlight this week, with third-quarter reports coming from Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO), Bank of Nova Scotia (NYSE: BNS), Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE: CM), Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY), and Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD). While Canadian banks on the whole held up better than their U.S. counterparts during the financial crisis, these five are expected to report that their earnings are still declining in the most recent quarter.
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters are looking for EPS for these banks to have fallen from 15% to 25% from a year ago. Their long-term EPS growth forecast is for between 10% and 12%, which is in the same range as U.S. rivals JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM) and Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC), but better than Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) and Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C). Earnings multiples for these Canadian banks are 10x to 12x, but none of them have a First Call consensus recommendation is to buy. The Motley Fool, though, considers TD as a value stock and RY a stock poised to pop. All of them are trading much closer to their 52-week highs than lows, and shares of all are up more than 100% since March lows.
Continue reading The week in preview: Canadian banks in the earnings spotlight
Posted May 24th 2009 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Industry, AutoZone Inc (AZO)
After the Memorial Day holiday in the United States, the earnings spotlight turns to Canadian banks: Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO), Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE: CM), Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY), and Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD) are all scheduled to report their second-quarter results.
While banks north of the border of generally have held up better than their U.S. counterparts, analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect the four listed above to report that earnings declined between 20% and 30% since the same period of last year. All four have P/E ratios around 10, and they are paying dividends. Shares of all four have surged 50% to 83% in the past three months, but are still 26% to 38% lower than a year ago.
Continue reading The week in preview: Canadian and U.S. banks, and more
Posted Apr 1st 2009 11:30AM by Nancy Zambell (RSS feed)
Filed under: International markets, Canada, Stocks to Buy
I am the Global Editor at MoneyShow.com and each week I interview an investing expert. This week, I spoke with Gordon Pape, editor of The Canada Report, who thinks Toronto may have seen its lows, and he's cautiously optimistic on the loonie, too.
Q. Gordon, since we last spoke, global markets have lost nearly half their value, and the Toronto Stock Exchange's Composite Index has dropped from more than 15,000 to just over 8,700. Have we hit bottom?
A. We are cautiously optimistic, but the recent trillion-dollar bond purchase plan announced by the Federal Reserve is great news for Canada. The flood of cash will likely spur inflation, drive down the value of the US dollar, and raise the price of commodities. It's no surprise that gold [rose] almost $60 an ounce and oil [got] back over $50 a barrel. The Canadian stock market is heavily weighted to commodities, so we are seeing a big lift. I still expect a lot of volatility in the coming months. However, the March 6th TSE low of 7,480 may turn out to have been the bottom for this cycle.
Continue reading Global Q&A: Has Canada turned the corner?
Posted Dec 17th 2008 3:36PM by Melly Alazraki (RSS feed)
Filed under: Market matters, Scandals, Research in Motion (RIMM), Barrick Gold (ABX), Canada, Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT)

You can imagine my surprise when I checked the Canadian markets and saw them totally
unchanged. After several refreshes when the zeroes didn't budge, I even panicked. Then I saw the headline (how did I miss it before) that
trading was halted on the Toronto Stock Exchange and TSX Venture Exchange due to a computer glitch. Not only that, but there's also no estimate when trading will resume.
The exchanges have actually
failed to open at the regular time of 9:30 a.m. EST, and as one reporter put it "have been dead in the water since." If this is frustrating and stressful for me, I can't imagine what the mood is like on Bay Street; how traders and other market professionals must feel.
I'm not sure what could be done if there are big swings and news out of the U.S. While it's true the Canadian markets don't totally track their American counterparts, as they're heavily weighted in oil and commodities and react to news from those sectors often, they are still affected by what's going on at Canada's biggest trading partner to the south.
Still, it may not be the end of the world as the Canadian holidays also don't exactly follow the American ones and there are days when the TSE is closed while the American markets are open. Also, there are four alternative trading systems in Canada, two at least have reported to be functioning and operational. While volumes there were higher than usual for these system, they were hardly normal for the market as a whole. No doubt, though, these systems will get a boost following this fiasco.
Continue reading Canadian markets halted due to a glitch -- can it happen in the U.S.?
Posted Nov 30th 2008 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Sears Holdings (SHLD), Toll Brothers (TOL), Smithfield Foods (SFD)
Last week, Bank of Montreal (NYSE: BMO), one of Canada's oldest and largest banks, reported growth in its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings. But it may be the only one that does, as at least two of the Canadian banks scheduled to report fourth-quarter numbers this week have already released preliminary results that warn of lower earnings due to debt write-downs and trading losses.
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expect Toronto-based Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (NYSE: CM) to post earnings 42.6% lower than a year ago, or $1.28 per share. CIBC beat estimates by a penny in the third quarter, but missed by a penny in the period before that. The bank faces a class-action lawsuit related to investments in collateralized debt obligations consisting of U.S. subprime mortgages. Shares have climbed 20.7% from a recent 52-week low of $39.52, but are down 37.8% in the past three months.
Toronto Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD), Bank of Nova Scotia (NYSE: BNS), and Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY) are expected to report more modest earnings declines of $1.01 per share, $0.73 per share, and $0.83 per share, respectively. All three Toronto-based banks topped estimates in the third quarter. Toronto Dominion and RBC have recently announced plans to offer shares in order to raise capital. Toronto Dominion and Scotiabank have been trading near 52-week lows, and their share prices are down around 39% in the past three months. But only Toronto Dominion has a consensus buy recommendation from analysts.
Continue reading The week in preview: Canadian banks, homebuilders, Sears and food producers
Posted Aug 24th 2008 12:30PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Dell (DELL), Tiffany and Co (TIF), Sears Holdings (SHLD), Economic data
Results for the tech stocks in last week's preview were a mixed bag, some beats, some misses, some in line. By and large, expectations for tech companies reporting results this week remain high, though. Here's what analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are anticipating in the way of earnings, as compared to the same period of the previous year.
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LaBarge Inc. (AMEX:
LB): $0.27 EPS (+33.3%) on sales of $71.6 million (+10.4%)
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Dell Inc. (NASDAQ:
DELL): $0.36 EPS (+11.1%) on sales of $15.9 billion (+7.8%)
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HEICO Corp. (NYSE:
HEI): $0.46 EPS (+13.0%) on sales of $147.1 million (+10.5%)
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Novell Inc. (NASDAQ:
NOVL): $0.05 EPS (flat) on sales of $241.4 million (-0.7%)
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Continue reading The week in preview: Earnings expectations for techs, Canadian banks
Posted Jun 3rd 2008 11:33AM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Abercrombie and Fitch (ANF)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Abercrombie & Fitch, China Unicom and Toronto Dominion were today's noteworthy downgrades:
- Friedman Billings downgraded Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) to Market Perform from Outperform citing soft comps which could impact EPS expectations in 2H08 and SG&A investing.
- China Unicom (NYSE: CHU) was downgraded to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse and to Equal Weight from Overweight at Morgan Stanley as the company's phone asset sales garnered a lower-than-expected price.
- RBC Capital downgraded Toronto Dominion (NYSE: TD) to Sector Perform from Outperform citing expense initiatives in domestic retail banking which are hurting operating leverage, loan losses in U.S. banking, and muted capital markets revenues.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
- William Blair cut Littelfuse (NASDAQ: LFUS) to Market Perform from Outperform.
- Linear Tech (NASDAQ: LLTC) was downgraded at UBS to Neutral from Buy.
- Abiomed (NASDAQ: ABMD) was lowered to Neutral from Positive at Susquehanna.
Posted Apr 18th 2008 3:31PM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings reports, Conventions and conferences, Annual meetings, Microsoft (MSFT), Yahoo! (YHOO), Amazon.com (AMZN), General Motors (GM), AT and T (T), Halliburton (HAL), Bank of America (BAC), Hershey Co (HSY), Mattel, Inc (MAT), Wendy's Intl (WEN), United Parcel'B' (UPS), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Delta Air Lines (DAL)
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Monday, April 21
- Mattel (NYSE:MAT) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 8:30am.
- Halliburton (NYSE:HAL) reports Q1 earnings; conference call at 9:00am.
- Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 9:30am.
- Toronto-Dominion (NYSE:TD) t o hold conference call about the acquisition of Commerce Bancorp (CBH) at 11:00am.
Tuesday, April 22
- Wyeth (NYSE:WYE) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 8:00am.
- The Federal Reserve to host a meeting regarding the Countrywide Financial (NYSE:CFC) takeover by Bank of America at 9:30am.
- AT&T (NYSE:T) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 10:00am.
- Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 11:00am.
- Yahoo (NASDAQ:YHOO) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 5:00pm.
Wednesday, April 23
- Biovail (NYSE:BVF) PDUFA date for NDA of BVF-033 for the treatment of depression.
- UPS (NYSE:UPS) to report quarterly earnings; conference call at 8:30am.
- General Motors (NYSE:) to hold conference call on 1Q08 global sales at 9:00am.
- Delta (NYSE:DAL) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 10:00am.
- Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 5:00pm.
Thursday, April 24
- Hershey (NYSE:HSY) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 8:30am.
- Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) to report Q3 earnings; conference call at 5:30pm.
Friday, April 25
- Wendy's (NYSE:WEN) to report Q1 earnings; conference call at 9:00am.
Posted Apr 7th 2008 2:23PM by Steven Halpern (RSS feed)
Filed under: Newsletters, Canada, Stocks to Buy
"Almost untouched by the subprime scandal and the subsequent credit fallout, Canada's banks are strong and their risk of writeoffs are consider by most analysts as minor," notes Genia Turanova and Gregory Dorsey in Leeb's Income Performance Letter.
Here, they look at two favorites in the Canadian banking sector: Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD) and Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY).
"Toronto-Dominion and its subsidiaries, collectively known as TD Bank Financial Group, serve more than 14 million customers. The group offers a full range of financial products and services including wholesale banking securities, personal and business banking, wealth management and U.S. personal and commercial banking.
"TD Bank is looking to expand its US presence by acquiring New Jersey-based Commerce Bancorp. After the acquisition is completed, TD's US banking operations will double. As for the hot topic of all financials these days – its subprime exposure – Commerce Bancorp's $16 billion loan portfolio has no subprime exposure.
Continue reading Income expert banks on Canada
Posted Oct 25th 2007 4:45PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Microsoft (MSFT), Research in Motion (RIMM), Nortel Networks (NT), Stocks to Buy
My recent Investing in Ontario post took a look at the Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY), Manulife Financial Corp. (NYSE: MFC), and Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD); three public companies examined by the Motley Fool this past summer.
However, Ontario is more than just Canada's financial center. Its abundance of resources and location on Great Lakes have made Ontario a manufacturing powerhouse, including steel production and automobile manufacturing in southern Ontario, and mining and forestry in the north. Toronto is Canada's film and media center, as well as an important tourism destination. Niagara Falls is one of world's most popular tourist destinations. Other Ontario companies the Motley Fool liked include Research in Motion Ltd. (NASDAQ: RIMM), Nortel Networks Corp. (NYSE: NT), and IMAX Corp. (NASDAQ: IMAX).
Research in Motion (RIM), Canada's largest public company, is well know for its BlackBerry smart phones, but it also provides software development tools and produces radio-based modems used in portable devices. The consensus recommendation of analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial is to buy RIM, and has been since April. RIM met analysts' earnings per share estimate when it reported second quarter FY2008 earnings in early October, and Wall Street expects EPS of 62 cents in the third quarter, double the 31 cents actual from a year ago. RIM has a five-year EPS growth rate of 73.5%, easily beating the S&P 500 and the technology sector average. RIM's share price has been climbing since a share split in August, to reach a 52-week high of $128.36 on Tuesday; it opened today at $124.75. Also this week, RIM announced plans to sell the BlackBerry in China, and introduced Facebook for the BlackBerry as well. For more on Microsoft Corp.'s (NASDAQ: MSFT) challenge to RIM and other RIM-related news, see Bloggingstocks' RIM coverage.
Continue reading Investing in Ontario: Research in Motion (RIMM), Nortel Networks (NT), and IMAX (IMAX)
Posted Oct 12th 2007 2:25PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Industry, Canada, Stocks to Buy
Its abundance of resources and location on the Great Lakes have made Ontario an economic powerhouse. Canada's capital, Ottawa can be found there, as well as its largest city, Toronto, which is also Canada's financial hub. Seven of Ontario's eight largest companies are financial institutions, and Toronto is also the home of one of the largest stock exchanges in the world. When the Motley Fool took a look at stock investment opportunities in Ontario this past June, three of the companies they focused on were financial institutions: Royal Bank of Canada (NYSE: RY), Manulife Financial Corp. (NYSE: MFC) and Toronto-Dominion Bank (NYSE: TD). Considering the credit crunch and the weakness of the U.S. dollar, I thought it might be interesting to see how those companies are faring now.
The Royal Bank of Canada, also known as RBC Financial Group, is Canada's largest financial institution. It has 1,300 domestic locations and offices in 30 countries. In September, RBC's Gord Nixon won Canada's Outstanding CEO of the Year award for 2007. More recently, RBC announced the acquisition of a Caribbean bank, and it was one of four Canadian banks affected by restructuring at VISA. With RBC's five-year earnings per share growth rate of 26.5% (better than the S&P 500), the consensus recommendation of analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial is to buy RBC, despite missing earnings expectations for the past two quarters. RBC's share price is near an all-time high on the NYSE, closing Thursday at $57.09 on the NYSE. RBC will release its next quarterly report on November 30.
Continue reading Investing in Ontario: Royal Bank of Canada (RY), Manulife Financial (MFC), Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)
Posted Oct 3rd 2007 11:00AM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst reports, Analyst upgrades and downgrades, Johnson Controls (JCI)
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Toronto Dominion, Cytec Industries, Ceragon Networks, Micron and Navteq were today's noteworthy downgrades:
- CIBC downgraded shares of Toronto Dominion (NYSE: TD) to Sector Performer from Outperformer following the Commerce Bancorp (NYSE: CBH) acquisition, as they see integration risks and believes the deal will limit the company's ability to buyback stock.
- Cytec Industries (NYSE: CYT) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies, as they believe near-term risks to demand and margins could bring a better entry point by 1H08. Target lowered to $75 from $79.
- Collins Stewart downgraded shares of Ceragon Networks (NASDAQ: CRNT) to Underperform from Buy on valuation and uncertainties surrounding the stock, which include the NEC infringement issue and increased competition.
- Micron Technology (NYSE: MU) was downgraded to Accumulate from Buy at ThinkEquity. The firm is cautious on the sustainability of PC related demand and questions component order levels relative to PC sell through.
- Banc of America downgraded shares of Navteq Corporation (NYSE: NVT) to Neutral from Buy following Nokia's (NOK) proposed buyout.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
Posted Oct 2nd 2007 7:43AM by Melly Alazraki (RSS feed)
Filed under: Before the bell, International markets, Earnings reports, Deals, Products and services, Google (GOOG), Yahoo! (YHOO), Ford Motor (F), General Motors (GM), Market matters, Palm Inc (PALM), Economic data, Housing

U.S. stock futures are indicating this morning that the markets may continue yesterday's rally and start the session higher. After the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed at a record high yesterday, this morning investors will focus on housing and car and truck sales.
Yesterday, the start of the fourth quarter, U.S. stocks rallied with the Dow reaching record highs, on hopes of future rate cuts. Huge write downs announced by banks also helped sentiment as many were hoping these mean the credit crisis is coming under control and being dealt with. The Dow industrials gained nearly 192 points to close at a new record 14,0857, having hit an intraday high of 14,115. This 1.38% climb was matched by the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 with 1.46% and 1.33% respective advances of their own.
Only August pending U.S. home sales will be released today at 10:00 a.m. and sales are expected to show a further decline.
Car makers will report
September car and truck sales with Honda the only manufacturer expected to show year-over-year gains, according to
MarketWatch, but the overall industry is starting to stabilize after car makers experienced a tough summer in the showrooms due to the sluggish economic climate. According to the average estimates of seven analysts in a
Bloomberg survey, however, Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F) and Chrysler are expected to post 15% and 5.9% declines in September U.S. sales and GM (NYSE: GM) a 3% increase.
Overseas, Asian markets
rose to record highs with Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index closing above 28,000 points for the first time, Australia, Singapore, and Indonesia also reaching records. European stocks continued their
advance today for the second day in a row, boosted by gains from the banking sector and solid results from British supermarket giant Tesco.
Palm Inc. (NASDAQ:
PALM) shares fell nearly 5% in after-hours trading yesterday after the company reported a a
small loss in its fiscal first quarter and forecast lower-than-expected results for the current quarter. As Palm continues to struggle, rivals Apple and RIM's performance has been phenomenal. In the quarter Palm sold 689,000 Treos, up 21% from the year-ago period. It lost $841,000, or a penny per share, in the first quarter on revenue that rose to $360.8 million, 1% above the year-ago period. Excluding charges, Palm would have earned $9.7 million, or 9 cents per share, beating analysts expectations. But Palm also issued a weak outlook.
TD Bank Financial Group (NYSE:
TD) said it
will acquire Commerce Bancorp Inc. (NYSE:
CBH) in a stock-and-cash deal valued at $8.5 billion.
Yahoo Inc. (NYSE:
YHOO), in yet another attempt to gain back some market share from rival Google Inc. (NASDAQ:
GOOG) in internet search, has
retooled its online search engine to make it more helpful and engaging.
Posted Jun 6th 2007 5:00PM by Jon Ogg (RSS feed)
Filed under: TD AmeriTrade Holding (AMTD)
On today's
Stop Trading! on CNBC, Jim Cramer gave his take on a couple issues in the financial services group today. Cramer's basic premise was "short
Ameritrade Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:
AMTD), long
Prudential Financial Inc. (NYSE:
PRU)." The basis is that he feels that the gap in Ameritrade based on a
filing showing pressure to merge with a competitor is not really going up much from here and that Joe Moglia will have a hard time squeezing extra value from here above all the wins he has already made. Cramer also thinks that this move out away from trading and research at Prudential is a good move.
The long and short of the matter is that Cramer's stance may be right on, since Ameritrade may be in a spot where adding more value gets more difficult. The stock is on a 52-week high today, and up more than 50% from the 52-week lows and carries a $12.5 billion market cap. But this company does not have to buckle because two hedge funds decide to go activist. It has the full backing of
Toronto Dominion Bank (NYSE:
TD) as far as everyone knows and shares were under $5 five-years ago. Moglia should either send S.A.C. and JANA Partners a copy of his middle finger or he should sit on the photocopier and send them that picture. These activists have gone mad and gone on a fishing expedition, even if Ameritrade did reach $25 in early 2006.
As far as whether or not the market likes the Prudential call like Cramer does, you have to ask why shares are down 1%. The company has just removed any advantage it might have had over a discount broker, and now it is essentially
a financial widget maker hiding behind the ruse of an asset gatherer. I will concede that Cramer said the research was great out of Prudential, but calling the "research drop" good is like saying "information has no value." Good luck selling those overpriced annuities boys!
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