technical analysis posts
Posted Jul 2nd 2009 1:30PM by Elizabeth Harrow
Filed under: Deals, Competitive strategy, Altria Group (MO)
Tobacco titan Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE: PM) is snapping up the South African operations of Swedish Match for a cool 1.75 billion rand, or roughly $224.7 million. The acquisition is part of PM's broader strategy to gain a foothold in the smokeless tobacco arena. Currently, Swedish Match South Africa is the market leader in the South African pipe tobacco and snuff categories.
"This financially attractive acquisition represents an excellent strategic fit for our business in South Africa," said Jean-Claude Kunz, PM's president of Eastern Europe, Middle East, and Africa. "We firmly believe that merging the two businesses will provide us with the talent, infrastructure, and expertise to further build and grow our portfolio of strong brands in this important market."
Continue reading Philip Morris shells out $224.7 million for Swedish Match unit
Posted Jun 30th 2009 12:30PM by Elizabeth Harrow
Filed under: Analyst reports, Bank of New York (BK), NASDAQ
The Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (NYSE: BK) has become a minority equity investor in International Derivatives Clearing Group (IDCG), the derivatives clearing unit that's a subsidiary of Nasdaq OMX Group (NASDAQ: NDAQ). Financial terms of the deal were not disclosed, nor was the size of the stake -- but it's definitely a symbiotic pact. IDCG will use securities servicing products provided by the bank, and Bank of New York Mellon's chief executive of broker-dealer services, Art Certosimo, will join IDCG's board.
"This strategic partnership with Nasdaq OMX provides our buy side and sell side clients with a flexible platform that meets their derivatives trading, clearing and servicing needs," stated Bank of New York Mellon President Gerald Hassell. Bob Greifeld, CEO of Nasdaq OMX, added that the partnership "lends support to President Obama's proposed reforms of the [over-the-counter] derivatives market."
Continue reading Bank of New York Mellon invests in Nasdaq derivatives unit
Posted Jun 29th 2009 11:00AM by Elizabeth Harrow
Filed under: SEC filings, Bad news, Options
State Street Corp. (NYSE: STT) said today that its State Street Bank & Trust Co. unit received a Wells Notice from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The notice, which indicates that civil charges may be brought against the company, relates to disclosures and management of certain fixed-income strategies during 2007 and previous periods.
Some investors have accused State Street of misleading them about the risks involved in mortgage-related investments. A legal reserve fund worth $625 million was established in 2007 to cover investor claims, and $418 million has already been paid out. The firm says it is currently cooperating with the SEC, as well as state and other regulators.
Continue reading State Street unit slapped with Wells Notice
Posted Jun 24th 2009 12:40PM by Elizabeth Harrow
Filed under: Earnings reports, Forecasts, Options
Monsanto Co. (NYSE: MON) pleasantly surprised the Street with a stronger-than-expected third-quarter profit. This morning, the company reported quarterly net income of $694 million, or $1.25 per share, besting analysts' expectations for a profit of $1.18 per share. Net sales arrived at $3.2 billion, down 11% from the year-ago period.
Additionally, Monsanto said it will create a separate division for its herbicides business, in order to "better align spending and working capital needs." The firm will also undergo a restructuring that will result in 900 lost jobs, or less than 4% of its global workforce. The change will translate to a fourth-quarter charge of roughly $350 million, or 41 cents to 47 cents per share.
Continue reading Monsanto tops 3Q profit estimates, warns on Roundup earnings
Posted Jun 12th 2009 12:30PM by Elizabeth Harrow
Filed under: Options, Financial Crisis
A report today in the New York Post indicates that Western Asset Management Co., a unit of Legg Mason (NYSE: LM), is one of several institutional investors hatching a plan to absorb bad assets from banks. The Post says that LM's unit is "among a growing group of big-name investors looking at establishing vehicles similar to real-estate investment trusts that would sell shares to the public and use the proceeds to buy troubled residential mortgages and commercial real estate."
Other interested parties include Pacific Investment Management Co., as well as billionaire Gerald J. Ford, says the Post. The creation of an REIT-like entity to purchase undervalued mortgage assets would fall under the Public-Private Investment Program described by Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner earlier this year as part of the government's broader bailout initiative.
Continue reading Legg Mason ponders a plan to buy up banks' toxic loans
Posted Jun 12th 2009 10:00AM by Steven Halpern
Filed under: Forecasts, S and P 500, DJIA, Recession, Financial Crisis
Despite a strongly bearish long-term outlook, technicians Stephen Hochberg and Robert Prechter continue to see near-term upside for the market.
In The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, a specialty service focused on a form of technical analyst known as Elliott wave theory, they explain, "Optimism is definitely on the increase, but it is not yet as the exteme that typically accompanies the end of a Primary degree rally.
"So notwithstanding near-term gyrations, the Dow should rise to the initial target, which remains in the 9,000 to 10,000 range.
Continue reading Elliott wave still rising: A technical outlook
Posted Jun 9th 2009 11:20AM by Elizabeth Harrow
Filed under: Forecasts, General Electric (GE), Options, Recession
GE Aviation, a unit of General Electric Co. (NYSE: GE), warned that it expects orders to be cut in half this year amid the ongoing recession. Jack Lutze, the unit's vice president of sales for Europe and Africa, told Reuters that deferrals are rising as airlines postpone spending on new jets. "Everybody is looking to push back 2010," explained the VP.
On the plus side, Lutze reports that GE Aviation has an order backlog that should translate to years' worth of production -- leftovers from a period of expansion earlier this decade in the airline industry. "This industry lurches from boom to bust," he observed. "We lag the industry on the way down and on the way up."
Continue reading GE Aviation expects orders to plummet as airlines cut spending
Posted Jun 7th 2009 10:10AM by Connie Madon
Filed under: Technical Analysis, Personal finance
It is said that Archimedes discovered the principle of displacement while sitting in a tub of water. It's not unusual for insights to occur at unforeseen times. So too it was with economist Edwin Coppock. On being told that it took 11 to 14 months to mourn a death, he used this idea to develop an indicator that would predict a sustained rally after an economic downturn.
The Coppock indicator is the sum of a 14-month rate of change in an index and 11-month rate of change, smoothed out by a 10-period weighted moving average. When the curve less than zero and rises, that is a "buy" signal. The deeper it goes below zero, the more powerful the rally. The Coppock indicator has predicted 16 U.S. rallies from 17 "buy" signals, and recently the Coppock indicator gave another "buy" signal.
Continue reading What is the Coppock indicator?
Posted Jun 5th 2009 11:45AM by Elizabeth Harrow
Filed under: Marketing and advertising, China, Options, Kraft Foods'A' (KFT), DJIA
In an interview with Reuters, Kraft Foods Inc. (NYSE: KFT) reported that it expects sales in China to gain 10% in 2009. "This is one of the times when I love being in the food business. This is a market that, whatever happens in the economy, people still eat. And we have a range of products to serve everybody's needs," explained Lorna Davis, the company's president of operations in China. "Opportunities here are just huge," she added.
The projected 10% sales growth for 2009 roughly corresponds with Kraft's 2008 sales results in China. The food firm plans to maintain its healthy pace of expansion by way of a 20% boost to advertising spending. "If you want to build your business here and you don't spend more than 10 percent of your total revenue on advertising, you are not going to grow," asserted Davis.
Continue reading Kraft Foods hikes ad budget to maintain growth in China
Posted Jun 4th 2009 12:30PM by Elizabeth Harrow
Filed under: Analyst reports, Apple Inc (AAPL), Analyst initiations, Options
Last night, Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) announced plans to build its first East Coast data center. The facility will be located in North Carolina, which recently enacted tax breaks to lure the popular tech company, but no specific site has yet been selected. Apple is expected to pour more than $1 billion into the project over the next nine years.
Apple spokeswoman Susan Lundgren declined to say how the data center will be used. In a statement, the tech firm said only, "We're looking forward to building a new data center in North Carolina, and we appreciate the efforts of Gov. Perdue and state lawmakers who helped make it possible." Construction is expected to begin soon.
In other Apple news today, the company is attracting bullish attention from Societe Generale. The brokerage firm started coverage of AAPL with a Buy rating and a $160 price target.
Continue reading Apple sets sights on North Carolina, scores Buy recommendation
Posted Jun 3rd 2009 11:00AM by Elizabeth Harrow
Filed under: Amer Intl Group (AIG), Options, Financial Crisis
Reports today indicate that American International Group, Inc. (NYSE: AIG) may need yet another bailout from the federal government. This time, The New York Post states that AIG will likely require additional government guarantees before it can successfully sell its International Lease Finance Corp. (ILFC) aircraft leasing business.
"Already, the government has agreed to guarantee $5 billion of debt, but those remaining in the auction now want either more government aid or support from airline manufacturers," reports the Post. The newspaper notes that ILFC carries a $30 billion debt load, portions of which will soon mature, along with $50 billion in assets. The unit, which has been up on the auction block since last September, has a book value of $7.5 billion.
AIG shares slipped more than 6% this morning to trade at $1.46, extending their 52-week swoon of 95.7%. After smacking into resistance from its 10-month moving average, the stock is now struggling to maintain a foothold atop its recently supportive 10-week trendline.
Even though the security is trading fairly low on the charts already, some traders are betting on continued losses from AIG. Despite a 16.4% drop in short interest during the most recent reporting period, shorted shares still account for a hefty 9.7% of the stock's available float. Plus, peak put open interest in the June series lies at the 2 strike, with 17,975 contracts in residence.
Elizabeth Harrow is an analyst and financial writer in the research department at Schaeffer's Investment Research. She is featured in the video series Schaeffer's Daily Q&A on SchaeffersResearch.com.
Posted Jun 2nd 2009 11:00AM by Elizabeth Harrow
Filed under: Citigroup Inc. (C), Options, DJIA, Financial Crisis
Downtrodden Citigroup Inc. (NYSE: C), which received its walking papers from Dow Jones on Monday, has informed five of its former executives that they'll no longer be receiving severance payouts. According to a report today in The Wall Street Journal [subscription required], recently departed executives Kevin Kessinger and Michael Klein will be among those affected by the decision.
Already, Citi has doled out approximately half of the $100 million it pledged to these former execs. The U.S. Treasury hasn't demanded that the severance payments be halted, but sources close to the bailed-out bank say that Citi's top brass "[want] to avoid even the possibility of a public backlash over the money."
Even though it would seem that Citi is finally getting a handle on the concept of money management -- or public relations, at the very least -- investors are hardly cheering. The stock has given up more than 3% today, extending its year-to-date drop of 45%. In fact, the shares are currently in position to finish the session below their 10-day and 20-day moving averages, which would mark the first breach of this double-barreled support since May 1.
Continue reading Citigroup suspends severance pay, battles technical resistance
Next Page >