"Another week and another 6-1/2 year recovery high for the S&P 500," says technical analyst Melvin Pasternak -- who sees several reasons to remain bullish. Indeed, Friday's close put the index above 1500 for the first time since September 2000. So what's next?
The editor of Swing Trader believes the S&P is now within "easy striking distance" of the all-time closing high set March 14, 2000, at 1527.46 and the intraday peak of 1552.87 made that same day.
As the rally over the past week unfolded, he notes, stocks rose on both economic statistics and takeover activity. He points to last week's report from The Institute for Supply Management (ISM), which saw its Manufacturing Index increase from 50.9 in March to 54.7 in April.
He explains, "That number allayed fears the economy might be cooling too quickly." He adds, "Even Friday's tepid non-farm payrolls number of 88,000 did little to dishearten the bulls. Instead, traders put together all the week's statistics and saw an economy that was not too hot nor too cold."
This "Goldilocks scenario" of moderate economic growth and tepid increases in labor costs, he explains, means inflation should stay low. As a result, he says, "This increases the likelihood the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged or even lower them in the coming quarters."