Minyanville contributor Adam Katz dares to share the kind of keen insight and actionable information you won't find in any prospectus. For more original thought, visit www.minyanville.com.

Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) reported disappointing results and Sun Microsystems (NASDAQ: JAVA) preannounced negatively. Last week, IBM (NYSE: IBM) followed through with their positive preannouncement and Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) outperformed expectations.

What we are seeing is a divergence in where dollars are flowing. With company web sites largely representing the most effective and quantifiable marketing tool, it should come as no surprise that GOOG has revenue streams that are reasonably insulated. (This is not a call on GOOG because I believe the market is also pricing in the fact that the hyper growth days are behind them).

With respect to IBM, infrastructure software has been the primary driver behind the top line growth and growth in margins. In the meantime, the disappointment that we are seeing from TXN and JAVA should be reasonably expected as you are seeing slowing demand for hardware (in part driven by virtualization which by definition lowers hardware requirements) and TXN which, leveraged to consumer communication devices, is also taking a pause.

So the sky isn't falling.

Corporate earnings aren't that bad and are surprising analysts. Oil prices are falling just as quickly as they rose. If you are a contrarian investor, you must have a big grin on your face.

Common wisdom had it that markets were going to keep dropping, that the price of crude would hit $200 a barrel, and that bank after bank would go bankrupt. But what's happened? The opposite. Bank earnings aren't as bad a feared, crude has fallen to under $130 and suddenly investors are a bit more optimistic.

Even when we get bad news, like earnings from Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) and others, the market is able to hold up. Industries that just a week ago were being left for dead suddenly came roaring back to life. For investors who like to dabble in out of favor stocks, this market is a dream come true. Battered sectors such as financials, airlines, and even autos have surged over the last week. Who would have dreamed that airline stocks would actually stage a rally? What's interesting is that even with their recent move these sectors are all still trading significantly off their highs, meaning that potentially we have much more room to run.

Semiconductor company Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) reported results for the second quarter, and the stock sold off during the after-hours session on Monday. At one point shares were down 11%.

I can sort of see why this happened. It wasn't an exciting earnings release at all, especially in a bad market. First, the top line decreased by about 2% to $3.35 billion. Earnings from continuing operations on a diluted basis grew by only 5% to 42 cents per share. Operational cash flow declined by 42% to $520 million. Nope, not my kind of earnings release, let me tell you. Texas Instruments doesn't seem to have the right stuff in terms of bottom-line growth. Management pointed out that the challenging economy has led to weak demand. Also, let me add that, according to this article, the results missed estimates by two pennies.

I don't really want to own Texas Instruments here. If I had to buy a tech stock, I'd be more inclined to look at a Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) or an Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL). Apple also reported earnings on Monday and saw its shares slide after delivering a much stronger quarter than the one delivered by Texas Instruments. That about says it all, doesn't it?

Disclosure: I don't own any company mentioned; positions can change at any time.

Texas Intruments (NYSE: TXN) shares are trading higher today after mobile-phone maker Nokia (NYSE: NOK) reported a second-quarter profit of $2.18 billion, beating analysts' estimates on strong sales growth. TXN's semiconductor chips are used in NOK phones, so this is good news for TXN. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on TXN.

After hitting a one-year high of $38.99 last July, the stock hit a one-year low of $26.48 on Tuesday. TXN opened this morning at $28.72. So far today the stock has hit a low of $28.03 and a high of $29.18. As of 1:05, TXN is trading at $28.65, up 0.59 (1.6%). The chart for TXN looks bearish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an August bull-put credit spread below the $25 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in just one month as long as TXN is above $25 at August expiration. TI would have to fall by more than 12% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

TXN hasn't been below $26 at all in the past year and has shown support around $27 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out on 7/21) disappoint, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock might find just below $27, where it bottomed over the past month.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in TXN nor NOK.

Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) shares are falling after the company warned that weak demand for its chips used in cell phones could hurt profits. TXN narrowed its second-quarter earnings forecast to a range of 43 cents to 47 cents per share, from a range of 42 cents to 48 cents per share. Analysts are expecting earnings of 46 cents per share. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on TXN.

After hitting a one-year high of $39.63 in July, the stock hit a one-year low of $27.51 in March. This morning, TXN opened at $30.75. So far today the stock has hit a low of $30.40 and a high of $30.95. As of 12:30, TXN is trading at $30.72, down $0.61 (-2.0%). The chart for TXN looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an October bear-call credit spread above the $37.50 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in four and a half weeks as long as TXN is below $37.50 at May expiration. TI would have to rise by more than 21% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• Chip suppliers for cellphones including Qualcomm Incorporated (NASDAQ: QCOM), Texas Instruments Incorporated (NYSE: TXN) and Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) are moving aggressively to make products for Intel Corporation's (NASDAQ: INTC) new breed of pocket-size portable devices, called MIDs, the Wall Street Journal reported.

OTHER PAPERS:

• According to the UK Times, Barclays Plc (NYSE: BCS) and The Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (NYSE: RBS) were raided by the Office of Fair Trading as part of the investigation into price fixing loans to professional services firms.

WEB SITES:

• Almost three dozen of the largest U.S. companies may have to slash their dividends, since the dividends greatly exceed their cash flow, Bloomberg reported. Large companies in this situation include General Motors Corporation (NYSE: GM), Motorola Inc (NYSE: MOT), and The New York Times Company (NYSE: NYT).
• China Telecom Corporation Limited (NYSE: CHA) may announce today that it has bought the mobile phone assets of China Unicom Limited (NYSE: CHU) and its parent company for more than $14.4B, Bloomberg reported, citing the South China Morning Post. China Unicom could say that it is merging with China Netcom Group Corporation (NYSE: CN) as early as today, the newspaper added.

Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) shares are trading higher after Nokia (NYSE: NOK) reported that its single-chip plan is still on track despite Infineon (NYSE: IFX), a supplier for NOK, announcing yesterday that it is seeing some delays. TXN is supplying NOK with GSM single chips for its mobile handsets and may be called upon to pick up the slack during this delay. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on TXN.

After hitting a one-year high of $39.63 in July, the stock hit a one-year low of $27.51 in March. TXN opened this morning at $32.36. So far today the stock has hit a low of $32.32 and a high of $33.00. As of 1:17, TXN is trading at $32.73, up 0.24 (0.7%). The chart for TXN looks bullish and steady, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider an October bull-put credit spread below the $27.50 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 13.6% return in just five months as long as TXN is above $27.50 at October expiration. TXN would have to fall by more than 16% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

TXN hasn't been below $27.50 at all in the past year and has shown support around $32 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out in mid-July) disappoint, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock might find around $28, where it found support over the past two months.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in TXN, NOK, or IFX.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: U.S. semiconductors, Teekay Offshore and Oplink Communications were today's noteworthy upgrades:

• Goldman upgraded the U.S. Semiconductor Sector, including Intel (NASDAQ: INTC) and SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) to Attractive from Neutral. The firm believes semi fundamentals are poised to improve in 2H08 and that valuations are reasonable.
  
• Wachovia upgraded Teekay Offshore (NYSE: TOO) to Outperform from Market Perform based on valuation and increased distribution growth outlook following the acquisition of an additional 25% ownership interest in Teekay Offshore Operating, L.P.
  
• Merriman upgraded shares of Oplink Communications (NASDAQ: OPLK) to Buy from Neutral as it believes the company is an attractive takeover target following the Finisar (NASDAQ: FNSR) and Optium (NASDAQ: OPTM) merger, given its low-cost Chinese manufacturing capacity and attractive $140M cash balance.

OTHER UPGRADES:

• Goldman upgraded Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN) to Buy from Neutral and added shares to its Conviction Buy List.
  
• William Blair raised Interpublic Group (NYSE: IPG) to Outperform from Market Perform.
  
• Citigroup upgraded Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) to Buy from Hold.

Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) reported Q1 numbers Monday after the bell, and I have to say that the report was OK in a relative sense -- nothing in it compelled me to want to do much of anything about the stock. The stock was off a little less than 2% in after-hours trading.

What drove the stock lower? Revenues didn't jump too high, rising 3% to $3.3 billion. Earnings per share, however, did rise by a pretty respectable amount -- they increased 40% to $0.49 per diluted share. It should be noted, though, that this figure included a $0.06 per share tax benefit.

In terms of expectations, Texas Instruments merely met them, according to Briefing.com, plus the company's outlook for the second quarter wasn't particularly robust -- the press release indicates a cautious tone in terms of its guidance on the part of management. Apparently, Texas Instruments believes the soft economy might keep growth potential firmly in check. Taken together, these stats seemed to have added up to a lower stock price. There were, however, some positive things to note in terms of the margins -- the gross and operating margins were up on a year-over-year basis.

Texas Instruments, which competes with Qualcomm (NASDAQ: QCOM), may not have really bombed with its Q1 report, but again, I don't think there's any reason for me to buy or short the company's stock. I think there are better ideas out there in the tech sector; I continue, for instance, to find Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) a stock worth some due diligence.

Disclosure: I don't own shares in any of the companies mentioned; positions can change at any time.

Texas Instruments Inc. (NYSE: TXN) shares are falling after mobile-phone maker Nokia (NYSE: NOK) declared a first quarter profit of $1.9 billion, which fell below analysts' estimates and warned of a small decline in the handset market. This has pulled down TXN, which makes chips used in mobile-phone handsets. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on TXN.

After hitting a one-year high of $39.63 in July, the stock hit a one-year low of $27.51 in March. This morning, TXN opened at $28.94. So far today the stock has hit a low of $28.29 and a high of $29.61. As of 12:10, TXN is trading at $28.55, down 1.06 (-3.6%). The chart for TXN looks neutral and improving, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bear-call credit spread above the $32.50 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 11.1% return in three months as long as TXN is below $32.50 at July expiration. TI would have to rise by more than 14% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.

TXN hasn't been above $32.50 since January and has shown resistance around $30 recently. This trade could be risky if the company's earnings (due out on 4/21) are a positive surprise, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by resistance TXN might find at its 200 day moving average, which is currently around $32.50 and falling.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in TXN or NOK.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says Tuesday's action addressed the systemic risk, but not the earnings problems.

Oh, shoot ... the fundamentals. Remember them? The ones not covered by Caterpillar's (NYSE: CAT) (Cramer's Take) rosy forecast for 2010? Yeah, those bits and pieces called earnings?

That's how I always feel after a big rally day when I know the economy is slowing, not getting better. We get some terrific news from the Fed as we did Tuesday, and we want to sound the all-clear. Instead we have to now deal with companies' earnings, and we know from Wellpoint (NYSE: WLP) (Cramer's Take) et al and Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) (Cramer's Take) et al that the Fed safety net doesn't take everything in with it.

So what did happen yesterday? After pondering it for seemingly every waking -- and sleeping! -- hour since it happened, I am thinking that yesterday's Fed move took off the systemic risk of a major financial failure.

Shares of chip maker Texas Instruments Inc. (NYSE: TXN) have been falling this morning after the company cut its first-quarter sales and earnings outlook last night.

Texas Instruments blamed one of its key customers as it decided to slash orders. The only clue about this mysterious customer, whose name wasn't disclosed by the company, was that is a maker of wireless phones. Texas Instruments now expects first-quarter earning in a range between 41 cents and 45 cents per share, which is below analysts' predictions for quarterly profit of 46 cents per share. The company had previously predicted earnings of 43 cents to 49 cents.

Looking at revenue, the company forecast sales in a range between $3.21 billion and $3.35 billion, compared with its previous range of $3.27 billion to $3.55 billion. Its predictions were again below analysts' estimates of $3.40 billion, according to Thomson Financial.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: The Managed Care sector, Keryx Biopharma and Citrix Systems were today's noteworthy downgrades:

• Goldman downgraded the Managed Care sector to Neutral from Attractive following WellPoint's (NYSE: WLP) reduced 2008 outlook. The firm said WellPoint's issues reflect a company specific underwriting error but also industry-wide pricing pressures which increase the risk of a cyclical slowdown in managed care. WellPoint was also downgraded to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan.
  
• Banc of America cut Keryx Biopharma (NASDAQ: KERX) to Neutral from Buy and lowered their target to $1.00 after Sulonex failed to meet its primary endpoint.
  
• Jefferies downgraded shares of Citrix Systems (NASDAQ: CTXS) to Hold from Buy, as they believe the first half of 2008 will be a tough year for software and are increasingly worried about the macro environment.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

• Level 3 Comm (NASDAQ: LVLT) was downgraded to Underweight from Market Weight at Thomas Weisel.
  
• Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) was lowered to Neutral from Buy at Piper Jaffray.
  
• Credit Suisse removed Bunge Limited (NYSE: BG) from its U.S. Focus List.

Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) revised its quarterly outlook down during an update of its business yesterday. It pointed to its 3G chip business as a reason for the disappointment and indicated that one of its larger customers had cut demand. TI's largest 3G chip customer is Nokia (NYSE: NOK).

Shares in Nokia fell 3.2% in early trading on the news.

While the news may be bad for Nokia, it is worse for Motorola (NYSE: MOT), which was not generally mentioned as part of the TI news. Nokia has a strong balance sheet, is highly profitable, and has 40% of the handset market worldwide. In other words, it can weather a slowdown.

Motorola's share of the global cellphone business is now about 12%, down from 22% two years ago. Its stock trades near a 52-week low, at $8.54. Its cell operation has been for sale for over a month, and there appear to be no likely buyers, perhaps because of its huge losses.

If Nokia is getting a cold, Motorola is getting pneumonia.

Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.

Monday, March 10

• Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG) and InterActive Corp. (NASDAQ: IACI) to present at Bear Stearns Media Conference.
• Texas Instruments Inc. (NYSE: TXN) to hold mid-quarter update conference call at 5:00 pm.

Tuesday, March 11

• Foot Locker Inc. (NYSE: FL) to report Q4 earnings; conference call at 9:00 am.
• Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) to hold analyst meeting at 9:00 am.
• Kroger Co. (NYSE: KR) to report Q4 earnings; conference call at 10 am.

Wednesday, March 12

• FDA Oncologic Drugs Advisory Committee Meeting on Schering-Plough Corp.'s (NYSE: SGP) sBLA for Pegintronfor treatment of melanoma at 8:00 am.
• Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) to host analyst/investor meeting at 8:30 am.
• Hot Topic (NASDAQ: HOTT) to report Q4 earnings; conference call at 4:30 pm.