The Mosaic Company (NYSE: MOS), the combined Cargill Crop Nutrition and IMC Global Inc., began trading as a Fortune 500 company immediately after its 2004 IPO, and became a dominant player in the fertilizer business.

In just a few short years, Mosaic would be in prime position to ride a global boom in agricultural crop demand that resulted in its shares skyrocketing more than $130 from trough to peak.

From a valuation standpoint, the move higher was completely justified and rational -- up to a point. When the hedge fund momentum investors climbed aboard, astute investors knew that the rapid rise was due for a correction.

The stock sold off hard during the summer, which culminated in a complete washout due to the credit crisis and global economic meltdown. MOS shares fell back to the mid-$30s.

As is often the case, the selling went too far and had more to do with forced liquidations instead of rational valuation metrics.

Continue reading Jump on Mosaic (MOS) before the momentum crowd returns

Jump on Mosaic (MOS) before the momentum crowd returns originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 07 Jan 2009 11:26:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.

Cleveland-Cliffs (NYSE: CLF) -- calls bid up aggressively on heavy volume on buyout chatter. CLF, a producer of iron ore pellets, is recently up $1.75 to $75.30 on unconfirmed take over chatter. CLF has a market cap of $3 billion. CLF is expected to file its 1st quarter 2007 form 10-Q in early June. CLF May 75 calls have traded 105 times on transaction volume of 1,712 contracts above its open interest of 935 contracts. CLF May 75 calls are bid $1.70 above its theoretical value of $1.05. CLF May 80 calls have traded 69 times on transaction volume of 1,818 contracts above its theoretical value of 626 contracts according to Track Data. CLF May 80 calls are bid 45 cents above its theoretical value of 04 cents, suggesting hedging for upside risks.

Mosaic Co. (NYSE: MOS) -- volatility & volume Spikes on buyout Speculation. MOS, a producer & marketer of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients, was spun out of Cargill in 2004. MOS is recently up $1.16 to $30.63. MOS is frequently mentioned as a take out target of Potash Corp. (NYSE: POT). MOS call option volume of 4,791 contracts compares to put volume of 643 contracts. MOS June option implied volatility of 48 is above its 26-week average of 36 according to Track Data, suggesting larger for upside price risks.

Option volume leaders today are: Dendreon Corp. (NASDAQ: DNDN), Advanced Micro Devices (NYSE: AMD), Apple Inc. (NADSAQ: APPL) and Mylan Labs (NYSE: MYL).

Daily Option Update is provided by Stock Options Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Option update 5-14-07: CLF, MOS spike on speculation originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Mon, 14 May 2007 13:16:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds.