"Several factors came together this week to produce a very nasty decline," notes technical expert Larry McMillan. In his Options Strategist Hotline, the advisor notes, "The over-riding technical factor, in my opinion, was the breaking of the 1535 level on S&P 500."
For the technically-savvy he points out, "When both the Dow and $SPX broke out to new all-time highs (was it really only two short weeks ago?), $SPX left behind a well-defined support level at 1535-1540."
This past Tuesday, he observes, "When the market started its sharp decline, it was clearly noticeable that selling accelerated greatly as soon as the 1535 level was penetrated on the downside."
In his assessment, this suggests a formation known as a "false upside breakout?" And he adds, While this false breakout is bad enough, there is another rule
of thumb associated with such things."
He explains, "It is said that if a stock, or an index in this case, stages a false breakout in one direction and then comes back to break out in the opposite direction, then the second breakout is the 'true' one." That, he says, is what has just happened with $SPX.
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