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Analyst initiations: AAPL, DELL, IBM, XOM, GRMN ...

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Garmin, Thomson Reuters and Heritage-Crystal Clean were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • Garmin (NASDAQ: GRMN) was initiated with a Neutral rating at JP Morgan. The firm sees risk to 2008 Street estimates given the consumer slowdown in the U.S. and potential ASP and margin pressure as channel inventory is worked down.
  • Morgan Stanley assumed Thomson Reuters (NASDAQ: TRIN) with an Underweight rating and expects revenue growth in the company's financial business to slow sharply into 2009.
  • William Blair believes Heritage-Crystal Clean (NASDAQ: HCCI) has the opportunity to gain market share over the next several years as a result of its differentiated parts-cleaning programs, strong sales organization, and experienced management team. Shares were assumed with an Outperform rating.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • Lehman initiated Dell (NASDAQ: DELL) and Sun Microsystems (NASDAQ: JAVA) with Equal Weight ratings and targets of $20 and $17 and Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), IBM Corp (NYSE: IBM) and Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) with Overweight ratings and targets of $195, $144 and $59, respectively.
  • Pacific Growth started Spectranetics (NASDAQ: SPNC) with a Neutral rating.
  • Merrill reinstated Chevron (NYSE: CVX), ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) and Hess Corp (NYSE: HES) with Buy ratings and price targets of $110, $105 and $125, respectively.

Newspaper wrap-up: Nestle USA to sell Jamba Juice next year

MAJOR PAPERS:
OTHER PAPERS:
WEB SITES:

Analyst initiations: FNM, FRE, RVBD and SSTI

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Riverbed Technology (RVBD), Silicon Storage (SSTI), Regal Entertainment (RGC), Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddy Mac (FRE) were today's more noteworthy initiations:
  • CIBC initiated shares of Riverbed Technology (NASDAQ: RVBD) with a Sector Performer rating, citing valuation. The firm believes the mobile opportunity is a wild card, and cites increased Cisco Systems (CSCO) risk.
  • Silicon Storage (NASDAQ: SSTI) as announced several new products in late 2006 and 1H07 with shipments expected to start in 2H07 along with significant revenues in 2008; Barrington initiated shares with a Market Perform rating.
  • Ferris Baker Watts initiated Regal Entertainment (NYSE: RGC) with a Neutral rating, seeing annual top-line growth only in the low- to mid-single digits.
  • Fox-Pitt Kelton believes both Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) are finally set to emerge from restatement issues with new accounting procedures and operating systems in place, initiating both companies with an Outperform rating...
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • Needham initiated Tennant (NYSE: TNC) with a Buy rating.
  • CIBC started Centene (NYSE: CNC) with a Sector Performer rating.
  • Deutsche initiated Thomson (NYSE: TOC) with a Buy rating.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Analyst upgrades: CPB, LCC, LOW, NTES and RTRSY

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Lowe's (LOW), Cooper Tire & Rubber (CTB), Campbell Soup (CPB), Reuters Group (RTRSY) and Netease.com (NTES) were today's noteworthy upgrades:
  • JP Morgan upgraded Lowe's (NYSE: LOW) to Overweight from Neutral based on improved risk/return and conservative near-term estimates. UBS upgraded Lowe's to Buy from sell on valuation.
  • Cooper Tire & Rubber (NYSE: CTB) was upgraded to Buy from Sell, as the firm thinks Copper is benefiting from surging demand for tires in Asia and considers the recent weakness a buying opportunity.
  • UBS upgraded shares of Campbell Soup (NYSE: CPB) to Buy from Neutral, citing expected growth acceleration, productivity savings, and attractive valuation.
  • Deutsche Bank is positive on the Thomson (TOC)-Reuters combination and expected synergies, upgrading Reuters Group (NASDAQ: RTRSY) to Buy from Hold.
  • Netease.com (NASDAQ: NTES) was upgraded to Positive from Neutral at Susquehanna based on valuation and checks that indicate better than expected performance of Westward Journey Online III...
OTHER UPGRADES:
  • Banc of America upgraded Glu Mobile (NASDAQ: GLUU) to Buy from Neutral.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Rupert's Rag: Bancrofts roll over

Dow Jones & Company, Inc. (NYSE: DJ)'s Wall Street Journal (a.k.a., Rupert's Rag, a.k.a. The Towel) occupies a unique spot in the media firmament. As I pointed out earlier in the year, it changed its format and now looks to me like a Holiday Inn bath towel. And since it appears that News Corp (NYSE: NWS) has finally won over enough Bancrofts to take control, I am officially changing this column's name from Towel Talk to Rupert's Rag, which will continue to offer a perspective on its news and views.

Reuters reports on an internal memo at The Rag, which confirms that "The Bancroft family has accepted. Dow Jones will be part of News Corp."

Details of which Bancrofts accepted and which did not will no doubt be forthcoming. The New York Times (permalink) reports that family members and trusts representing about 32% of the shareholder vote indicated they would support Murdoch's offer.

Continue reading Rupert's Rag: Bancrofts roll over

Reuters starts financial blog network

In a sign of the increasing importance of high-end financial blogs, Reuters Group Plc (NASDAQ: RTRSY) is starting a new network of the sites. Or, it could be that the Reuters business development people have down time because of its upcoming purchase by Thomson Corp. (NYSE: TOC).

The offer that Reuters is making to a number of high-end blogs is that it will link to the participating sites from Reuters.com, offer free access to selected Reuters Headlines (RSS or Headline Wizard) and Reuters Video Player to publish Reuters News, and get 30% of an advertising program that the big financial services company will manage.

In return, each blog agrees to execute contracts with comScore and NetRatings to assign its traffic to Reuters.com. NetRatings ranks Reuters.com as the No.7 financial website with unique visitors of 6.1 million in May.

Reuters may be trying to match blog initiatives at media outlets including FT.com, WSJ.com, and AOL.com.

Either Reuters has a very high regard for financial blogs or it needs to pump up its audience ratings.

Disclosure: 24/7 Wall St. was approached by Reuters about this opportunity.

Douglas A. McIntyre is a principal at 24/7 Wall St.

Reuters all but sold?

The British newspaper, The Independent, reports that Reuters is a heart beat from being sold to Thomson (NYSE: TOC). According to its report, the "Reuters Founders Share Company, the trust that acts as guardian to the editorial independence of Reuters Group Plc" is prepared to approve the deal. Reuters has been independent since it was founded in 1850.

Thomson's bid sent the Reuters (NYSE: RTRSY) ADRs from below $60 to over $77. While the premium is nowhere near the one that News Corp (NYSE: NWS) has offered for Dow Jones (NYSE: DJ), Thomson is family controlled, and the Reuters CEO would run the combined company.

A combined Thomson/Reuters would have a share of the financial news delivery business that would only be matched by privately-held Bloomberg.

The merger of the two financial news and information giants could put Dow Jones in a bit of a bind. Its revenue would be dwarfed by larger competitors, and a rejection of the News Corp. offer could end up looking short-sighted.

But Dow Jones's management has made mistakes before.

Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+73.0311,288.54
NASDAQ-6.082,245.38
S&P 500+1.381,262.90

Last updated: July 04, 2008: 04:16 PM

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