timothy sykes posts
FeedPosted Mar 26th 2008 11:12AM by Timothy Sykes (RSS feed)
Filed under: Other Issues, eBay (EBAY), Next Big Thing, Technical Analysis, Agriculture, Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (POT)

If you've ever delved into investing in ETFs (exchange-traded funds, basically entire indexes and sectors that trade like stocks), you're already familiar with the most popular, those being
Powershares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq:
QQQQ),
SPDR Trust Series 1 (AMEX:
SPY),
Diamonds Trust, Series 1 (AMEX:
DIA),
iShares Russell 2000 Index (NYSE:
IWM) and lately
Financial Select SPDR (AMEX:
XLF) and
UltraShort QQQ ProShares (AMEX:
QID). But have you ever looked into those that are much less followed, but more capable of yielding some big-time returns?
I
primarily trade fun smallcap stocks, so until the past few days, I hadn't either. But when I began researching, I just kept finding more and more interesting ETFs -- it was addictive! Almost addictive as my new
Twitter account where I've discovered I can chat with business legends, yesterday it was the founder of
eBay Inc (Nasdaq:
EBAY). Okay, maybe ETFs will never be that addictive!
Out the few hundred ETFs I looked into, here were some of the more interesting of the bunch:
Continue reading ETFs every investor should know
Posted Mar 13th 2008 5:30PM by Timothy Sykes (RSS feed)
Filed under: Blogs, Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Yahoo! (YHOO), Apple Inc (AAPL), About the Stock Bloggers, Short Stories, Next Big Thing, Scandals, Walt Disney (DIS), Viacom (VIA), Media World, Technology
It was just an average Wednesday night for me-researching potential stock plays, working on some blog posts and catching up on many overdue emails, all to further my goal of becoming Cramer 2.0-when I saw a post on
EliteTrader.com that linked to
The Smoking Gun exposing Governor Spitzer's call girl "Kristen" as 22-year-old Ashley Alexandra Dupre. Apparently, Kristen was/is her professional name. Always one to jump when opportunity knocks, I raced to dig up everything I could on Ms. Dupre to post on
my blog and break some news of my own. What happened next might or might not blow your mind.
Several websites had already linked to her
MySpace profile (owned by
News Corp. (NYSE:
NWS) so I went there and grabbed her photos to add to my story. The other sites had used the photos, too, but the pictures were all tiny and spread out over multiple pages (no doubt to increase their hits and subsequently their
Yahoo! (Nasdaq:
YHOO) ads, so I saw opportunity in providing them all on one page just as they were. But I didn't stop there.
I also searched other social networks like Facebook and bingo, she had
a profile there! That would be "my exclusive." A few more clicks and the post was published. Within minutes,
Google (Nasdaq:
GOOG) has indexed my article and while I was late to the party, my "Facebook Exclusive" made my story unique and the hits tumbled in. I'm used to 200-ish visitors/hour, but thanks to this one simple post, 1,500 people visited my site within the first 45 minutes. And that's when things got interesting.
Continue reading My online chat with Spitzer's call girl, Ashley Alexandra Dupre (or at least I think it was her)
Posted Mar 11th 2008 9:32AM by Timothy Sykes (RSS feed)
Filed under: Good news, Google (GOOG), Apple Inc (AAPL), Scandals, Citigroup Inc. (C), ,

Given our society these days, should we really be surprised by crusading Governor Eliot Spitzer's prostitution
scandal? These days it seems like all our heroes let us down, whether they be superstar athletes like Roger Clemens (steroids) and Michael Vick (animal cruelty), widely held technology stocks like
Google (NASDAQ:
GOOG) (less clicking, 40% drop in stock price) and
Apple (NASDAQ:
AAPL) (imperfect, 40% drop in stock price) and once-pillars of the finance industry
Merrill Lynch (NYSE:
MER),
Citigroup (NYSE:
C) and
Bear Sterns (NYSE:
BSC) (all had too much exposure to subprime mortgages and municipal bonds).
Mind you, in no way do I condone Spitzer's behavior -- the night before Valentine's Day no less -- but in the grand scheme of things, he's done a whole lot more good than he's done bad. You might even say it takes a criminal to know one! He'll probably be forced to resign and while sad, it should motivate him like never before to gain back the respect he once had.
For all the value and integrity we place on sports, it's really nothing more than entertainment. In no way can I defend Vick, but Clemens clearly loves his sport and simply could not let anything stop him from being the best. While it's sad that his career will be forever marred, it's a great lesson to teach kids to never cheat -- no matter what.
Continue reading Spitzer is our latest letdown, but it's actually good!
Posted Mar 6th 2008 2:55PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst Reports, Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades, General Electric (GE), Coca-Cola (KO), Walt Disney (DIS), Stocks to Buy
Well, all I can say is that today has been one of the worst days of my portfolio's life. I'm not concerned about my core holdings -- Disney (NYSE: DIS), Coca-Cola (NYSE: KO), General Electric (NYSE: GE), stuff like that -- but, boy oh boy, are my financial positions taking some major hits!
I know, I know -- you're saying to yourself, "uh, buddy, didn't you realize this was going to happen?" Sure, but when the theory becomes reality, that's when the torture really starts to set in. Not sure if you caught the wave of downgrades today -- if you didn't, check out Eric Buscemi's post about it -- but I got hammered by one of them. MFA Mortgage (NYSE: MFA) was downgraded by Keefe Bruyette on book-value concerns. As I write this, it's trading down over 15% -- oooh, it hurts to write such a double-digit figure -- on, get this, volume of over 15 million shares. The 30-day average volume is closer to 4 million shares. I'm writing this with a couple hours to go to close! It's going to be a huge volume day once all is said and done. I also own Newcastle Investment (NYSE: NCT), CapitalSource (NYSE: CSE) and MFA preferred shares (NYSE: MFA-A).
Have I been shaken out yet? No. In fact, in terms of MFA, I personally think that it is a buy, even though it could be in falling-knife mode right now (that's always difficult to discern). I know Timothy Sykes would disagree on this strategy, so you should check out his post for some balance. With Ben Bernanke most likely set to cut the Fed Funds rate even further, MFA should benefit, as should most financials. I also like CapitalSource, but I am a little wary at this point of Newcastle -- I think it will recover, but that one's been particularly volatile. As they say, when there's blood on Wall Street, that's sometimes the best time to do some judicious buying (after a ton of due diligence, of course). And, as a postscript, if you want to do only safe buying, then Disney, Coke and GE might be good ideas to look at -- GE has an especially interesting yield right now.
Disclosure: Steven Mallas owns shares in Disney, Coca-Cola, MFA common and MFA preferred, CapitalSource, Newcastle Investment, and GE. Positions can change at any time.
Posted Mar 1st 2008 4:40PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Dell (DELL), Home Depot (HD), Sprint Nextel Corp (S), Sears Holdings (SHLD), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Lowe's Cos (LOW), Office Depot (ODP), Toll Brothers (TOL), RadioShack Corp (RSH), Nordstrom, Inc (JWN)
Posted Feb 20th 2008 9:48AM by Timothy Sykes (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Cisco Systems (CSCO), Chipotle Mexican Grill'A' (CMG), Crocs Inc (CROX)
Crocs Inc. (NASDAQ:
CROX) just reported
decent earnings, getting everyone excited about international growth, but just missing analysts expectations and causing their stock to lose 12% and already I'm seeing tons of bloggers, traders and "market experts"
defending the stock here. Sure, they might be right, if you want to better your odds of success and not play the ridiculously random guessing games most investors and traders seem to enjoy playing, don't fight an earnings move especially a momentum stock's earnings move.
Momentum stocks have special qualities that vex investors -- especially value investors --because it's not just about the physical numbers, it's about expectations. Everybody has different expectations and a momentum stock's subsequent price action is the result of how the actual earnings results mingle with those expectations. Don't be foolish enough to believe that your own personal beliefs, expectations, thought process and conclusion matter in the least. I don't care who you are, you matter little to the stock price.
Continue reading Why Crocs (CROX) still is not a buy
Posted Feb 3rd 2008 9:40AM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Yahoo! (YHOO), McDonald's (MCD), 3M Corporation (MMM), American Express (AXP), Black and Decker (BDK), Hershey Co (HSY), MasterCard Inc'A' (MA), Procter and Gamble (PG), Verizon Communications (VZ), Eastman Kodak (EK), Tyson Foods'A' (TSN), Kraft Foods'A' (KFT), SanDisk Corp (SNDK)
The earnings crunch is in full swing, and here are a few of the highlights of this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
For additional BloggingStocks earnings highlights, see Yahoo!, Google, Amazon, Countrywide, Merck, UBS and others and Exxon, Boeing, Halliburton, Sony, UPS, Honda and others.
Continue reading Earnings highlights: McDonald's, Kraft, P&G, Verizon, MasterCard, 3M and others
Posted Feb 2nd 2008 12:40PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Yahoo! (YHOO), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Halliburton (HAL), Sony Corp ADR (SNE), Boeing Co (BA), United Parcel'B' (UPS), U.S. Steel (X), Dow Chemical (DOW), Valero Energy (VLO), JetBlue Airways (JBLU), Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNI), Raytheon Company (RTN)
The earnings crunch is in full swing, and here are a few of the highlights of this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
For additional BloggingStocks earnings highlights, see Yahoo!, Google, Amazon, Countrywide, Merck, UBS and others and McDonald's, Kraft, P&G, Verizon, MasterCard, 3M and others.
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Exxon, Boeing, Halliburton, Sony, UPS, Honda and others
Posted Feb 2nd 2008 9:10AM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Yahoo! (YHOO), Amazon.com (AMZN), , Monster Worldwide (MNST), Merck and Co (MRK), Allegheny Technologies (ATI), Lilly (Eli) (LLY), EMC Corp (EMC), Symantec Corp (SYMC)
The earnings crunch is in full swing, and here are a few of the highlights of this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
For additional BloggingStocks earnings highlights, see Exxon, Boeing, Halliburton, Sony, UPS, Honda, and others and McDonald's, Kraft, P&G, Verizon, MasterCard, 3M, and others.
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Yahoo!, Google, Amazon, Countrywide, Merck, UBS and others
Posted Feb 1st 2008 10:10AM by Timothy Sykes (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Google (GOOG), Microsoft (MSFT), Yahoo! (YHOO), Apple Inc (AAPL), Amazon.com (AMZN), MasterCard Inc'A' (MA), Broadcom Corp'A' (BRCM), Stock Screen, Intuitive Surgical Inc (ISRG)
[Update: Find more from Timothy Sykes
here, and more stocks to buy
here.]
Each quarter brings a new batch of earnings plays, so which ones should you trade?
I've had my fair share of successful calls, but I've also been burned badly before. One time, I put in a solid week's worth of
research (pdf) to pick
Vasco Data Systems (NASDAQ:
VDSI) right before earnings, and what happened, they totally blew it. A 30% drop. It still stings. This is just the latest reminder that you can't trust companies, analysts or really anyone on Wall Street.
So far, in this latest round,
Intuitive Surgical (NASDAQ:
ISRG),
E*Trade (NASDAQ:
ETFC),
Mastercard (NYSE:
MA),
VistaPrint (NASDAQ:
VPRT) and
Concur Technologies (NASDAQ:
CNQR) have performed well while
Google (NASDAQ:
GOOG),
Accuray (NASDAQ:
ARAY),
Cadence Design Systems (NASDAQ:
CDNS),
Yahoo! (NASDAQ:
YHOO) [editor's note - this was written prior to today's news],
VMware (NYSE:
VMW),
Apple (NASDAQ:
AAPL) and
Synaptics (NASDAQ:
SYNA) have all bombed.
Amazon.com (NASDAQ:
AMZN),
Microsoft (NASDAQ:
MSFT) and
Broadcom (NASDAQ:
BRCM) all had very solid quarters, but where did it get investors? Nowhere -- all three stocks are flat since then.
Continue reading Which stocks to buy ahead of earnings
Posted Jan 23rd 2008 10:30AM by Timothy Sykes (RSS feed)
Filed under: Apple Inc (AAPL)

Smack in the face of millions of exceedingly
optimistic investors, I have really nailed
Apple (NASDAQ:
AAPL). Just as the
market cheerleaders were fueling these investors' imaginations, I wrote
this article on January 3, urging caution.
Several hundred hate emails and a 30% drop in price later, I'm declaring victory.
Now, don't bother to ask, I don't know if now is the time to buy or sell -- I only make calls when I believe the variables to be aligned/predictable, which is definitely not the case right now. I don't trust the overall market/economy and I also want to see how all the Johnny-come-lately analysts react/influence the stock price over the next few days. But when I nail something this dead on, I must insist you file these lessons away because they will save you money and that's why I write. After all, investing isn't just about making money and stock picking, it's about learning from what works and what doesn't so you can improve over time.
Continue reading Apple wreckage offers important lessons
Posted Dec 22nd 2007 4:10PM by Trey Thoelcke (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Walgreen Co (WAG), Adobe Systems (ADBE), Best Buy (BBY), , Darden Restaurants (DRI), FedEx Corp (FDX), Research in Motion (RIMM), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS), TD AmeriTrade Holding (AMTD), Oracle Corp (ORCL), Red Hat Inc (RHT), Palm Inc (PALM),
As the holidays loom, not to mention the end of the quarter, here are some highlights of this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
Continue reading Earnings highlights: Financials, techs, retailers, and more
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