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Lennar's Q2 doesn't convince me to buy

Lennar (NYSE: LEN), whose colleagues include Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL) and D.R. Horton (NYSE: DHI), reported earnings for the second quarter on Thursday. Since it is a homebuilder, you can expect that it would be a tough one to look at in many respects. There was a revenue decline of over 20%. And there was no profit. Lennar said it lost 76 cents per diluted share.

According to Michael Fowlkes and his earnings preview, Lennar did not satisfy Wall Street's outlook. Analysts were expecting a loss somewhere closer to 63 cents per share. That didn't stop the stock from going up, though. Lennar closed higher yesterday by over 17%. Volume was likewise incredible. Apparently, the market was focusing on the revenue beat.

Continue reading Lennar's Q2 doesn't convince me to buy

Hovnanian's Q1 shows an improvement

Hovnanian Enterprises (NYSE: HOV), a home builder whose related companies include Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL), Lennar Corp. (NYSE: LEN), and D.R. Horton (NYSE: DHI), reported Q2 results on Tuesday after the bell. The company reported a loss of $1.50 per share (the results included a gain related to debt extinguishment). That unfortunately did not meet analyst expectations according to Trey Thoelcke's earnings preview. Analysts were looking for a loss of $1.26 per share.

However, things do look better. Last year at this time, the loss recorded by Hovnanian was a whopping $5.29 per share. Revenues, however, plummeted to $398 million from over $770 million. Analysts were expecting only $348 million according to the preview.

Continue reading Hovnanian's Q1 shows an improvement

Home builders expected to post narrower losses, declining revenue

Still wondering whether the housing market has bottomed? Well, the next couple of days should offer some clues, as pending home sales numbers for April are due out later this morning, and home builders Hovnanian Enterprises Inc. (NYSE: HOV) and Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE: TOL) will be releasing their quarterly results. While both are expected to have narrowed their losses, their revenues are expected to have shrunk by half, as well.

Continue reading Home builders expected to post narrower losses, declining revenue

The week in preview: DynCorp, Joy Global, Shanda and more

Much of the attention this week will no doubt be on how the impending General Motors (NYSE: GM) bankruptcy will shake out, as well as the usual economic concerns: Has the housing market bottomed? Will oil prices keep rising? Is the employment situation getting any better? And so on (see highlights of the economic calendar below).

What probably won't get much attention are quarterly earnings, as the earnings season for this quarter winds down. But there are a few reports that analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters have high hopes for.

Continue reading The week in preview: DynCorp, Joy Global, Shanda and more

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Consider the positives

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says every bank that needed capital was able to raise it -- that's the real story here.

When we get a down day we get a definitive story, THE story, the one that worries everyone. Two weeks ago we had one about the suddenly dangerous Treasury bill market. As someone who sold Treasury bills when they were at 14%, I still can't get nervous at 4%. And the U.S. had a AAA rating when we were hawking them.

Yet, that was the fear. OK, I'm shaking.

I make no mistake that I am worried about the Obama agenda because he does not have a check in Congress. He actually gets it done. He is certainly not the friend of business, and his best job creation so far is the prolongation of the car agony to keep people at work. Until new weekly unemployment claims go below 600,000, those who proclaim the recession over are simply foolish. It's funny -- the guys who say it are the same guys who thought that Bernanke should have been raising rates, not lowering them. They never admit they are wrong.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Consider the positives

Toll Brothers reports lousy preliminary data -- buy or sell on the news?

Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE: TOL), a builder of luxury homes, issued some preliminary revenue results for its second quarter and six-month period. Now, there isn't a lot of surprising stuff here. Things are down, to be certain. What you possibly might be surprised by is the way the stock is trading. As I write this, shares of Toll Brothers have shed about 1% of their value. While that might sound logical because of the presented data, I do have to say that, to me at least, the fact that the shares haven't plunged on the news is almost an encouraging sign.

Continue reading Toll Brothers reports lousy preliminary data -- buy or sell on the news?

Comfort Zone Investing: Is it too late ... or too early to buy stocks?

The stock market, as measured by the Dow Jones Industrial Average, sharply rebounded from its low of 6440 in March of this year. Currently, as this is written, the notable index is hovering around 8400. That's an increase of 30%. Not bad for two months of trading. While the average is made up of only 30 stocks, those 30 stocks are some of the best. There are also some real losers, such as General Motors (NYSE: GM) and Citigroup (NYSE: C). But for the most part, the index contains the strongest industries with some of the strongest stocks. With that kind of recovery already in place, is it too late to buy stocks or is this just the start of a major rally?

Continue reading Comfort Zone Investing: Is it too late ... or too early to buy stocks?

Deadly sin stock #3: Toll Brothers (TOL)

Deadly sin stock #3: Toll Brothers (TOL)Without envy there would be no capitalism. We would have no reason to work as hard as we do. One thing we all like to strive for is a bigger and better house (well, maybe not so much today).

At the top of the homebuilder food chain is Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL). This company has held up relatively well considering the disaster in the housing market.

With the bottom finally in sight, look for more to be envious of a Toll Brothers home. They are quite nice. I rate TOL a buy.

Next: Deadly sin stock #4

See all 7 deadly sin stocks.

7 stocks for 7 deadly sins

7 stocks for 7 deadly sinsJust for fun, I thought I'd find a stock that loosely symbolizes each of the 7 Deadly Sins -- greed, wrath, envy, pride, lust, sloth and gluttony -- to see how it fares against my momentum criteria.

Now, I'm not saying any of these companies are bad or evil. And I don't know whether our new climate of parsimony means the "greed is good" era of the 1980s is dead. What I do know is which stocks are in a position to profit today and which aren't.

Here's a fun look at some stocks that symbolize the 7 Deadly Sins and how I expect them to perform.

Continue reading 7 stocks for 7 deadly sins

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: RIMM, MSFT, TOL, MAR, VZ, T ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Citigroup upgraded Research in Motion (NASDAQ: RIMM) to Buy from Hold and added the stock to its Top Picks Live List. The firm believes RIMM's outlook is more secure given its unit growth trajectory and stabilizing margins. Citi raised its target on the stock to $100 from $65.
  • Morgan Stanley upgraded Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) to Overweight from Equal Weight following the company's Q3 results it believes growth is accelerating and expectations are low. The firm raised its target on the stock to $24 from $21.
  • Deutsche Bank upgraded Huron (NYSE: HURN) to Buy from Hold as it believes bad news is already priced in and FY09 expectations are achievable. The firm keeps a $46 target on the stock.
  • Credit Suisse (NYSE: CS) was upgraded to Neutral from Sell at UBS.
  • Quicksilver (NYSE: KWK) was raised to Buy from Neutral at Banc of America/Merrill.
  • EIG Resources (NYSE: EOG) was lifted at Goldman to Conviction Buy from Neutral.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: RIMM, MSFT, TOL, MAR, VZ, T ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: GYMB, BP, CVX, COP, TOL

Analyst upgrades:
  • Banc of America/Merrill upgraded Gymboree (NASDAQ:GYMB) to Buy from Underperform and raised their target to $33 from $15 following the company's Q1 comparable store sales guidance.
  • Oppenheimer upgraded Lam Research (NASDAQ:LRCX) to Outperform from Perform after channel checks indicated the company's shipments are gaining momentum. The firm raised their price target on the stock to $35 from $20.
  • Owens & Minor (NYSE:OMI) was raised to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse. The firm upgraded shares but lowered their target to $45 from $46 citing underappreciated earnings growth and valuation.
  • Albermarle (NYSE:ALB) was upgraded to Conviction Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
  • Protective Life (NYSE:PL) was upgraded to Neutral from Sell at UBS.
  • Maxim (NASDAQ:MXIM) was lifted to Buy from Hold at Canaccord.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: GYMB, BP, CVX, COP, TOL

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Housing is bottoming, and it's providing a floor

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says forces working to stabilize house prices now outweigh the destabilizing factors.

Bob Toll of Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL) (Cramer's Take) says it right: Bernanke and Geithner and Obama have made you seem crazy if you don't buy a house now. They are throwing so many incentives your way and the housing companies are so desperate to sell with special features thrown in that you have to wonder why you wouldn't buy right now in most areas, simply because you have to wonder how much better it is ever going to get. You are competing against no one, the seller is desperate for you and will make things as easy as possible for you, the rates are the lowest in our lifetime, when you add in the perks and the tax breaks, the houses are back to levels that are before the housing boom.

It is a kind of "what are you waiting for?" situation.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Housing is bottoming, and it's providing a floor

Earnings highlights: Berkshire Hathaway, Blackstone, Costco, Toll Bros. and more

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Berkshire Hathaway, Blackstone, Costco, Toll Bros. and more

Toll Brothers narrows its quarterly loss

Bright and early this morning, Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL) reported that its first-quarter loss narrowed thanks to fewer write-downs. The luxury homes giant lost 55 cents per share compared to 61 cents per share a year ago. The quarterly loss misses the Thomson Reuters estimate by 3 pennies. TOL's latest results included write-downs (pre-tax don't you know?) of $156.6 million, compared to $245.5 million last year. Taking the write-downs out of the equation, TOL's quarterly profit hit six cents per share. TOL's quarterly revenue dropped 51% to $409.3 million.

Looking ahead, TOL stated that it won't provide fiscal 2009 guidance thanks to the current market climate. The homebuilder did state expectations that it will deliver somewhere between 2,000 and 3,000 homes in the current year at an average price between $600,000 and $625,000.

Continue reading Toll Brothers narrows its quarterly loss

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Zombie homebuilders keep shuffling along

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says this group simply refuses to merge, so you can safely sell them all.

One look at Toll Brothers' (NYSE: TOL) (Cramer's Take) quarter today tells us we aren't there yet. They still have plenty of money. They still have plenty of cancellations. They still need a tax credit for more business, which we know they aren't going to get because this administration doesn't want it. No bottom. In fact, Toll and all the others are still where they were a year ago. Independent, hanging on.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Zombie homebuilders keep shuffling along

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Last updated: July 10, 2009: 12:32 PM

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