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Best Buy not immune to slowdown

Earlier this morning, Best Buy Co Inc (NYSE: BBY) let investors and analysts know that even it was not immune to a slowdown in consumer spending. The company reported a nearly 18% drop in Q1 income, reporting Q1 EPS of 39c (vs. Reuters consensus of 50c) and Q1 revenue of $7.93B (vs. Reuters consensus of $7.83B). As a result, the company cut its fiscal-year earnings forecast, and now sees FY08 EPS of $2.95-$3.15 (vs. Reuters consensus of $3.16), down from April's forecast of $3.10-$3.25 per share. Shares of the retailer fell 5% from Monday's closing price of $48.01 to open at $45.61.

Best Buy's disappointing earnings may not be a good sign for retail competitors like Tweeter Home Entertainment Group Inc (NASDAQ: TWTR) - Tweeter filed for bankruptcy last week - and Circuit City Stores Inc (NYSE: CC). Analysts believe the companies are likely to face pressure this year from falling prices of flat-screen TVs and increased competition from other retailers like Wal-Mart Stores Inc (NYSE: WMT) and Costco Wholesale Corporation (NASDAQ: COST) that are increasing their consumer electronics offerings. This morning, following Best Buy's earnings report, Circuit City shares dropped 2.6%; the company is scheduled to report its own earnings Wednesday morning.

Despite a challenging environment, analysts believe Best Buy remains the best-positioned in the consumer electronics segment. Executives, too, are optomistic about the second half of the year, expecting "materially better sales" in home theater and digital imaging, as well as with the company's Geek Squad service. Executives expect flat panels, notebooks and gaming will remain "very appealing." Additionally, the company is planning to expand Apple Inc's (NASDAQ: AAPL) store-within-a-store concept, and anticipates to have just under 300 of these by the end of the year.

While Best Buy's performance and expansion have helped it in this area until now, let's hope that CEO Brad Anderson's comment that the company's strategy is consistent with the long-term results the company hopes to achieve, even if Q1 results may not have shown it, holds true.

Analyst downgrades 5-11-07: AMGN, ICE, RTP and WEN

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Amgen (AMGN), Wendy's (WEN), webMethods (WEBM), Global Crossing (GLBC) and International Securities Exchange (ISE) topped out today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • A host of companies shot down Amgen Inc (NASDAQ: AMGN) today:
    • Lazard cut the drugmaker to Sell from Buy while Citigroup cut them to Sell from Hold. JP Morgan and HSBC downgraded Amgen to Neutral from Overweight while Morgan Stanley cut shares to Equal-Weight from Overweight.
  • Elsewhere, Wendy's Int'l (NYSE: WEN) was downgraded by Citigroup to Hold from Buy on valuation.
  • Deutsche Bank cut shares of webMethods Inc (NASDAQ: WEBM) to Hold from Buy as they expect the software AG merger to go through.
  • Global Crossing (NASDAQ: GLBC) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank following the company's Q1 miss and revised guidance.
  • The International Securities Exchange (NYSE: ICE) was downgraded at Banc of America given potential risks to the Eurex bid. They are not counting on rival bids and recommend moving to the sidelines...
OTHER DOWNGRADES:
  • HSBC downgraded Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) to Neutral from Overweight.
  • Morgan Stanley downgraded King Pharma (NYSE: KG) to Equal Weight from Overweight. Pacific
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required)

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA+44.2910,291.26
NASDAQ+15.822,166.90
S&P 500+5.501,098.51

Last updated: November 12, 2009: 01:18 AM

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