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U.S. Steel Records Loss in 2010, but Good Times Lie Ahead

Our price estimate for U.S. Steel (X) stands at $60.17, roughly 15% ahead of market price. The company competes with international steel giants like ArcelorMittal (MT), BaoSteel, Posco, Nippon Steel and ThyssenKrupp. Below we recap U.S. Steel's full year 2010 results and examine how these numbers affect the road ahead for the company.

Understanding U.S. Steel's Performance in 2010

U.S. Steel reported revenues of $17.4 billion for 2010, an almost 60% increase from the $11 billion recorded in 2009. These figures are still below the peak of $23.8 billion in 2008 – before the steel industry felt the brunt of the global economic recession. The operations for the year, however, failed to generate a profit with $111 million in operating loss reported. But the fact that losses were in excess of $1.6 billion in 2009 shows that the company is recovering from the after-effects of the downturn.

Continue reading U.S. Steel Records Loss in 2010, but Good Times Lie Ahead

Analyst Calls: ADI, BKS, CMG, CRM, DANG, DLTR, FDO, LLTC, NFLX, X ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • U.S. Steel (X) to buy from neutral and Barnes & Noble (BKS) to neutral from sell at Goldman.
  • Salesforce.com (CRM) to buy from hold at Jefferies.
  • Dollar Tree (DLTR) to overweight from equal weight at Barclays.
  • Edison International (EIX) to hold from sell at Citigroup.
  • Analog Devices (ADI) to overweight from neutral at JPMorgan.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: ADI, BKS, CMG, CRM, DANG, DLTR, FDO, LLTC, NFLX, X ...

Analyst Calls: BBY, FCX, KMX, NUE, PRGS, RIMM, T, USG, VCLK, X ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Credit Suisse upgraded AT&T (T) to outperform from neutral and has a $35 target on the stock. Credit Suisse believes the impact from AT&T's loss of iPhone exclusivity will be less than expected and that the stock should benefit from its earnings growth and dividend yield.
  • Goldman upgraded Freeport McMoRan (FCX) to buy from neutral and raised its price target to $94 from $79 based on improving copper fundamentals.
  • Benchmark Co. upgraded Valueclick (VCLK) to vuy from hold on expectations Google Instant (GOOG) could drive marketing traffic. The firm raised its target price for Valueclick shares to $15 from $11.
  • Best Buy (BBY) was upgraded to outperform from perform at Oppenheimer.
  • Research In Motion (RIMM) was upgraded to buy from sell at Societe Generale.
  • CarMax (KMX) was upgraded to outperform from market perform at Wells Fargo.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: BBY, FCX, KMX, NUE, PRGS, RIMM, T, USG, VCLK, X ...

Call Volume Climbs on U.S. Steel

Calls are unusually popular on United States Steel Corporation (X), with volume rising to more than double the norm by midday. Roughly 20,000 calls changed hands on X during the first half of the session, outpacing the stock's predicted call volume of about 7,700 contracts.

Continue reading Call Volume Climbs on U.S. Steel

Earnings Highlights: Apple, Boeing, Cisco, Ford, Kodak, Microsoft, Yahoo! ...

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage on BloggingStocks:

  • Apple Inc. (AAPL) posted its highest quarterly revenue ever, easily beating estimates, as iPhone sales doubled.
  • Boeing Co. (BA) swung to a larger-than-expected Q4 profit but guidance fell short of analysts' estimates.
  • Chevron Corp. (CVX) fell short of analysts' earnings estimates for Q4, sending shares lower.
  • Cisco Systems Inc. (CSCO) shares rose after optimistic statements by the CEO ahead of Q2 results.
  • Eastman Kodak Co. (EK) shares surged after it beat Q4 expectations by a wide margin and cash flow improved.
  • Ford Motor Co. (F) reported its first annual profit in four years due to cost-cutting and improved market share.
  • Halliburton Co. (HAL) reported lower Q4 earnings but beat estimates by a penny, and revenue also fell.

Continue reading Earnings Highlights: Apple, Boeing, Cisco, Ford, Kodak, Microsoft, Yahoo! ...

Analyst Upgrades, Downgrades and Initiations: AMZN, BBY, DV, POT, TWX, VZ, X ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Kaufman Bros. upgraded Amazon.com (AMZN) to buy from hold as it finds the risk/reward on shares attractive following the recent pullback and expects the company to report strong Q4 results. Kaufman maintains a $155 price target on the stock.
  • Baird upgraded DeVry (DV) to outperform from neutral and raised its target to $76 from $62. The firm said they have increased confidence in DeVry's ability to navigate through the ERP implementation.
  • Benchmark Co. upgraded McGraw-Hill (MHP) to buy from hold on expectations the company's momentum should continue throughout 2010 due to improving debt markets, increased IPO issuance and steady education funding. The firm raised its target price on shares to $42 from $32.
  • Best Buy (BBY) was upgraded to buy from neutral at Rochdale.
  • AK Steel (AKS) was upgraded to buy from neutral at Goldman.
  • Cooper Industries (CBE) was raised to buy from neutral at UBS.

Continue reading Analyst Upgrades, Downgrades and Initiations: AMZN, BBY, DV, POT, TWX, VZ, X ...

Earnings highlights: Aflac, Avon, BP, Hershey, Kellogg, Nintendo, P&G, Sprint ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Aflac, Avon, BP, Hershey, Kellogg, Nintendo, P&G, Sprint ...

AK Steel, U.S. Steel report better-than-expected Q3 results

It was good news bad news for the steel industry Tuesday. AK Steel Holding Corp. (NYSE: AKS) and United States Steel Corp. (NYSE: X) both reported better-than-expected third-quarter results. But for U.S. Steel, it was the third straight quarterly loss as the economic downturn continued to drag down demand.

For the three months that ended in September, U.S. Steel said it lost $303 million, or $2.11 per share. That compares with a profit of $919 million, or $7.79 per share, in the same period of last year. Revenue for the quarter fell 61% to $2.82 billion. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters had expected a loss of $2.87 per share on revenue of $2.72 billion.

Continue reading AK Steel, U.S. Steel report better-than-expected Q3 results

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AMGN, CS, DB, LEN, MET, SNI, X ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • Jefferies upgraded Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) to Buy from Hold after the firm's channel checks indicated the company's business is stabilizing. Jefferies raised its target on shares to $27 from $20.
  • Citigroup upgraded Veeco (NASDAQ: VECO) to Buy from Hold on expectations LED order momentum will continue and cost discipline will help margin leverage. Citi raised its target on shares to $24 from $8.
  • Deutsche Bank upgraded Domtar (NYSE: UFS) to Buy from Hold on expectations earnings will improve meaningfully over the next year. The firm keeps a $24 price target on the stock.
  • Varian (NASDAQ: VARI) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays.
  • Air Products (NYSE: APD) was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan.
  • U.S. Steel (NYSE: X) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AMGN, CS, DB, LEN, MET, SNI, X ...

Analyst calls: PEP, FIG, PUK, BEN, ASML, X, RDS.A, CHU, SVR ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
  • Fortress (NYSE: FIG) was upgraded at Citigroup to Hold from Sell.
  • Prudential (NYSE: PUK) was lifted to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.
  • Keefe Bruyette upgraded Franklin Resources (NYSE: BEN) to Outperform from Market Perform and added shares to their Best Ideas List on valuation as they see an attractive risk/reward at current levels.
  • UBS upgraded ASML Holding (NASDAQ: ASML) to Buy from Neutral on valuation as they believe the company remains a market leader.
  • Oppenheimer raised Seattle Genetics (NASDAQ: SGEN) to Outperform from Perform on valuation following the recent weakness as they expect positive clinical news flow beginning in December.
Analyst downgrades:
  • UBS downgraded U.S. Steel (NYSE: X) to Sell from Buy and lowered its target to $30 from $60 citing deteriorating U.S. conditions and concerns about the company's high fixed costs in a falling steel price environment.
  • Royal Dutch Shell (NYSE: RDS.A) was downgraded to Underperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.
  • China Unicom (NYSE: CHU) was lowered to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.

Continue reading Analyst calls: PEP, FIG, PUK, BEN, ASML, X, RDS.A, CHU, SVR ...

Cramer on BloggingStocks: We need a washout

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says stocks are at insane value levels, but they'll drift lower until we get capitulation.

Go down, stay down. Find a level. Stop the nonsense with the futures. Wash 'em out. Capitulate.

These are everyone's sentiments today as we see the same thing play out over and over on the downside. We can't even remember what the "victory" of being down "only" 300 was Friday given that here we are right back on the red-hot griddle touching lower levels again today.

The volume of bad news is so overwhelming that we forget that there have been whole markets taken down at other times by a collapse of an emerging market or two, and now we have several runs on the IMF bank a week! Ukraine? How did Ukraine get in trouble? Hungary?

Oh shoot, I bet Switzerland's in trouble.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: We need a washout

Cramer on BloggingStocks: The X factor

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says U.S. Steel is a puzzle, and he ponders how to play it here.

U.S. Steel (NYSE: X) (Cramer's Take) presents the ultimate conundrum. It is hitting on all cylinders, courtesy of the incredible demand for steel domestically because of pipelines. And it is finally not suffering from dumped imports, because the dumpers are from countries growing so much faster than we are that they need all the steel they can get - China, for example, is struggling to build its own share instead of dumping.

John Surma, the CEO, has taken this once-great company right back to greatness with a rise from $9 to $127 in five years. That defies gravity. He has done that by cutting labor costs and growing the business, he has done it by emphasizing areas he can dominate and cutting ones he can t. And he has done it by taking advantage of the 30 bankruptcies in this sector, leaving him one of the few publicly traded companies left, including Nucor (NYSE: NUE) (Cramer's Take), which is a great company, AK Steel (NYSE: AKS) (Cramer's Take), which levitates all of the time on takeover talk and then DOESN'T come in, and Reliance (NYSE: RS) (Cramer's Take), which is another fave of mine.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: The X factor

US Steel down after taking on debt

United States Steel Corp. (NYSE: X) opened at $109.30. So far today the stock has hit a low of $107.80 and a high of $109.31 As of 10:55, X is trading at $108.06, down $2.01 (-1.8%).

The stock has been rising steadily in recent months, hitting a one-year high of $113.84 last week. US Steel has priced $1.1 billion of senior unsecured notes to redeem higher interest currently outstanding notes due in 2010 and to finance part of its Lone Star Technologies acquisition. Recent technical indicators for X have been bullish but deteriorating slightly, while S&P gives the stock a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy rating.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a July bear-call credit spread above the $115 range. X has not been above $115 ever and has shown resistance around $112. This trade could be risky if the economy sparks to life again, but even if this happens, the stock would have to rise by 20.1% before we would be in trouble. Plus, X is not expected to report their next quarter's results until late July after expiration.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer. DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls a position in X.

Option Update - March 30, 2007

Volatility Index S&P 500 Options-VIX down 0.69 to 14.45

Dendreon-(NYSE-DNDN) spreaders active on differentiated option prices on FDA Advisory. DNDN is recently up $8.78 to at $13.91. The FDA Advisory Panel say's DNDN's Provenge is safe for prostate cancer and recommended the agency approve the treatment. DNDN Provenge has a May 15th PDUFA date. McAdams Wright Ragen say's "it remains uncertain whether the FDA will want to see results of the ongoing IMPACT study, due to be completed in 2010, before granting approval." DNDN call option volume of 76,792 contracts compares to put volume of 56. ,655 contracts. DNDN April option implied volatility is at 150, May is at 200 & August is at 130 according to Track Data. DND puts are bid higher than calls because DNDN is difficult to borrow.

Note: The Daily Option Update is provided by Stock Options Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Option volume leaders today are: U.S. Steel (NYSE-X), Dendreon (NASDAQ-DNDN) and Sunocor (NYSE-SUN).

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 11, 2012: 01:16 PM

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