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Options Update: UnitedHealth volatility at 16-month lows

UnitedHealth (UNH) closed at $29.08 Friday, near one-year high. UnitedHealth is hosting an investor meeting on December 2. December option implied volatility is at 40; January is at 42; below its 26-week average of 48 according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Semiconductor Holders Trust - SMH overall volatility at 29; 26-week average is 33.

Russell 2000 - IWM overall implied volatility at 27; 26-week average is 33.

Financial Select Sector - XLF overall volatility at 34; 26-week average is 40.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Earnings highlights: Boeing, Coca-Cola, eBay, Microsoft, Pfizer, UAL, Yahoo! ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Boeing, Coca-Cola, eBay, Microsoft, Pfizer, UAL, Yahoo! ...

Closing Bell: Where's that beef? (DVAX, MON, SWHC, TXN, UNH)

Today was a low volatility day considering what we have seen lately. The oil inventories and jobs data, combined with a wider deficit data, did not shake markets and traders. Here were today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 9,627.48 +80.26 (0.84%)
S&P 500 1,044.14 +10.77 (1.04%)
Nasdaq 2,084.02 +23.63 (1.15%)

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Continue reading Closing Bell: Where's that beef? (DVAX, MON, SWHC, TXN, UNH)

Earnings highlights: Amazon, Coca-Cola, Ford, McDonald's, Merck, Starbucks ...

Here are some highlights from last week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Amazon, Coca-Cola, Ford, McDonald's, Merck, Starbucks ...

Options Update: Volatility decreases as shares rally

Honeywell (NYSE: HON) closed at $34.71. HON is scheduled to report Q4 EPS on January 30. HON January option implied volatility of 41 is below its 26-week average of 49, according to Track Data, suggesting decreasing price movement.

Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) closed at $8.79. NVDA is scheduled to report Q4 EPS on February 10. NVDA is scheduled to introduce new notebook chips in late spring. NVDA February option implied volatility is at 74; June is at 69; near its 26-week average according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price movement.

Continue reading Options Update: Volatility decreases as shares rally

Earnings highlights: Apple, Microsoft, GE, Johnson & Johnson, Harley Davidson and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

For more highlights from this week, see eBay, Google, IBM, Southwest, UAL, AMR, Northern Trust and others

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Apple, Microsoft, GE, Johnson & Johnson, Harley Davidson and others

Options Update: Johnson & Johnson and Mentor volatility up into JNJ's buyout

Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) will purchase Mentor (NYSE: MNT) for $31 per share. MNT, a supplier of medical products closed at $16.15 Friday. MNT December option implied volatility of 92 is above its 26-week average of 55 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

JNJ is recently trading at $58.24 in pre-open trading, below its close of $58.58. JNJ says: "the transaction is expected to have a dilutive impact to JNJ 2009 earnings per share of approximately $0.03 - $ $0.05." JNJ December option implied volatility of 41 is above its 26-week average of 25 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

UnitedHealth (NYSE: UNH) closed at $21.01 Friday. UNH affirmed its previous outlook for 2008 net earnings of $2.95 to $2.98 per share. UNH rolled out www.myoptumhealth.com for general public, the initiative will compete with WebMd, Mayo Clinic Revolution Health & other health-information portals. UNH December option implied volatility of 92 is above its 26-week average of 59 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Earnings highlights: Apollo Group, Family Dollar, Kroger, Deutsche Bank and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

More highlights from this past week: BP, Discover, Corel, Citigroup, WD-40, MSCI and others

Also, Peter Cohan points out that a bear market means low earnings expectations, and also that negative surprises are likely to outweigh positive ones in the second half of the year. Aaron Katsman, on the other hand, predicts a rebound for earnings in the second half. And BusinessWeek reminds us that cheap stocks -- even with big names such as Ford Motor Co. (NYSE: F), Sprint Nextel Corp. (NYSE: S), and Northwest Airlines (NYSE: NWA) -- are no bargain if they have no earnings.

Upcoming results to watch for include Alcoa (NYSE: AA), Pepsi Bottling Group (NYSE: PBG), Marriott International (NYSE: MAR), and General Electric (NYSE: GE).

Visit AOL Money & Finance for more earnings coverage.

Option Update: UnitedHealth volatility elevated into lower financial outlook

UnitedHealth (NYSE: UNH) lowered FY 2008 EPS view to $2.95-$3.05 from $3.55-$3.60.

UNH says: "During the second quarter, our risk-based business produced a lower level gross margin than expected."

UNH July option implied volatility of 40 is above its 26-week average of 34 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

UnitedHealth (UNH) drops on potential Medicare bill

UNH logoUnitedHealth (NYSE: UNH) shares are in the red today even though a bill that would have reduced Medicare reimbursements to health insurers was defeated in the House of Representatives yesterday. However, shares of UNH are declining this morning with other insurers on news that Congress will likely pass a different bill with slightly smaller cuts next week. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on UNH.

After hitting a one-year high of $59.46 in December, the stock hit a one-year low of $31.49 in May. This morning, UNH opened at $30.30. So far today the stock has hit a low of $30.00 and a high of $30.88. As of 1:25, UNH is trading at $30.70, down 31 cents(-1.0%). The chart for UNH looks neutral and improving, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 Stars (out of 5) Hold rating.

For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a September .bear-call credit spread above the $35 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 9.9% return in three months as long as UNH is below $35 at September expiration. UNH would have to rise by more than 14% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here

UNH hasn't been above 35 since May and has shown resistance around $34.50 recently.

Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.

DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in UNH.

United Health's former CEO pleads ignorance

In an effort to get a shareholder class-action lawsuit related to options backdating at United Health (NYSE: UNH) dismissed, former CEO William McGuire is claiming that, gee, golly, he just didn't know much about them fancydangled options. He's just a doctor!

The Star Tribune reports that his lawyers have filed a brief stating, in part, that "Dr. McGuire has no formal training or degrees in finance, accounting or law. His only professional training is as a medical doctor with a specialty in pulmonology."

Interesting. I wonder whether Mr. McGuire argued that he should be given a smaller compensation than other CEOs because he had no training in anything related to business. I somehow doubt it. The "I have no idea what happened! I don't know anything! I'm an idiot!" defense has become quite common in white-collar crime cases. After making a variation on mark-to-market accounting a prerequisite for joining Enron, former CEO Jeff Skilling later claimed that he "wasn't an accountant" in defending the fraudulent practices of the company.

At some point, the top men in charge have to be responsible for fraudulent conduct at their companies. If he didn't understand the accounting, he should have made it his business to understand it. He was the CEO.

Earnings highlights: Bank of America, Merck, Mattel, Phillip Morris, AFLAC and others

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Bank of America, Merck, Mattel, Phillip Morris, AFLAC and others

Option Update: UnitedHealth volatility elevated into cutting 2008 outlook

UnitedHealth (NYSE: UNH) is recently trading at $33.91 in pre-open trading below its close of $37.81.

UNH reported Q1 EPS of 78 cents vs. consensus estimates of 79 cents. UNH lowered FY08 EPS view by 10% to $3.55-$3.60.

Goldman Sachs says: "First take: Bad news a bit worse than expected."

UNH May option implied volatility of 43 is above its 26-week average of 31 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

Money Losers of 2007: William McGuire surrenders $600 million

Following a series of 2006 reports in The Wall Street Journal on options backdating, the SEC, IRS and, and U.S. Attorney's office began investigating UnitedHealth and more than 100 other companies.

Dr. William McGuire, CEO and chairman, ran UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH) for 15 years, turning what was then a regional insurer into the nation's second-largest managed health care company. Like many companies in the 1990s, UnitedHealth rewarded its chairman and CEO with options to buy company shares at a fixed price. McGuire was allowed to choose the dates for his option awards, and the crux of the backdating accusation is that, to boost the options' value, he picked a date in the past when the share price was lower and signed papers as if he were granted the options on that earlier date.

Due to his involvement in the stock options scandal, McGuire stepped down in late 2006. He was the highest-profile corporate chief caught in the probe.

Continue reading Money Losers of 2007: William McGuire surrenders $600 million

Option update: UnitedHealth volatility flat into settlement with former CEO

UnitedHealth Group Inc. (NYSE: UNH) announced that a Special Litigation Committee (SLC) reached a settlement agreement with former CEO Dr. William W. McGuire.


SLC concluded all claims against all named defendants should be dismissed. Dr. McGuire will surrender UNH stock options worth approximately $320 million, interest in retirement plan valued at approximately $91 million, and $8 million in his executive savings plan. UNH has a market cap of $72 billion. UNH over all option implied volatility of 24 is near its 26-week average of 26 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional risks.

Daily Options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com

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DJIA-17.2410,433.71
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S&P 500-0.591,105.65

Last updated: November 24, 2009: 08:33 PM

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