
This time it could be different. Maybe
U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson is traveling to China to discuss "all-things economic and financial" and the U.S.'s enormous trade deficit with China will certainly be at the top of the agenda.
The U.S., including several U.S. multinational corporations like
Caterpillar, Inc. (NYSE:
CAT), argue that China is manipulating the value of its currency -- keeping it artificially low -- in order to gain a competitive advantage for its manufacturers, who feed low-cost goods to markets around the world, especially to the United States.
Conversely, China argues that U.S. consumers' overspending, low savings rate and the U.S.
Government's budget deficit are at the root of the U.S.-China trade deficit and the dollar's low value vs. China's currency, the yuan.
Previous talks with China have produced few substantive changes in the trade relationship between the two economic giants. China has moved to a tight-band fixed currency policy -- one that allows the yuan to appreciate slightly -- but the exchange rate is still fixed, in reality. Meanwhile, U.S. consumers continue to spend more than they should, and the U.S. racked up its highest monthly trade deficit level in 6 months,
to $63.9 billion in April. The U.S. is also on a pace to register a near-record $722.6 billion trade deficit in 2007, just below 2006's $765.3 billion.