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American Express Nips at Paypal with New 'Serve' Platform

American Express (AXP) logoAmerican Express (AXP) followed in Visa's (V) steps and announced a digital payment and commerce platform dubbed Serve, which enables the consumers to make purchases and person-to-person payments online via mobile phones and at merchants that accept American Express cards. MasterCard (MA) is also planning to launch its own offering for personal payments.

We estimate that American Express derives 73% of our $49.61 price estimate from card transaction and execution fees while Visa derives almost 29% of its $85.03 Trefis price estimate from transaction fees.

Continue reading American Express Nips at Paypal with New 'Serve' Platform

Discover Financial Services Trading Higher After Q1 Release

When it comes to credit-card businesses, I'm partial to Visa, Inc. (V). Even so, I have to give my respect today to Discover Financial Services (DFS). At the time of this writing, the stock was up 4.5% to $23.26. Volume was strong. Furthermore, a new 52-week high of $23.46 was recorded earlier in the day (by the time this is published, it's possible the high quote will be different).

The stock has been a good holding over the last twelve months. The 52-week low is $12.11, and the one-year chart shows strength. This name is heading for a double. Is it too late to buy?

Continue reading Discover Financial Services Trading Higher After Q1 Release

Sophisticated Cyber Attacks Expand the Addressable Security Software Market

Symantec (SYMC) logoSymantec (SYMC) is the leader in the security software market and competes with McAfee -- which was recently acquired by Intel (INTC) -- as well as with Computer Associates, AVG, TrendMicro and Kaspersky Labs. Symantec recently released a report in which it noted that cyber attack tool kits have become more accessible and much easier to use. This report followed incidents in December in which credit card giants Visa (V) and MasterCard (MA) were targeted by cyber attacks.

While such cyber attacks are dangerous for businesses and individuals, they create new business opportunities for antivirus software companies like Symantec, as demand for these products increases. We estimate that security software (for both consumers and businesses) constitutes roughly 50% of our $21.36 price estimate for Symantec stock, while storage software effectively makes up the balance. Our price estimate for Symantec stock is about 20% above the current market price.

Continue reading Sophisticated Cyber Attacks Expand the Addressable Security Software Market

Two Legs of Growth for American Express: Women and Technology

Founded in 1950, New York based American Express (AXP) is a leading global financial services company offering card payment products and travel-related services to consumers and businesses across the globe. It is now the third largest player in the U.S. in terms of card transaction volumes after Visa (V) and MasterCard (MC). It also competes with other financial institutions that have credit card services like Discover Financial (DFS) and Capital One (COH).

Continue reading Two Legs of Growth for American Express: Women and Technology

Two Quarterly Reports: Visa and Yum! Brands

Let's take a quick look at two companies that posted quarterly reports. One makes its money from plastic (the kind you use to buy things), the other serves pizza, poultry, and tacos to the masses.

Visa, Inc. (V) has not been a great stock this year. Its 52-week low is $64.90 and its 52-week high is $97.19. The stock closed today's regular session at $72.09, backed by unremarkable volume. I don't know, maybe I'm way off, but I think this name should be at least a little closer to the 52-week high. On a related note, the one-year chart is not what shareholders want to see.

Continue reading Two Quarterly Reports: Visa and Yum! Brands

Week in Preview: January Employment Data, UPS Earnings and More

earnings expectationsFriday's fourth-quarter GDP numbers offered more evidence that the economy is picking up steam, but one of the biggest obstacles to the recovery remains the stubbornly high unemployment rate. We'll find out whether there's been any movement on that front when employment data for January comes out this week. The Challenger Job-Cut report and ADP employment data are due Wednesday, and the government's unemployment rate on Friday. Another mild increase in jobs is expected, in line with the three-month average, but not enough to significantly reduce the unemployment rate.

Also look for the ISM manufacturing and nonmanufacturing indexes this week, as well as the Chicago PMI and the New York NAPM index. And Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will speak to the National Press Club on Thursday.

Continue reading Week in Preview: January Employment Data, UPS Earnings and More

American Express: Buy or Sell After Q4 Release?

American Express (AXP) was not on Wall Street's list of best buys today. The market is a few minutes away from closing as I write this, and I see that the shares are off by over 2% to $44.82. Volume is quite high.

Should investors be considering this credit-and-charge-card entity for their portfolios? Well, the stock is closer to the 52-week high of $49.19 than it is to the 52-week low of $36.60, but the twelve-month chart shows that the shares have been bouncing around in that somewhat narrow range rather vigorously.

Continue reading American Express: Buy or Sell After Q4 Release?

Starbucks: New Size, New Payment Method

Starbucks (SBUX)It's not enough to be on every metropolitan street corner; now Starbucks (SBUX) is trying to be even bigger (in one sense of the word) -- and faster, too. Thirsty folks longing for a Big Gulp­-style coffee beverage are in luck as the Seattle-based coffee chain is set to roll out its new "Trenta" size for iced drinks.

The new size, seven ounces bigger than the Venti, will be 31 ounces. Trenta, by the way, means "thirty" in Italian. It's also a valley in Slovenia and a small town in the Italian province of Cosenza. This new size trumps Dunkin Donuts, which offers its iced beverages in 24-ounce serving sizes.

Continue reading Starbucks: New Size, New Payment Method

Analyst Calls: ACN, AMAT, AZN, BBT, CBS, GPN, IP, ORCL, PKG, SONC, V ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Oracle (ORCL) to outperform from perform at Oppenheimer.
  • Accenture (ACN) to buy from hold at Jefferies.
  • Advanced Energy (AEIS) and Applied Materials (AMAT) to overweight from equal weight at Barclays.
  • Spreadtrum (SPRD) to buy from hold at Auriga.
  • Healthcare Realty Trust (HR) and Tortoise Energy Capital (TYY) to outperform from neutral at RW Baird.
  • Global Payments (GPN) to equal weight from underweight at Morgan Stanley.
  • CBS (CBS) to buy from neutral at BofA/Merrill.
  • Sonic (SONC) to outperform from neutral at Cowen.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: ACN, AMAT, AZN, BBT, CBS, GPN, IP, ORCL, PKG, SONC, V ...

MasterCard Up After Latest Report

MasterCard (MA) was higher this afternoon as market participants evaluated the credit-card company's most recent quarterly release. Shares were up 2.5% to a quote of $245.02.

The 52-week high for the stock is $269.88, so one could look at the situation as having room to grow (thankfully, the current share price is comfortably above the 52-week low of $191). The one-year chart, however, might offer some cause for concern. The stock does seem to want to make a comeback, but the image nevertheless is a bit tough to examine.

Continue reading MasterCard Up After Latest Report

Earnings Releases: Procter & Gamble and Visa

PG earnings, Visa earningsBoth Procter & Gamble (PG) and Visa (V) are stocks I consider potentially solid long-term bets. You could hold the pair in a core portfolio, although I concede that Visa will obviously be the more volatile, and risky, of the two. When you think about it, each one possesses great brand equity and provides products that will be in demand for years to come. Laundry detergent and plastic credit/debit cards will most likely never become obsolete.

Wednesday saw the release of each company's latest earnings report. P&G, which was issuing numbers for the first quarter, said it made $1.02 per share from continuing operations. This was two pennies ahead of the estimate.

Continue reading Earnings Releases: Procter & Gamble and Visa

Discover Financial Services Up on Q3 News

Discover Financial Services (DFS) is trading higher this afternoon after the credit-card entity reported numbers for the fiscal third quarter. At the time of this writing, the stock was up 2.4% to $15.95. Volume was very strong.

The shares have traded in a narrow range over the last twelve months. The 52-week low is $12.11 while the 52-week high is $17.36. The chart shows a nice trading vehicle for those who like to buy and sell on a short-term basis.

Continue reading Discover Financial Services Up on Q3 News

Closing Bell: Slow Growth Better Than No Growth (NYT, SLAB, V, MA, ZGEN, JASO)

The latest Beige Book from the Fed showed that growth is definitely decelerating. The good news is that even the pygmies have figured that out by now. Stock traders and bond traders have been fighting over whether the slower growth means a double-dip recession or just anemic growth. There were only a few reports to watch, but many stocks and sectors were on the move.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow Jones 10,387.54 +46.85 (0.45%)
S&P 500 1,098.90 +7.06 (0.65%)
Nasdaq 2,228.87 +19.98 (0.90%)

Top Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades

Continue reading Closing Bell: Slow Growth Better Than No Growth (NYT, SLAB, V, MA, ZGEN, JASO)

Analyst Calls: BA, COST, DELL, GD, INTC, LVS, MGM, PCLN, TWX, V, VIA ...

Analyst Upgrades

  • Goldman upgraded Costco (COST) to buy from neutral based on valuation, improving fundamentals and potential catalysts. The firm raised its price target to $68 from $62.
  • Soleil upgraded MGM Resorts (MGM) to buy from hold, citing valuation, easing balance sheet concerns and a multiyear convention recovery. The firm upped its target for shares to $14 from $13. Note, Soleil also downgraded Las Vegas Sands (LVS) to hold from buy.
  • Piper Jaffray upgraded Phillips-Van Heusen (PVH) to overweight from neutral with a $59 price target following the company's better-than-expected Q2 results.
  • Dell (DELL) was upgraded to buy from outperform at CLSA.
  • CommScope (CTV) was upgraded to buy from neutral at UBS.
  • EnCana (ECA) was upgraded to sector outperformer from sector performer at CIBC.

Continue reading Analyst Calls: BA, COST, DELL, GD, INTC, LVS, MGM, PCLN, TWX, V, VIA ...

The Economy Is Doomed! Now What?

It seems as if everyone is worried about the economy going into a double-dip recession these days. Worry in and of itself can be very destructive, both to your mental state and to the economy overall. Besides pulling out your hair, causing acid reflux and other health problems, worry can actually become self-fulfilling prophecy and cause the very thing you are most afraid of.

A number of years ago when I read Dale Carnegie's book How to Stop Worrying and Start Living, one method he suggested was just to accept the worst case scenario and then move on with life from there.

So accept it: THE ECONOMY IS DOOMED! it's going to be 10 years of economic nightmare!

Now what?

Continue reading The Economy Is Doomed! Now What?

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 10, 2012: 06:11 PM

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