Vahan Janjigian, a quantitative analyst, sees value in Office Depot (NYSE: ODP), which he feels will benefit from growing acceptance of Microsoft's Vista operating system. Here's his latest from The Forbes Growth Investor.
Office Depot, he notes, operates 1,174 stores in the U.S. and Canada, including 16 new stores that opened during the quarter. Operations, he says, have improved ever since new management took over in 2005.
The pro forma operating profit margin expanded to 5.5% in 2006 from 4.6% in 2005 and 4.3% in 2004, he points out, and a remodeling initiative is boosting sales and profits by providing a better shopping experience and lower operating expenses.
Janjigian also notes that the company has expanded its line of private-label goods, which offer better value to customers yet carry higher margins. He estimates that private label sales now generate about one-fourth of net revenues.
However, the analyst points out, North American sales have been depressed as customers put off computer purchases while waiting for the Vista operating system from Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) and he now expects sales to rise as Vista gains acceptance.
He suggests, "Sales should rise from Vista and any remaining weakness in comparable store sales should be offset by margin expansion."
He also notes that all older format stores should be remodeled within the next few years and about 350 new stores should be opened by 2008. He says, "The combination of top-line growth and expanding margins should help earnings grow at mid-teen rates. As such, we rate the stock a buy."
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