- Keefe Bruyette upgraded Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE) to Market Perform from Underperform following the company's in-line quarter and extended buyback. The firm raised its target price on shares to $103 from $98.
- Merriman upgraded Cree (NASDAQ: CREE) to Buy from Neutral after transitioning coverage of the stock as it believes HB-LED chips are gaining momentum and that the company can top its recently raised guidance.
- Deutsche Bank upgraded Glatfelter (NYSE: GLT) to Buy from Hold following the company's Q2 results due to falling net debt levels and valuation. The firm raised its target on shares to $14 from $8.
- Corporate Executive Board (NASDAQ: EXBD) was upgraded to Neutral from Underperform at Baird.
- Cognizant (NASDAQ: CTSH) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
- Unit Corp. (NYSE: UNT) was upgraded to Buy from Sell at Jesup & Lamont.
vclk posts
FeedAnalyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ADM, ANN, GENZ, ICE, MON, RIMM ...
Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ADM, ANN, GENZ, ICE, MON, RIMM ...
Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: DLTR, KWK, IRE, AAUK, JNJ ...
Analyst upgrades:- UBS upgraded Dollar Tree (NASDAQ: DLTR) to Buy from Neutral but lowered its target to $42 from $45 following the solid Q4 report. The firm expects Dollar Tree's cost containment to continue. JP Morgan upgraded shares to Overweight from Neutral on valuation as it believes the recent pullback is overdone and the company set achievable FY09 guidance. The firm has a $43 target on the stock.
- JP Morgan also upgraded Smithfield Foods (NYSE: SFD) to Overweight from Neutral on valuation as they find the stock oversold at current levels.
- KeyBanc upgraded Nordson (NASDAQ: NDSN) to Hold from Underweight based on valuation, strong balance sheet and cost reductions, and a solid track record of execution.
- Philips Electronics (NYSE: PHG) was upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at HSBC.
- Aeropostale (NYSE: ARO) was raised to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays.
- Carter's (NYSE: CRI) was upgraded at Goldman to Neutral from Sell.
Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: DLTR, KWK, IRE, AAUK, JNJ ...
Earnings highlights: Citigroup, eBay, IBM, Merrill Lynch, Microsoft and others
Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:
- Activision Blizzard Inc. (NASDAQ: ATVID) sees strong Q1 results driven by Guitar Hero.
- Allegheny Technologies Inc. (NYSE: ATI) raised its Q2 earnings guidance ahead of its report.
- Cintas Corp. (NASDAQ: CTAS) strong Q4 and full-year results included a record quarterly revenue.
- Citigroup (NYSE: C) posted better-than-expected results despite a big loss on further write-downs.
- eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY) reported better-than-expected results and offered a soft outlook (see transcript).
- Fastenal Co. (NASDAQ: FAST) posted strong Q2 earnings despite the housing slump but lower revenues.
- Grainger Inc. (NYSE: GWW) posted strong Q2 results on expansion in Mexico and China.
- Harley-Davidson Inc. (NYSE: HOG) beat Q2 expectations despite profit and revenue declines.
- International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) easily topped Wall Street earnings expectations.
- Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) beat Q2 estimates and raised its full-year forecast (see transcript).
- Kimberly-Clark Corp. (NYSE: KMB) warned of lower Q2 earnings due to energy and distribution costs.
- Merrill Lynch & Co. (NYSE: MER) reported worse-than-expected Q2 results on further write downs.
- Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ: MSFT) earnings surged but investors were put off by its full-year guidance.
- Procter & Gamble Co. (NYSE: PG) reaffirmed its guidance following the Kimberly-Clark warnings.
- United Technologies Corp. (NYSE: UTX) beat Q2 estimates, lifting shares from a recent 52-week low.
- ValueClick Inc. (NASDAQ: VCLK) posted weak results and warned about the second half of the year.
For more highlights from this week, see: Google, Intel, JPMorgan, Coca-Cola, Nokia and others
The earnings crunch continues next week. Among companies scheduled to report are Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL), Bank of America (NYSE: BAC), Merck (NYSE: MRK), Texas Intruments (NYSE: TXN), Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT), Halliburton (NYSE: HAL), United Parcel Service (NYSE: UPS), Wachovia (NYSE: WB), Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO), Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Anheuser-Busch (NYSE: BUD), AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T), McDonald's (NYSE: MCD), PepsiCo (NYSE: PEP), Pfizer (NYSE: PFE), Boeing (NYSE: BA), Hershey (NYSE: HSY), and Southwest Airlines (NYSE: LUV).
Option Update: Valueclick volatility elevated into lower Q2 revenue guidance
Valueclick (NASDAQ: VCLK), an online marketing service company, announced preliminary Q2 revenue between $163 and $164 million compared to the company's prior guidance range of $166 to $170 million. VCLK is recently trading down $3.02 to $10.75 in pre-open trading.
VCLK overall option implied volatility of 65 was above its 26-week average of 58 according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.
Option Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
ValuClick (VCLK) seen past legal issues
ValueClick Inc. (NASDAQ: VCLK) shares are trading higher this morning after analysts from Robert W. Baird and Oppenheimer upgraded the stock to "Outperform" from "Neutral" and "Outperform" from "Perform," respectively. VCLK disclosed yesterday that it will pay the Federal Trade Commission $2.9 million to settle a dispute over its lead-generation practices. Both firms raised their ratings afterwards, believing that with the investigation behind it, VCLK can focus on growing the lead-generation business to get back on track. If you think that the company won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on VCLK.After hitting a one-year high of $36.70 in May, the stock hit a one-year low of $17.07 in January. VCLK opened this morning at $23.41. So far today the stock has hit a low of $22.35 and a high of $23.44. As of 10:45, VCLK is trading at $22.99, up $1.31 (6.0%). The chart for VCLK looks bullish but deteriorating slightly, while S&P gives the stock a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold rating.
For a bullish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a March bull-put credit spread below the $20 range. A bull-put credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of put options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make a 13.6% return in just five weeks as long as VCLK is above $20 at March expiration. ValuClick would have to fall by more than 13% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
VCLK hasn't been below $20 by more than a few cents in the past year and has shown support around $20.75 recently. This trade could be risky if the US economy continues to worsen, but even if that happens, this position could be protected by the support the stock might find right at $20, where it has bounced a few times in the past quarter.
Brent Archer is an options analyst and writer at Investors Observer.
DISCLOSURE: Mr. Archer owns and/or controls diversified portfolios of long and short stock and option positions that may include holdings in companies he writes about. At publication time, Brent neither owns nor controls positions in VCLK.
Analyst upgrades: VCLK, MDCO and BSY
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Valueclick, The Medicines Co and British Sky Broadcasting were today's noteworthy upgrades:- Oppenheimer upgraded shares of Valueclick (NASDAQ:VCLK) to Outperform from Perform following the company's Q4 upside, as they believe the FTC investigation completed with no material penalties and that lead generation is stabilizing.
- Citigroup upgraded shares of The Medicines Co (NASDAQ:MDCO) to Buy from Hold following the solid Q4 results to reflect a better risk/reward profile and stabilizing PCI volume.
- Goldman raised its rating on British Sky Broadcasting (NYSE:BSY) to Buy from Sell and added shares to their Conviction Sell List as they see above-average upside at tough valuations.
- Goldman upgraded the U.S. Trucking Sector to Attractive from Cautious, also upgraded YRC Worldwide (NASDAQ:YRCW) and Arkansas Best (NASDAQ:ABFS) to Neutral from Sell.
- ING upgraded Novartis (NYSE:NVS) to Buy from Hold.
Pre-market movers: VCLK, BIDU, CMCSA ...
Valueclick (NASDAQ: VCLK) is up 10% on stronger-than-expected earnings.
Baidu (NASDAQ: BIDU) is up almost 7% on a good fourth quarter.
Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA) is up 10% on strong earnings and a new dividend.
Netgear (NASDAQ: NTGR) is off almost 9% on weak guidance.
Network Appliance (NASDAQ: NTAP) is down over 3% on lower than expected Q1 guidance.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
ValueClick believes profitability is a click-through process
ValueClick (NASDAQ: VCLK) is one of the world's largest and most diversified online marketing services companies.
Analysts see 2008 revenue increasing 15-20% following a likely 15-17% rise in 2007, as the internet continues to grab an increasing share of marketing budgets. Analysts also expect VCLK to add to its corporate customer base.
Meanwhile, the company's revenue mix remains favorable, and operating margins appear to have bottomed in 2007. Further, there's ample room for VCLK to broaden its international footprint. The Reuters F2007/F2008 EPS consensus estimates for VCLK are $0.71/$0.83.
Continue reading ValueClick believes profitability is a click-through process
Dial 1-800-REVShare for the future in TV advertising
The article was about a $20 million infusion by the Carlyle Group and H.I.G. Ventures in a Southern California-based company named REVShare. Your friend and mine, Google (NASDAQ: GOOG), has made a push into Cost-Per-Action (CPA) advertising. CPA advertising is the holy grail for advertisers, because the advertiser only pays when an action he defines (like purchasing a product) occurs. This has long been a mainstay of internet advertising, as it's relatively easy to gauge such metrics. Commission Junction, part of ValueClick, (NASDAQ: VCLK) has been making a living at this for a long time (in relative web years). Television, on the other hand, has always been a slippery bugger.
Continue reading Dial 1-800-REVShare for the future in TV advertising
Analyst upgrades: ANFGY, MER, VCLK, TMX and NTAP
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Antofagasta plc, Merrill Lynch, Valueclick, Telmex and Network Appliance were today's noteworthy upgrades:- UBS upgraded shares of Antofagasta (OTC: ANFGY) to Neutral from Sell as they see a strong possibility of delays to copper supply due to an earthquake on Nov. 14 in northern Chile.
- Credit Suisse is positive on the appointment of John Thain as Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER)'s CEO and his ability to get the company back on track strategically. The firm upgraded shares of Merrill to Outperform from Neutral.
- Valueclick (NASDAQ: VCLK) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Citigroup on valuation, as they believe the recent sell-off provides a great entry point.
- Citigroup also raised its rating on Telmex (NYSE: TMX) to Buy from Hold after the company announced the spin-off of its international businesses.
- Bear Stearns upgraded Network Appliance (NASDAQ: NTAP) to Peer Perform from Underperform following its Q2 report and increased outlook.
- RBC Capital upgraded Sciele Pharma (NASDAQ: SCRX) to Sector Perform from Underperform.
- Lehman upgraded Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN) to Overweight from Equal Weight.
- W.W. Grainger (NYSE: GWW) was upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Morgan Keegan.
- Merrill Lynch upgraded Weyerhaeuser (NYSE: WY) to Buy from Neutral.
Analyst downgrade: TXN, CHKP, MINI, VNBC and TPTX
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Texas Instruments, Check Point, Mobile Mini, Vineyard National Bancorp and TorreyPines were today's noteworthy downgrades:- Jefferies downgraded shares of Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) to Hold from Buy, as they believe the company's fundamentals are weakening given the worse than anticipated share losses in the wireless segment. Shares were also lowered to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan, to Equal Weight from Overweight at Lehman, to Neutral from Outperform at Credit Suisse, and to Neutral from Buy at UBS to reflect the slowdown in the company's wireless growth.
- Check Point Software (NASDAQ: CHKP) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Jefferies on valuation and highlights the difficult spending environment in 1H08 as well as the company's tough comps.
- Deutsche Bank downgraded shares of Mobile Mini (NASDAQ: MINI) to Hold from Buy following the company's negative preannouncement.
- Oppenheimer lowered Vineyard National Bancorp (NASDAQ: VNBC) to Neutral from Buy to reflect slower pace of balance sheet growth and lower gain-on-sale income estimates.
- JMP Securities downgraded TorreyPines (NASDAQ: TPTX) to Market Outperform from Strong Buy and said Tezampanel's lack of dose response and statistically significant pain free response will keep the stock in the "show me" category.
- JP Morgan downgraded ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) to Underweight from Neutral and Marathon Oil Corporation (NYSE: MRO) to Neutral from Overweight.
- UBS downgraded Zions Bancorporation (NASDAQ: ZION) to Neutral from Buy.
- Citigroup downgraded Kellogg Company (NYSE: K) to Hold from Buy.
- ThinkEquity downgraded ValueClick (NASDAQ: VCLK) to Source of Funds from Buy.
Analyst downgrades: Software sector, ERIC, PCAR, E and VCLK
MOST NOTEWORTHY: The software sector, Ericsson, Paccar, Eni SpA and Valueclick were today's noteworthy downgrades:- Bear Stearns downgraded the software sector to Underweight from Market Weight, citing valuations and increased risk to 2008 IT budgets.
- Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC) was downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Lehman and to Neutral from Overweight at JP Morgan following the company's Q3 profit warning.
- Paccar (NASDAQ: PCAR) was downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform at Wachovia. The firm believes Street estimates are too high due to weaker-than-expected North American unit production.
- ABN Amro downgraded shares of Eni SpA (NYSE: E) to Sell from Hold as they expect the company to invest significantly more in its upstream activities than guidance suggests due to cost pressures.
- Oppenheimer downgraded ValueClick (NASDAQ: VCLK) to Neutral from Buy following the Q3 pre-announcement and guidance.
- Merrill downgraded Equity Lifestyle Properties (NYSE: ELS) to Neutral from Buy.
- Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at UBS.
- JP Morgan downgraded ACA Capital Holdings (NYSE: ACA) To Neutral from Overweight.
- Citigroup downgraded Vimpel Communications (NYSE: VIP) to Sell from Hold.
- Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Gabelli.
Stock market's Manic Monday leads to Twisted Tuesday
Manic Monday meet Twisted Tuesday.The Dow Jones industrial average is down 85 points to 13,899, rebounding from earlier lows (1:15 p.m.). The market is moving for lots of reasons including Ben Bernanke's pessimistic view of the housing market and a drumbeat of disappointing results from companies including Wells Fargo & Co. (NYSE: WFC) along with comments from home-builder D.R. Horton Inc. (NYSE: DHI) indicating tighter availability of mortgages. Ericsson AB (NASDAQ: ERIC) plunged after reporting worst-than-expected results as did ValueClick Inc. (NASDAQ: VCLK).
I almost forgot to mention skyrocketing oil prices that seem headed to $100 per barrel and beyond, which helped push up the big oil companies including ExxonMobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM).
Continue reading Stock market's Manic Monday leads to Twisted Tuesday
Option update 10-16-07: ERIC, VCLK poised to sell offs, volatility up
Ericsson (NASDAQ: ERIC), a Swedish telecommunications and data communications systems and services, is recently down $11.98 to $28.95 in pre-open trading after announcing third-quarter net income fell 36% compared to a year ago on lower demand for network equipment.
Oppenheimer says: "The announcement is somewhat surprising given the company's upbeat comments at a technology analyst day on September 11."
ERIC over all option implied volatility of 34 is near is 26-week average of 33 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price risk.
ValueClick (NASDAQ: VCLK), an online marketing services company, is recently down $4.43 to $23.40 in pre-open trading after lowering third-quarter revenue and gross margin guidance.
VCLK over all option implied volatility of 72 is above its 26-week average of 53 according to Track Data, suggesting larger risks.
Daily options Update is provided by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.
Analyst downgrades: ABT, BCS, SNDK, MSW and TXN
MOST NOTEWORTHY: Abbott Labs, Barclays, SanDisk, Mission West Properties and Texas Instruments were today's noteworthy downgrades:- Wachovia downgraded shares of Abbott Labs (NYSE: ABT) to Market Perform from Outperform reflect several challenges to the company's key franchises. In particular, Wachovia cites the potential delay of the drug-eluting stent Xience launch in the U.S. and decelerating growth of Humira.
- ABN Amro downgraded shares of Barclays (NYSE: BCS) to Hold from Buy to reflect the capital markets, lower UK bank non-interest income and higher bad debts.
- Oppenheimer downgraded shares of SanDisk Corporation (NASDAQ: SNDK) to Neutral from Buy as they expect many of the advantages that drove shares to unwind in Q4 and into 1H08.
- Mission West Properties (NYSE: MSW) was downgraded to Hold from Buy at Stifel, as they now believe the possibility of a sale is 50%/50% and could be pushed back to 1H08.
- Think Equity downgraded shares of Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) to Source of Funds from Accumulate as they believe competition could hinder Q4 and 2008 growth for wireless.
- Citigroup downgraded Xyratex Ltd (NASDAQ: XRTX) and Valueclick (NASDAQ: VCLK) to Hold from Buy.
- Piper downgraded Nasdaq Stock Market (NASDAQ: NDAQ) to Market Perform from Outperform.
- Lehman downgraded Burlington Northern Santa Fe Corp (NYSE: BNI) to Equal Weight from Overweight and CSX Corporation (NYSE: CSX) to Underweight from Equal Weight.
- UBS downgraded Molson Coors (NYSE: TAP) to Neutral from Buy.




