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FeedPosted Mar 9th 2011 2:00PM by Trefis (RSS feed)
Filed under: Television, Viacom (VIA)
Viacom (VIA) competes with other media and broadcasting companies like Time Warner (TWX), News Corp. (NWS), CBS (CBS) and Disney (DIS) in the media and entertainment business. Our price estimate for Viacom's stock stands at $58.36, which is a roughly 10% premium to market price.
Viacom makes money through cable and satellite operators, such as Comcast (CMCSA), Time Warner Cable (TWC), and DirecTV (DTV) that pay Viacom a monthly fee for each of their subscribers that receive Viacom-owned channels such as Nickelodeon, MTV, VH1 and TV Land. Viacom also sells advertising spots on its channels to advertisers like Coca-Cola (KO), Ford (F) and Procter & Gamble (PG). These revenues are partially a function of the total number of U.S. pay-TV households. The modifiable chart below showcases how changes to this metric affect Viacom's stock value.
Continue reading TV Channels Drive 79% of Viacom's Stock Value
Posted Feb 4th 2011 10:00AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Viacom (VIA), Media World
Viacom's (VIA.B) B shares sold off on Thursday following the distribution of the media conglomerate's fiscal Q1 numbers. It's a shame. The stock has been doing really well, as can be seen by this chart. It would have been good if the shares had rallied with the data. That's all right. Even though the equity closed down almost 1% to $43.55 on active volume, it's still not too far away from the 52-week high of $45.29.
Is the price action a signal to sell? Well, I can't say I was blown away by the earnings news. According to the corporate release, adjusted profit from continuing businesses went down 11% to $1.02 per share. Okay, fine, a drop was already on the radar. In fact, the Associated Press says that the bottom line was four pennies ahead of the forecast.
Continue reading Viacom Sells Off After Q1 Earnings Report
Posted Jan 22nd 2011 11:40AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Walt Disney (DIS), Viacom (VIA), Technical Analysis
Viacom's B shares (VIA.B) hit a new 52-week high of $43 on Friday during the intraday session (it eventually closed at $42.28). This is a stock I watch fairly regularly, and it's looking like it wants to make a run to even higher heights.
The equity has done well since hitting a 52-week low of $27.89 nearly a year ago. The twelve-month chart shows the stock's escape from a sideways-trading pattern. You can't help but call the media company attractive from a technical viewpoint.
I also find the business to be interesting from a valuation perspective. Even with the appreciation in price, the shares are arguably not too expensive.
Continue reading Viacom Hits New 52-Week High
Posted Dec 27th 2010 9:30AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: General Electric (GE), Walt Disney (DIS), Viacom (VIA), Film
Little Fockers, the comedy sequel starring Ben Stiller and Robert DeNiro, distributed by General Electric's (
GE) Universal Pictures, came in first this past weekend. According to early estimates over at
Box Office Mojo, the film made $34 million for the Friday-through-Sunday frame (it opened last Wednesday, so its total is now approaching $50 million).
That easily beat the other new movie in the marketplace, Viacom's (
VIA.B)
True Grit. This one stars Jeff Bridges and was directed by Joel and Ethan Coen.
Grit was second with roughly $25 million. It also opened last Wednesday; it has so far captured over $36 million.
Continue reading GE's 'Little Fockers' Beats Viacom's 'True Grit'
Posted Nov 11th 2010 8:30AM by Jason Raznick (RSS feed)
Filed under: Before the Bell, Cisco Systems (CSCO), China, Walt Disney (DIS), Viacom (VIA), Gap Inc (GPS), Kohl's Corp (KSS), Commodities, Currency

U.S. stock futures are lower this morning after Cisco Systems (
CSCO) issued a weak revenue forecast last night, and China reported 4.4% surge in its consumer-price index in October. Futures on the
Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 14 points at 11,288.00, while S&P 500 futures moved down 2.80 points to 1,211.30. Nasdaq 100 futures dropped 12.75 points to 2,161.75.
However, U.S. markets did gain yesterday, with the Dow Jones industrial average rising 0.1%, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index gaining 0.4% and the Nasdaq Composite Index advancing 0.6%.
Continue reading Futures Lower on Cisco, China Inflation
Posted Nov 10th 2010 5:30PM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Earnings Reports, Forecasts, Walt Disney (DIS), Viacom (VIA), News Corp'B' (NWS), Media World

The Walt Disney Company (
DIS) will report fiscal fourth-quarter earnings after the bell on Thursday, November 11. This company is a big long-term holding for me, and if you've read anything I've ever written on the media conglomerate, you'll know that I haven't been too happy with it. Over the years, the stock just hasn't done as well as I thought it would do, not only in terms of capital appreciation, but also as it relates to dividend growth. On both counts, I'm thoroughly disappointed, but I'm particularly displeased with the dividend aspect. Sure, the shares have been a good trade at times, but when you've been an owner since 1998, like I have, the overall picture isn't one to be looked at with admiration.
So, I come up to yet another quarterly report. I enjoy reading them, but I'm not always satisfied with the reaction of the stock once the release has come and gone. What am I hoping for this time around? Please, Wall Street, buy this stock and push it past the 52-week high of 37.98! Is that too much to ask?
Continue reading Disney Set to Report Q4 Earnings
Posted Nov 1st 2010 10:00AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Viacom (VIA), Film, Lions Gate Entertainment (LGF)
A year ago, a fierce battle was being waged between two Hollywood studios for the dominance of the Halloween movie marketplace. Lions Gate Entertainment (LGF) was high on its latest gory sequel, Saw VI, while Viacom (VIA.B) was pinning its hopes on a low-budget film entitled Paranormal Activity. It was something of a David-and-Goliath situation; certainly the bloody brand equity of the Saw franchise could not be bested by some goofy found-footage-themed piece of celluloid?
Haven't the Goliaths of this world learned anything? Saw VI ended up the loser of the competition. I was amazed. Lions Gate, however, wanted to give it another shot. So, Saw 3D, which supposedly may be the final one of the series (yeah, we'll see), declared war on the sequel to Viacom's demon tale, Paranormal Activity 2, this past weekend; Jigsaw apparently is out for a little revenge.
Continue reading Saw 3D: Final Attempt Does the Trick for Lions Gate
Posted Oct 25th 2010 9:00AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Time Warner (TWX), Walt Disney (DIS), Viacom (VIA), Film, Lions Gate Entertainment (LGF)

Last time around, Viacom (
VIA.B) had the number-one film of the weekend with
Jackass 3D. Well, the studio has done it again, this time with a project more suited for the upcoming holiday dedicated to ghosts, goblins, and low-budget celluloid horrors.
According to early estimates at
Box Office Mojo,
Paranormal Activity 2 obliterated the competition at domestic theaters. It took in well over $40 million, more than enough for first place. Of course, the company behind the picture that came in second isn't crying:
Jackass 3D, which captured another $20 million and is now on its way to passing $100 million in total gross, is also from Viacom.
Continue reading Viacom Dominates Theaters with 'Paranormal Activity 2'
Posted Oct 18th 2010 9:00AM by Steven Mallas (RSS feed)
Filed under: Time Warner (TWX), Walt Disney (DIS), Viacom (VIA), Sony Corp ADR (SNE), Film

Viacom (
VIA.B) scored this past weekend with Johnny Knoxville and his self-abusing colleagues. The film
Jackass 3D came out on top, making $50 million at domestic theaters in its debut, according to early estimates at
Box Office Mojo. Viacom beat out high-profile products from various media companies: Summit Entertainment's
Red, Sony's (
SNE)
The Social Network, Time Warner's (
TWX)
Life As We Know It, and Disney's (
DIS)
Secretariat all had to step aside and watch as multiplexes filled with fans eager to see the comedy saturated with a series of painful stunts.
It isn't too surprising. The promotional campaign for the movie seemed to have hit its target demographic, creating an appropriate amount of excitement that eventually translated into copious ticket sales. Plus, except for
Red, the other movies mentioned were already out in the marketplace, making them not as much of a threat to the energetic new kid on the block.
Continue reading Viacom's 'Jackass' Franchise Makes Triumphant Return
Posted Oct 6th 2010 11:15AM by Eric Buscemi (RSS feed)
Filed under: Analyst Reports, Analyst Upgrades and Downgrades, Viacom (VIA), Comerica Inc (CMA), Chipotle Mexican Grill'A' (CMG), Texas Instruments (TXN), Analyst Initiations, Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR), Prudential Financial (PRU)
Analyst upgrades:
- Citigroup upgraded Lubrizol (LZ) to Hold from Sell following the company's analyst day citing its continued pricing power in lubricants. Citi upped its target price for shares to $115 from $82.
- Janney Montgomery upgraded Viacom (VIA) to Buy from Neutral citing the company's ratings improvement, 2011 film slate, and video game pipeline. The firm has a $45 price target for shares.
- BMO Capital resumed coverage on Gammon Gold (GRS) with an Outperform from a Market Perform following the its equity issue. The firm has a $12.50 price target on the stock.
- Comerica (CMA) and First Horizon (FHN) were upgraded to Buy from Hold at Deutsche Bank.
- Prudential (PRU) was upgraded to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays.
- Itron (ITRI) was upgraded to Hold from Sell at Stifel Nicolaus.
Continue reading Analyst Calls: VIA, CMA, PRU, CMG, PBR, TXN, DHR, HUM
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