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Options Update: CBOE Volatility Index Down 5.8% to 19.04

CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) is recently down 1.16 to 19.05, below its 10-day moving average of 22.74, and above its 50-day moving average 18.81.

GameStop Corp. (GME) April 21 and 22 calls are active on call option implied volatility of 42, compared to its 26-week average of 36, according to Track Data. Active call volume suggests traders positioning for larger price movement in Q4 results that are expected to be released on March 24.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Cautious Approach with Nintendo

Nintendo (NTDOY) is presumably excited about the prospects for its new handheld system. The Nintendo 3DS is supposed to deliver a fascinating, futuristic portable-gaming experience. The company's American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) have been compelling on their own. An active trader has had several opportunities in recent weeks to play the ups and the downs of this name.

Today, the ADRs find themselves on the downside. At the time of this writing, they were off by 4.4% to $36.60; so far, the volume backing the price movement is lackluster. The 52-week low for the video-game giant is $31.10 while the 52-week high is $43.95.

Continue reading Cautious Approach with Nintendo

Activision Blizzard: Buy the Dip?

Okay, this isn't an easy one. Activision Blizzard (ATVI) is, as I write this, down 9.8% to $10.54. The intraday low so far is $10.51. The 52-week low is $9.99; the 52-week high is $12.65. The volume number is huge, way above average. There's the price perspective; what about some fundamental news? Management released earnings results for the fourth quarter yesterday after the bell. They weren't bad, really: non-GAAP income increased four pennies to 53 cents per share. This was two pennies ahead of the estimate, according to Earnings.com. But there were a couple items in the report that made traders want to bolt.

Let's start with the big headline. You see, the Guitar Hero asset, a peripheral/software system once well-known as a game with high quantities of play value, is now more famous (then again, infamous might be the preferred term) for its crashing popularity. Execs at the publisher have decided that it is no longer in the interest of shareholder value to continue making titles. Hey, Viacom (VIA.B) is no longer interested in Rock Band, so this does make a bit of sense, right?

Continue reading Activision Blizzard: Buy the Dip?

Take-Two Trades Up on Earnings News

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO) reported earnings for the fiscal third quarter yesterday after the bell. Today, the market expressed its pleasure with the results. In fact, a new 52-week high of $15.50 was set this session.

At the time of this writing, the quote going across my screen was $14.82, a price that was representative of a 2% gain. Volume conviction is definitely present. Looking at the one-year chart, it can be seen that the uptrend in the shares continues on following the making of a low point near the end of August.

Continue reading Take-Two Trades Up on Earnings News

Electronic Arts: How Does the Stock Look?

Electronic Arts Inc. (ERTS) received a downgrade today, according to TheFly. The company is now considered a hold by Brean Murray. What should investors make of this change?

Well, looking at it a little over an hour to go before the end of the day, it's notable that the stock is up 1.6% to $15.37 and that volume isn't overwhelming. Encouraging? Perhaps. Whenever there's a downgrade, shareholders usually must brace themselves for a sell-off. Thankfully, that didn't happen in this case.

Continue reading Electronic Arts: How Does the Stock Look?

Is Take-Two a Trade?

Last time I wrote about Take-Two Interactive (TTWO), I mentioned how the stock was getting interesting. I think the shares remain interesting, and I'm wondering if they could be a viable trade idea at this point.

This idea is not without significant risk. To begin with, the video-game industry still has its challenges: we're getting along in the current console cycle, and now, not a few gamers/investors are wondering when the next one will begin. Plus, Take-Two is arguably a candidate for profit-taking after its recent run-up (please see the chart). Management will issue its next quarterly report on February 8. Do you want to be in the stock ahead of this event? It's an important question to ask.

Continue reading Is Take-Two a Trade?

THQ: Is It Time to Buy or to Take Profits?

THQIDawn Kawamoto over at DailyFinance wrote an article discussing THQ Inc. (THQI). She brings into focus a licensing deal between the video-game publisher and Mattel, Inc. (MAT). There was also mention of the incredible price action in the stock. So, what are investors to make of the thesis? What about traders?

This is a tricky one. And I've been wrong about THQ's prospects before. It's certainly difficult to predict the movement of a stock that's priced in the single digits. At the time of this writing, the shares were trading at a quote of $6.26.

Continue reading THQ: Is It Time to Buy or to Take Profits?

Activision Blizzard: Are the Bulls Right?

I've written a lot about Blizzard (ATVI). It's a fun stock to watch. And the company is pretty fun, too. How can you not like the business behind both Call of Duty and Pitfall?

Those who've read my prior pieces on this subject probably know what I'm about to say in regard to the recent bullishness in the shares: Take profits now. Yes, the stock continues to scare me a bit. Well, maybe more than a bit. I know that the latest Call of Duty title is doing incredibly well at retail, but I also know that Guitar Hero is no longer on every teenager's Christmas wish list. Offsetting elements can be a problem, keep in mind.

Continue reading Activision Blizzard: Are the Bulls Right?

Take-Two Has a Great Quarter: Should You Buy?

Take-Two Interactive (TTWO), a video-game publisher whose competitors include Activision Blizzard (ATVI) and Electronic Arts (ERTS), reported excellent results for its latest quarter Thursday after the bell. The numbers sent the stock higher in the extended-hours session: Shares gained over 6%, rising to $12.68. Is it time to buy?

Take-Two is getting interesting, I have to admit. I was bearish on the company back in July. Now, the recent price action and the strong stats have got me looking quite seriously at the bull case.

Continue reading Take-Two Has a Great Quarter: Should You Buy?

Nintendo: Buy or Sell?

If you took a look at the very recent movement in Nintendo's (NTDOY) American Depositary Receipts (ADRs), you would probably come away thinking that they could be a buy. Hey, they very well could be.

However, if you took a look at a recent Reuters article, you might suddenly question the idea of stocking up on those very same ADRs. That's because, simply put, the cultural status of the Wii seems to be further weakening. Not only that, but the extremely popular Nintendo DS handheld system is facing increasing competition from other devices.

Continue reading Nintendo: Buy or Sell?

GameStop: Buy or Sell After Latest Report?

GameStop Corp. (GME) is down about 3.8% at the time of this writing. That places the quote at $20.20. Volume is pretty heavy. The 52-week low for the stock is $17.12; the 52-week high is $26.05. Looks like the market isn't exactly sure what to do with this company as the shares are at a comfortable distance between the two extremes.

Earlier today, the video-game chain reported earnings for the third quarter. According to the press release, net income, on an adjusted basis, came in at 38 cents per share. That was one penny above the estimate. Total company same-store sales increased 1.1%.

Continue reading GameStop: Buy or Sell After Latest Report?

Time to Check In on THQ

THQ Inc. (THQI) reported earnings for the fiscal second quarter last week. How does the stock look after the numbers?

Well, to begin with, we're dealing with an equity that is priced in the single digits. At the time of this writing, shares were exchanging hands for $4.14. The 52-week low is $3.33 while the 52-week high is $8.29. As can be seen from the chart, the stock has basically collapsed since peaking back in April. If you look at the corporate press release detailing the Q2 data, you may understand what all the bearishness is about. On a non-GAAP basis, the loss per share widened to 60 cents compared to a loss of 37 cents in the year-ago period. Also, the top line experienced a decline.

Continue reading Time to Check In on THQ

Activision Blizzard Down Following Third-Quarter Results

Activision Blizzard (ATVI) logoActivision Blizzard (ATVI) was, at the time of this writing, off by 3% to a quote of $11.28. Strong volume accompanied the dip. It's a shame, because the latest earnings report wasn't all that bad.

According to the Associated Press, adjusted income of 12 cents per share was three pennies ahead of the consensus estimate. The top line, after taking into account some items, also beat projections. Furthermore, management raised its outlook for the full fiscal year.

Continue reading Activision Blizzard Down Following Third-Quarter Results

Electronic Arts: Buy or Sell After Latest Earnings?

Let's face it: the chart for Electronic Arts (ERTS) isn't encouraging. And Wednesday's price action, the day after the video-game publisher's fiscal second-quarter results were released to investors, was awful: the stock lost over 4%, settling on a quote of $15.50, not too far away from the 52-week low of $14.06.

Shareholders would love to see a breakout above $20.24. When will it happen? Difficult to say. Remember that the industry has been suffering.

Continue reading Electronic Arts: Buy or Sell After Latest Earnings?

Activision Blizzard Set to Report Earnings: Buy the Stock?

Activision Blizzard (ATVI) will be issuing its third-quarter earnings release on Thursday, November 4. How should investors view the stock?

Right now, I'm not so positive on the shares. They were trading at a quote of $11.39 at the time of this writing. The 52-week low for the shares is $9.93; the 52-week high is $12.58. The chart shows an up-down pattern that probably doesn't inspire a lot of confidence in investors. You get the feeling that putting capital to work in this name will inevitably lead to a dead-money situation.

Continue reading Activision Blizzard Set to Report Earnings: Buy the Stock?

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DJIA-89.2312,801.23
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Last updated: February 11, 2012: 03:27 PM

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