warren buffett posts
FeedPosted Jan 4th 2011 12:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: General Electric (GE), Home Depot (HD), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Options, Bargain Stocks, Chasing Value™, S and P 500, Raytheon Company (RTN), E*TRADE (ETFC), EZCORP (EZPW), Williams Companies (WMB), Brasil Telecom (BTM) , Grubb and Ellis Co (GBE)
The year 2010 has come and gone and my results are in. This is my fourth annual stock results to be reported on BlogginStocks, so something of a track record is starting to form. This past year ended with a modest improvement over the unmanaged Standard & Poors 500 index
The original story, Chasing Value: 10 Stock Picks for 2010, took readers through a review of many candidates, concluding with the ten picks, using prices from Dec. 28, 2009.
Continue reading Chasing Value: 2010 Final Review -- Winners and Losers
Posted Dec 27th 2010 12:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Apple Inc (AAPL), General Electric (GE), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Diageo plc (DEO), Citigroup Inc. (C), Johnson and Johnson (JNJ), Novartis AG ADS (NVS), Chevron Corp (CVX), Teva Pharm Indus ADR (TEVA), China Life Insurance ADS (LFC), Bargain Stocks, Chasing Value™, Oil, Newcastle Investment (NCT), Raytheon Company (RTN), EZCORP (EZPW), Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A), Telefonica SA (TEF), Noble Corporation (NE)
Could a stock that you made 1,100% on still have room to run? Yes, it is possible. In particular if it had a near death experience as a penny stock for a while.
That is the case with Newcastle Investments (NCT), the CMBS lender and real estate investment company that reached a recent high of $7.10 and has settled back down, most recently hovering between $6.70 to $7.00. It closed Thursday December 23 at $6.71.
Continue reading Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks -- Part 2
Posted Dec 16th 2010 12:20PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Management, Competitive Strategy, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Chevron Corp (CVX), ConocoPhillips (COP), Lockheed Martin (LMT), Chasing Value™, Oil, General Dynamics Corp (GD), Northrop Grumman (NOC), Raytheon Company (RTN), Stock Picks, Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A)
The list of stocks under consideration has been reduced from eleven to ten, to seven and now in today's story four. Starting with five major defense contractors and six major oil companies (see Chasing Value: You Must Own Defense and Oil for Safety), I began a search to find one stock in each sector that might be suitable for inclusion in my list of 2011 stock picks posted last week Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks -- The Journey Begin.
Today we continue our analysis by examining return on equity (ROE), return on invested capital (ROIC), and price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG). Each stock is ranked by sector and metric from best to worst. Sometimes there are clear winners and others there is little to separate one stock from the next. However, in total, a picture can be drawn that does portray a superior opportunity.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Defense and Oil -- Part 3
Posted Dec 15th 2010 12:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Exxon Mobil (XOM), Boeing Co (BA), Chevron Corp (CVX), ConocoPhillips (COP), Lockheed Martin (LMT), PetroChina Co Ltd ADR (PTR), Chasing Value™, Oil, General Dynamics Corp (GD), Northrop Grumman (NOC), Raytheon Company (RTN), Stock Picks, Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A)
This series started with five major defense contractors and six major oil companies that are worthy considerations to help your portfolio survive a global crisis (see Chasing Value: You Must Own Defense and Oil for Safety). After the first review, one stock was eliminated from consideration: Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR). The reason is in the first story.
Today we continue our analysis by examining price-to-book (P/B), price-to-cash-flow (P/CF), and dividend yield. Each stock is ranked by sector and metric from best to worst. In the end we hope to narrow down our choices for candidates that might be added to Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks -- The Journey Begins.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Defense and Oil -- Part 2
Posted Dec 13th 2010 12:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: International Markets, Forecasts, General Electric (GE), Citigroup Inc. (C), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), BP p.l.c. ADS (BP), Bargain Stocks, Chasing Value™, S and P 500, Stock Picks, Transocean Ltd. (RIG)
In the middle of the summer with the stock market smoldering from the economic aftershocks of the BP (BP) oil spill, I decided to post a contrarian story emphasizing a very common refrain among value investors, "my pal Warren" being head of the class: buy on fear (sell on greed). This notion is continuing to work for what I called the toxic stock portfolio.
This is the third update to my ranting five months ago that six of the most reviled and most highly traded stocks featured by daily bad press as a group would outperform the overall market. It has, with the big winner rising from being one of the biggest losers.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Toxic Stock Update #3 -- BAC, BP, C, GE, GS, RIG
Posted Nov 30th 2010 3:30PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Microsoft (MSFT), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), McDonald's (MCD), Amer Intl Group (AIG), Serious Money

Perusing through the
13D filings in Barron's November 29 issue I came across news reported by InsiderScore.com regarding American International Group, Inc. (
AIG). It was noted that
"Fairholme Capital raised its holdings to 39,990,099 shares (29%), by buying 1,765,900 shares from Nov. 5 to Nov. 16 at prices ranging from $41.72 to $43.59."
I do not usually make mention of such things but owning 29% of a company capitalized at $5.6 billion dollars is a lot. I would even go as far as to say that in some circumstances that might equate to controlling interest. Prior to "my pal Warren" (Buffett) making an offer to acquire the Burlington Northern Santa Fe Railroad for Berkshire Hathaway (
BRK.A) it only owned 23% of the outstanding shares.
Continue reading Serious Money: AIG Takeover by Fairholme Capital?
Posted Nov 26th 2010 10:00AM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Competitive Strategy, Citigroup Inc. (C), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), Morgan Stanley (MS), Wells Fargo (WFC), Chasing Value™
Banks could face another mortgage crisis, according to Barron's, if they are forced to buy back subprime, Alt-A and options adjusted home mortgage securities they've sold prior to the financial crisis, mostly as mortgage-backed securities. Already some buyers, like Fannie Mae (FNMA) and Freddie Mac (FMCC), have enjoyed some success returning defective mortgages. And this could be just the beginning.
The banks, of course, are fighting vigorously to fend off these demands. As usual, the courts will have to settle the matter. The focus of the debate seems to be founded on the issue of representations and warranties that may or may not have been violated.
There are no surprises among the 11 banks mentioned. It is the conspicuous absence of names you might expect to find that is.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Banks, Barron's and Buffett
Posted Oct 21st 2010 3:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Other Issues, Management, Rants and Raves, Competitive Strategy, Apple Inc (AAPL), Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Market Matters, Boeing Co (BA), News Corp'B' (NWS), Chasing Value™

Steve Jobs, the illustrious CEO and the heart and soul of Apple Inc. (
AAPL) would have you believe that Apple cannot issue a dividend to shareholders because of the scary competitive business environment. He conveys to us that they need the money to overcome hardship and if the right opportunity comes along make key acquisitions.
This is utter nonsense, a supreme untruth, wasted breadth and a failure to come to grips with reality. In the past quarter Apple increased its cash and short term investments to $50 billion
as I wrote it would six weeks ago.
Apple currently has 914 million outstanding shares. With the stock trading around $300 per share, a 2% dividend yield would require $6 per share or, $5.5 billion dollars annually to cover the distribution.
Continue reading Chasing Value: Apple Does Not Need $50 Billion
Posted Oct 17th 2010 2:40PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Bad News, Management, Rants and Raves, Competitive Strategy, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Entrepreneurs, Chasing Value™
If the reigning NBA Most Valuable Player, LeBron James, was a stock, would you find it was of any value as an investment? From my perspective, it would not be, unless Mr. James were to make some key moves off the court to mirror his talent on the court. The first thing I would tell him is to SHUT UP!
He needs to recognize that it is only natural for people in Cleveland to feel betrayed after years of support and adulation ended in a sputter, with nothing to fill the void. It is only natural for them to feel even worse after the self-serving arrogant way they were informed during a totally over-the-top television special.
Continue reading Sunday Funnies: Would You Invest in LeBron James?
Posted Oct 11th 2010 5:30PM by Jason Raznick (RSS feed)
Filed under: Wal-Mart (WMT), Stocks to Buy
In the last month alone, the S&P 500 has rallied over 6%. We have now broken out of the long-term trading range between 1,040 and 1,150 on the S&P. Skeptics abound, however, and it is really hard to go "all in" at this point with the major averages so stretched on a near-term basis. Furthermore, a good chunk of this rally is likely the result of market expectations for more quantitative easing from the Federal Reserve.
Some observers are estimating that the Fed may add $1 trillion in liquidity to the system by purchasing assets. While this may be a strong catalyst for stock prices, it seems like a tenuous one. What if the number is less than anticipated, or the Fed holds off on QE2? St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said this was a possibility on Friday.
Continue reading Walmart Looks Compelling in Current Market
Posted Oct 11th 2010 2:00PM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), Chasing Value™, S and P 500, DJIA, Stocks to Buy, National Grid (NGG)
During the second quarter I wrote a series of stories about stocks that might interest "my pal Warren" in the global market. One such stock in the June 24 post was National Grid PLC (NGG), which closed Friday October 8 at $45.43.
At the time of the recommendation, the stock was at $37.81. It was 33% off its high and, besides strong fundamentals, is a company that resembles Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A) Mid-American utility holdings. I thought it would be a good fit for further integration and growth of this division, given that both also have British and U.S. enterprises.
Continue reading Chasing Value: National Grid -- Maybe Warren Did
Posted Oct 11th 2010 10:00AM by Sheldon Liber (RSS feed)
Filed under: Forecasts, Competitive Strategy, General Electric (GE), Citigroup Inc. (C), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs Group (GS), BP p.l.c. ADS (BP), Bargain Stocks, Chasing Value™, S and P 500, Transocean Ltd. (RIG)
A very common refrain among value investors, "my pal Warren" being head of the class, is buy on fear (sell on greed), and it is working with the toxic stock portfolio.
This is the second update to my ranting twelve weeks ago that the six most highly traded stocks receiving the most bad press would be a great contrarian investment, and that this group would outperform the overall market without much difficulty.
It was true earlier, and it is still true today as the DJIA topped 11,000 again. The toxic stocks list includes Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), General Electric (GE), BP (BP), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Transocean (RIG).
Continue reading Chasing Value: Toxic Stock Update #2 -- BAC, BP, C, GE, GS, RIG
< Previous Page | Next Page >