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Chasing Value: 2010 Final Review -- Winners and Losers

EZCorp logoThe year 2010 has come and gone and my results are in. This is my fourth annual stock results to be reported on BlogginStocks, so something of a track record is starting to form. This past year ended with a modest improvement over the unmanaged Standard & Poors 500 index

The original story, Chasing Value: 10 Stock Picks for 2010, took readers through a review of many candidates, concluding with the ten picks, using prices from Dec. 28, 2009.

Continue reading Chasing Value: 2010 Final Review -- Winners and Losers

Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks -- Part 2

Newcastle Investments (NCT) logoCould a stock that you made 1,100% on still have room to run? Yes, it is possible. In particular if it had a near death experience as a penny stock for a while.

That is the case with Newcastle Investments (NCT), the CMBS lender and real estate investment company that reached a recent high of $7.10 and has settled back down, most recently hovering between $6.70 to $7.00. It closed Thursday December 23 at $6.71.

Continue reading Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks -- Part 2

Chasing Value: Defense and Oil -- Part 3

The list of stocks under consideration has been reduced from eleven to ten, to seven and now in today's story four. Starting with five major defense contractors and six major oil companies (see Chasing Value: You Must Own Defense and Oil for Safety), I began a search to find one stock in each sector that might be suitable for inclusion in my list of 2011 stock picks posted last week Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks -- The Journey Begin.

Today we continue our analysis by examining return on equity (ROE), return on invested capital (ROIC), and price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG). Each stock is ranked by sector and metric from best to worst. Sometimes there are clear winners and others there is little to separate one stock from the next. However, in total, a picture can be drawn that does portray a superior opportunity.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Defense and Oil -- Part 3

Chasing Value: Defense and Oil -- Part 2

Lockhood MartinThis series started with five major defense contractors and six major oil companies that are worthy considerations to help your portfolio survive a global crisis (see Chasing Value: You Must Own Defense and Oil for Safety). After the first review, one stock was eliminated from consideration: Petroleo Brasileiro (PBR). The reason is in the first story.

Today we continue our analysis by examining price-to-book (P/B), price-to-cash-flow (P/CF), and dividend yield. Each stock is ranked by sector and metric from best to worst. In the end we hope to narrow down our choices for candidates that might be added to Chasing Value: 2011 Stock Picks -- The Journey Begins.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Defense and Oil -- Part 2

Chasing Value: Toxic Stock Update #3 -- BAC, BP, C, GE, GS, RIG

In the middle of the summer with the stock market smoldering from the economic aftershocks of the BP (BP) oil spill, I decided to post a contrarian story emphasizing a very common refrain among value investors, "my pal Warren" being head of the class: buy on fear (sell on greed). This notion is continuing to work for what I called the toxic stock portfolio.

This is the third update to my ranting five months ago that six of the most reviled and most highly traded stocks featured by daily bad press as a group would outperform the overall market. It has, with the big winner rising from being one of the biggest losers.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Toxic Stock Update #3 -- BAC, BP, C, GE, GS, RIG

Serious Money: AIG Takeover by Fairholme Capital?

Perusing through the 13D filings in Barron's November 29 issue I came across news reported by InsiderScore.com regarding American International Group, Inc. (AIG). It was noted that "Fairholme Capital raised its holdings to 39,990,099 shares (29%), by buying 1,765,900 shares from Nov. 5 to Nov. 16 at prices ranging from $41.72 to $43.59."

I do not usually make mention of such things but owning 29% of a company capitalized at $5.6 billion dollars is a lot. I would even go as far as to say that in some circumstances that might equate to controlling interest. Prior to "my pal Warren" (Buffett) making an offer to acquire the Burlington Northern Santa Fe Railroad for Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) it only owned 23% of the outstanding shares.

Continue reading Serious Money: AIG Takeover by Fairholme Capital?

Chasing Value: Banks, Barron's and Buffett

Banks could face another mortgage crisis, according to Barron's, if they are forced to buy back subprime, Alt-A and options adjusted home mortgage securities they've sold prior to the financial crisis, mostly as mortgage-backed securities. Already some buyers, like Fannie Mae (FNMA) and Freddie Mac (FMCC), have enjoyed some success returning defective mortgages. And this could be just the beginning.

The banks, of course, are fighting vigorously to fend off these demands. As usual, the courts will have to settle the matter. The focus of the debate seems to be founded on the issue of representations and warranties that may or may not have been violated.

There are no surprises among the 11 banks mentioned. It is the conspicuous absence of names you might expect to find that is.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Banks, Barron's and Buffett

Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B): A New Manager?

Berkshire Hathaway logo"Berkshire Hathaway class B (BRK.B) recently made waves when the conglomerate announced that it had hired hedge fund manager Todd Combs to take over a 'significant portion' of its huge investment portfolio," notes Geoffrey Seiler.

The editor of BullMarket.com explains, "Nevertheless, the stock remains a a buy on our Recommended List. Here's a look at the situation.

"Berkshire CEO Warren Buffett, of course, is considered one of the top investment managers of all time. However, the Oracle of Omaha is now 80 years old, and he won't be around forever.

Continue reading Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B): A New Manager?

Nike Is Hitting On All Cylinders

Nike (NKE) swooshNike (NKE) is performing wonderfully, which was evidenced by the company's blowout fiscal first quarter, which the company reported on September 23rd. Both EPS and revenue beat analysts' expectations.

Nike also reported that worldwide future orders for Nike footwear and apparel were up 10% compared to last year. This shows that the growth story at Nike remains intact. Investors clearly agree. The shares have risen 25% year to date.

Continue reading Nike Is Hitting On All Cylinders

Chasing Value: Apple Does Not Need $50 Billion

Steve Jobs, the illustrious CEO and the heart and soul of Apple Inc. (AAPL) would have you believe that Apple cannot issue a dividend to shareholders because of the scary competitive business environment. He conveys to us that they need the money to overcome hardship and if the right opportunity comes along make key acquisitions.

This is utter nonsense, a supreme untruth, wasted breadth and a failure to come to grips with reality. In the past quarter Apple increased its cash and short term investments to $50 billion as I wrote it would six weeks ago.

Apple currently has 914 million outstanding shares. With the stock trading around $300 per share, a 2% dividend yield would require $6 per share or, $5.5 billion dollars annually to cover the distribution.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Apple Does Not Need $50 Billion

The Dumbest Stock Warren Buffett Ever Bought

Warren Buffett is widely regarded as the most successful investor of our times. On Monday Becky Quick of CNBC asked him today to reveal the dumbest investment he ever made. Turns out, Buffett says that his own company, Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A), was the dumbest stock he has ever bought.

Why? Buffett explained on CNBC that early in 1962, he came across the textile company, which was constantly closing mills and reinvesting the proceeds in its stock. So Buffett figured he would also buy the stock, tender it to Berkshire's management and make a small profit.

Continue reading The Dumbest Stock Warren Buffett Ever Bought

Sunday Funnies: Would You Invest in LeBron James?

If the reigning NBA Most Valuable Player, LeBron James, was a stock, would you find it was of any value as an investment? From my perspective, it would not be, unless Mr. James were to make some key moves off the court to mirror his talent on the court. The first thing I would tell him is to SHUT UP!

He needs to recognize that it is only natural for people in Cleveland to feel betrayed after years of support and adulation ended in a sputter, with nothing to fill the void. It is only natural for them to feel even worse after the self-serving arrogant way they were informed during a totally over-the-top television special.

Continue reading Sunday Funnies: Would You Invest in LeBron James?

Walmart Looks Compelling in Current Market

Walmart (WMT) logoIn the last month alone, the S&P 500 has rallied over 6%. We have now broken out of the long-term trading range between 1,040 and 1,150 on the S&P. Skeptics abound, however, and it is really hard to go "all in" at this point with the major averages so stretched on a near-term basis. Furthermore, a good chunk of this rally is likely the result of market expectations for more quantitative easing from the Federal Reserve.

Some observers are estimating that the Fed may add $1 trillion in liquidity to the system by purchasing assets. While this may be a strong catalyst for stock prices, it seems like a tenuous one. What if the number is less than anticipated, or the Fed holds off on QE2? St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said this was a possibility on Friday.

Continue reading Walmart Looks Compelling in Current Market

Chasing Value: National Grid -- Maybe Warren Did

National Grid (NGG) logoDuring the second quarter I wrote a series of stories about stocks that might interest "my pal Warren" in the global market. One such stock in the June 24 post was National Grid PLC (NGG), which closed Friday October 8 at $45.43.

At the time of the recommendation, the stock was at $37.81. It was 33% off its high and, besides strong fundamentals, is a company that resembles Berkshire Hathaway's (BRK.A) Mid-American utility holdings. I thought it would be a good fit for further integration and growth of this division, given that both also have British and U.S. enterprises.

Continue reading Chasing Value: National Grid -- Maybe Warren Did

Chasing Value: Toxic Stock Update #2 -- BAC, BP, C, GE, GS, RIG

BP logoA very common refrain among value investors, "my pal Warren" being head of the class, is buy on fear (sell on greed), and it is working with the toxic stock portfolio.

This is the second update to my ranting twelve weeks ago that the six most highly traded stocks receiving the most bad press would be a great contrarian investment, and that this group would outperform the overall market without much difficulty.

It was true earlier, and it is still true today as the DJIA topped 11,000 again. The toxic stocks list includes Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), General Electric (GE), BP (BP), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Transocean (RIG).

Continue reading Chasing Value: Toxic Stock Update #2 -- BAC, BP, C, GE, GS, RIG

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Last updated: May 29, 2012: 12:16 AM

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