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Need a job? Consider a move to Nebraska

Lincoln, Neb., is the best place in the country for job-hunters. A new survey by headhunting firm Manpower (NYSE: MAN) reports that 21% of employers there plan to add employees in the next quarter, with only 4% looking to cut. That 17% spread (which Manpower calls the "net employment outlook") is tops in the United States.

Flint, Mich., on the other hand, is at the other end of the spectrum: 26% of employers are planning to chop jobs, while only 9% are forecasting new positions.

Continue reading Need a job? Consider a move to Nebraska

100 Year Crash: How did we get here? What should we do now? What about the future?

There has been much fear mongering in Washington over the last year as the financial crisis has built to a boil. But despite the most recent efforts to scare Congress and the American people into action, there has been very little light shed on some basic questions.

And I believe that before another penny of American taxpayers money is spent, our leaders need to spend more time explaining what is going on and why change is required. What we are facing is a crisis of confidence -- we are witnessing the erosion of trust in our leaders and our financial system.

People no longer believe our leaders have our best interests at heart. In the wake of the Auction Rate Securities scandal, people doubt the basic fairness of our system. People do not know the details of their accounts -- for instance few people have read the prospectus of their money market funds. And there is a lack of powerful ideas to sustain people's belief in the system.

Continue reading 100 Year Crash: How did we get here? What should we do now? What about the future?

Iranian concerns push oil higher

Oil got off to a strong start today, with prices at one point moving up as high as $130.69 a barrel as fears of supply disruptions in Iran have kept the market bullish for the time being.

Prices cool off a bit and are now sitting at $129.40, but you can be sure that as long as the tension between the West and Iran persists, you are going to continue to see prices that just refuse to come back down towards any sort of comfortable level.

Last week, we saw a pretty sizable drop in oil prices (see chart at the end of this post), which could be the main reason why this morning's rally was not able to hold above the $130 mark. Investors are probably still a bit weary of betting that we have hit support yet. What really got the market moving early on was fresh threats from the U.S. that more sanctions would be imposed on oil-rich Iran should it not cease its current nuclear program.

Continue reading Iranian concerns push oil higher

Why is the SEC manipulating the stock market?

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is becoming the very thing it is supposed to be stopping -- a stock market manipulator. The SEC was first established after the Great Depression to protect the general public from the shady stock dealings that caused that catastrophe. But the Wall Street Journal reports that the SEC has now become the epitome of the very thing that it's supposed to prevent.

That's thanks to a temporary rule it created last Tuesday that blocks the short selling of the stock of 19 big banks and financial institutions unless the short sellers can borrow those shares. (As Barron's [subscription required] points out -- it's interesting that the SEC has announced it is enforcing this so-called naked short rule since the practice is already illegal).

I can only imagine the profit opportunities available to those who had early access to this list of 19 -- which according to my calculations have risen an average of 27.5% since Tuesday. Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) -- whose CEO made $20 million last year, according to AP -- are the biggest winners -- up 90% and 74.5% respectively since then. Meanwhile, all the other companies that the SEC did not protect are wondering why they were not on the list.

Continue reading Why is the SEC manipulating the stock market?

Merrill Lynch holds someone accountable -- will Washington?

By now you've probably heard the reports. Merrill Lynch (NYSE: MER) CEO Stan O'Neal is being pushed, making him the first CEO of a big investment bank to be held directly accountable for his company's exposure to the subprime debacle. Of course, his clandestine efforts to sell the company without the knowledge of the board didn't help his case.

The Wall Street Journal wonders (subscription required) when Washington will take some responsibility:

And speaking of Washington, that's one place where no one is being held accountable for the subprime boom and bust. That includes in particular the Federal Reserve, whose far too easy monetary policy created a subsidy for debt that fueled the housing and subprime mortgage excesses. One difference between Wall Street and Washington is that in the latter no one ever admits a mistake, much less suffers for it.


This is exactly right. Last week, I wrote about Washington's obsession with increasing homeownership -- seemingly at any cost, even if it meant encouraging mortgages for people who couldn't afford them. The Fed's lax monetary policy combined with this to make a subprime crisis an almost forgone conclusion.

But all that we hear is Congress blustering with calls for investigations and lawsuits against the lenders. They need to look in the mirror.

Daily Option Update - January 23, 2007

This Daily Option Update is provided by Options Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Today the Volatility Index S&P 500 Options (VIX) was up .03 to 10.80.

SunPower Corporation (NASDAQ:SPWR) puts bid higher than calls on difficult to borrow into earnings per share and speech. SunPower designs, develops, manufacturers, and sells electric power products, systems, and services. SunPower will report EPS on 1/25. President Bush's State of Union Speech is expected to emphasize renewable and alternative fuels as a source to decrease reliance on foreign oil. SunPower February call option implied volatility was at 48, puts at 59 because SunPower is difficult to borrow. SunPower 26-week average option implied volatility was 50 according to Track Data.

Pacific Ethanol Inc. (NASDAQ:PEIX) implied volatility was flat as PEIX rallied into the State of Union Speech. Pacific Ethanol is engaged in the business of marketing ethanol. PEIX was up $1.45 to $18.30. Crude oil was up 1.86% to $53.55. President Bush's State of Union Speech is expected to emphasize renewable and alternative fuels as a source to decrease reliance on foreign oil. Freidman Billings says "we are raising our price target for Pacific Ethanol from $16 to $20 and moving from a Market Perform to an Outperform investment rating based on expectations for positive momentum in the stock resulting from an increasingly favorable regulatory environment." Pacific Ethanol February call option implied volatility was at 55, puts at 64 on Pacific Ethanol being difficult to borrow and expected downward Pacific Ethanol price pressure. Pacific Ethanol 26-week average option implied volatility was at 61 according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional price risks.

Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C) is recently down .22 to $54.45. Goldman Sachs increased its 2007 EPS estimates to $4.60 from $4.56. Citicorp over all option implied volatility was flat at 15 according to Track Data.

Option volume leaders today were: Yahoo! Inc. (NASDAQ: YHOO), Apple, Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL), Pfizer Inc.(NYSE: PFE), Amgen (NASDAQ: AMGN), and eBay Inc. (NASDAQ: EBAY).

Microsoft no longer fits in Redmond, Wash

microsoft new employee orientation, photo osaka steveMicrosoft has said it will spend $2 billion on new technologies to combat the threat of Google, Yahoo!, eBay and the like. Which to shareholders means operating expense, to Google means let's throw a hundred products against the wall to see what sticks, and to college grads means money money money. But to Redmond, Washington?

It means cranes, concrete, and an "eye-popping" real estate market. A company headquarters that now employs 30,000 people could add 12,000 in the next two years -- 3.1 million square feet, or 14 new buildings to be constructed. As the New York Times points out, for Seattle "those are staggering numbers."

Seattle may be happy, or not. On one hand, the unemployment rate will certainly decrease if Microsoft is going new-hire crazy. On the other hand, the city is already clogged with traffic and real estate prices are ridiculous for the relatively small market.

[Photo OsakaSteve]

Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 11, 2012: 09:24 AM

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