WCI Communities (NYSE: WCI), a Florida condo developer struggling to stay afloat, has managed to get through another round of negotiations with lenders without bankruptcy. The company reduced (subscription required) the amount of its credit line and agreed to "increase the pricing of the loans," but few details are available for now.

Billionaire investor Carl Icahn, who owns about 14% of the company, certainly wasn't predicting this mess when he began to acquire shares in the company more than a year ago. The WCI stake has given the legend's hedge funds their first quarterly loss in history.

But WCI Communities impacts the entire industry, not just Mr. Icahn. Yesterday's Wall Street Journal described (subscription required) the shock waves that a bankruptcy would have sent through the housing market: "If WCI is forced to seek bankruptcy protection, it would become the largest publicly traded builder to fail, sending shudders through an industry that has remained largely in the good graces of its lenders."

But with the housing market in trouble, banks simply don't want to take ownership of half-built condos and vacant land. They'd rather play nice rather than risk jolting a housing market that is already more fragile than it's been at any time in recent memory.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the sheer number of companies that need foreign capital will keep sovereign funds busy. By Jim Cramer

We need more sheiks!

We need some for Citigroup (NYSE: C) (Cramer's Take) and for Merrill (NYSE: MER) (Cramer's Take) and for Bear (NYSE: BSC) (Cramer's Take). And how do you like the fact that Bear says it needs no money and yet everyone else does? How about that for chutzpa?

We need more sheiks for Countrywide (NYSE: CFC) (Cramer's Take) and for Washington Mutual (NYSE: WM) (Cramer's Take). We need sheiks for National City (NYSE: NCC) (Cramer's Take) and Key (NYSE: KEY) (Cramer's Take) and Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ: HBAN) (Cramer's Take). Any sheiks around for Corus (NASDAQ: CORS) (Cramer's Take) or Downey (NYSE: DSL) (Cramer's Take) or for the Gang of Four -- or do people really believe that Warren Buffett wants to buy one of them? (My sources indicate that what he does want to do is provide some extremely profitable reinsurance to the gang of four).

John Bollinger is among the industry's most respected technical analysts. In the "Contrary Corner" of his Capital Growth Letter, the advisor suggests scaling into a package of three home building stocks.

He explains, "For this exercise, I've looked at 20 home building stocks, each stock based on its monthly charts. Yes, I know that seems like a sacrilege in the day and age of hyperactive short-term trading, but we are taking the long view here.

"I then looked at the percentage drop from the stock's most recent swing high and then the number of months from the peak to the trough or the present if a swing low has not been established. I then looked to determine if there is a swing low in place.

"After reviewing these 20 homebuilding stock, I've chosen 3 candidates to start. I like the idea of selecting a fair number of small positions that add up to a normal sized position, then eliminating the non-performers as time passes while keeping the winners. We are choosing WCI Communities (NYSE: WCI), Standard Pacific (NYSE: SPF) and St. Joe (NYSE: JOE) as our first commitments."

Each day, Steven Halpern's TheStockAdvisors.com features the latest stock picks and investment ideas from the nation's leading financial newsletter advisors.

This post is part of our Money Face-Offs feature. Let us know who you think comes out ahead in this head-to-head match-up, and check out our other Money Face-Off posts.

In this corner, hailing from Beverly Hills and Las Vegas, is 91-year old billionaire investor Kirk Kerkorian, one-time amateur boxer know as "Rifle Right Kerkorian." And in the other corner, hailing from New York, is 71-year-old corporate raider and activist private equity investor, Carl Icahn, who is never afraid to go toe to toe with an opponent.

Let's get ready to rumble.

Round One begins: Kerkorian drops out of school and becomes a pilot. He gets his start in business buying surplus planes after World War II, as well as Las Vegas properties, becoming the landlord of Caesar's Palace. Icahn, meanwhile, establishes his reputation as a corporate raider during his hostile takeover of TWA in 1985, and becomes one of the inspirations for the character of Gordon "Greed Is Good" Gekko, the antagonist of the 1987 film Wall Street.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• Chrysler LLC is discussing shuttering or selling Mopar, its auto parts unit, and Chrysler Transport, the overseer of supplies to Chrysler's plants, reported the Wall Street Journal (subscription required).
• Tomorrow, troubled condo developer WCI Communities Inc (NYSE: WCI) is expected to vote Carl Icahn and two of his representatives to the company's board, reported the Wall Street Journal.
• Barron's Online's (subscription required) "Inside Scoop" column reported that Pep Boys (NYSE: PBY) director James Mitarotonda, a director since August 2006, purchased over $1.2M in stock through his equity fund Barington Companies Equity Partners on Aug. 23 and 24 according to SEC data.
• The sale of a 20% strategic stake in Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (NYSE: SMI), China's biggest chipmaker, has stalled, as the company's board is reportedly undecided about how to proceed, reported the Financial Times (subscription required).

OTHER PAPERS:

• Nasdaq Stock Market Inc (NASDAQ: NDAQ) has agreed to seek the approval of London Stock Exchange CEO Clara Furse before it sells its minority stake in the British exchange to any single buyer, reported the Independent.

I respect Carl Icahn's wisdom about markets so much that I have a Google Alert set up so that every time he is in the news I get an email about it immediately. In the Heard on the Street column in today's Wall Street Journal [subscription], we get a glimpse of the timeless investment philosophy that has catapulted Icahn to number 24 on the Forbes list of richest Americans. With his investment in WCI Communities (NYSE: WCI), a luxury real estate developer in Florida, many observers started to wonder if old Carl, at 69, had finally lost it. As the Wall Street Journal said, "Amid softening home prices, rising foreclosures and turmoil in the mortgage industry, billionaire financier Carl Icahn is making a contrarian bet on a troubled pocket of the U.S. housing market: high-end Florida condominiums."

Mr. Icahn explained it this way: "My investment philosophy, generally, with exceptions, is to buy something when no one wants it. We made a fairly large investment and took control of several energy companies seven or eight years ago when they were way down. Housing is somewhat analogous."

Icahn noted the medium- and long-term factors that should help Florida real estate: aging baby boomers looking to head south to warmer temperatures. Amid daily news of trouble in the real estate market, Icahn's investment in WCI is about as controversial as it gets. But there have been very few times in history when betting against Carl Icahn was a good way to make money.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• The Wall Street Journal reported that Apollo Management is considering a private sale of 10% of the firm that would raise $1.5B.
• Carl Icahn has offered WCI Communities Inc (NYSE: WCI) $22 a share, 55 cents higher than its closing price yesterday, and equal to $920M, reported the Wall Street Journal.

OTHER PAPERS:

• The U.K. Times reported that Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS) is set to advise Royal Bank of Scotland on a potential counter-bid of GBP40B or more for ABN Amro Holdings (NYSE: ABN). Other bidders for ABN Amro include Barclays plc ADS (NYSE: BCS), which is currently in exclusive talks with ABN.

• The New York Post has learned that the American Stock Exchange, which is looking at "strategic options," has at least one "high-profile suitor" exploring the possibility of an investment, Susquehanna Investment Group.
• Investor's Business Daily's "The New America" column mentioned U.S. Global Investors Inc (NASDAQ: GROW) positively.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Insituform Technologies, Inc (INSU), Ameristar Casinos, Inc (ASCA) and Christopher & Banks Corp (CBK) were some of today's more noteworthy downgrades:

• Canaccord Adams downgraded shares of Insituform Technologies (NASDAQ: INSU) to Underweight from Neutral following the company's reduced outlook and announcement to exit the tunneling business.

• Prudential downgraded shares of Ameristar Casinos (NASDAQ: ASCA) to Underweight from Neutral on valuation following the recent run-up due to speculation the company will be sold; based on management statements, Prudential believes a company sale is unlikely.

• Buckingham cut Christopher & Banks (NYSE: CBK) to Underperform from Neutral.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

• ABN AMRO downgraded shares of British Airways plc (NYSE: BAB) to Sell from Hold as the firm believes profits on trans-Atlantic routes may drop from increased competition due to the "open skies" agreement between the European Union and the U.S.

• JP Morgan downgraded China Unicom Limited (NYSE: CHU) to Underweight from Neutral.

• RBC cut Paychex, Inc (NASDAQ: PAYX) to Sector Perform from Outperform.

• Matrix USA downgraded EarthLink, Inc (NASDAQ: ELNK) to Sell from Hold and WCI Communities, Inc (NYSE: WCI) to Strong Sell from Hold on valuation.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

MAJOR PAPERS:

• The Wall Street Journal (subscription required) speculated that Carl Icahn's bid for WCI Communities Inc (NYSE: WCI) may be the start of home-builder buyouts. Other possible LBO targets, according to some Wall Street firms, include Toll Brothers Inc (NYSE: TOL), Ryland Group Inc (NYSE: RYL), Beazer Homes USA Inc (NYSE: BZH) and KB Home (NYSE: KBH).
• The Wall Street Journal also reported that Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE: GS) is looking to push deeper into the subprime lending business at a time when the subprime mortgage market is suffering a "meltdown."
• The Financial Times (subscription required) reported that Cerberus Capital Management, one of the leaders in the bid to buy DaimlerChrysler AG's (NYSE: DCX) Chrysler unit, has signed Wolfgang Bernhard to an advisory contract. Bernhard helped restructure Chrysler five years ago.

OTHER PAPERS:

• The U.K. Times reported that a CVC-led private equity group is planning to bid above GBP9.5B for Sainsbury's plc ADR (OTC: JSAIY).
• The U.K. Times also reported that Cadbury Schweppes ADS (NYSE: CSG) is considering spinning off and selling its profitable drinks business, which includes Dr. Pepper and 7-Up, as a way to defend against a takeover bid for the entire group.

Ben Berkowitz is the business news editor at AOL. His weekly column highlights business stories with significant implications that were overlooked at first glance.

The story you didn't read this week but should have is that Bill Gates is heading for the exit on housing and energy stocks. When the world's richest man, who certainly has money to burn, says "nah, no thanks" to an entire sector, pay heed.

Gates sold out of a laundry list of stocks: KB Home (NYSE:KBH), Centex Crop. (NYSE:CTX), Pulte Homes, Inc. (NYSE:PHM), Lennar Corp. (NYSE:LEN), Beazer Homes USA, Inc. (NYSE:BZH), Ryland Group Inc. (NYSE:RYL) and WCI Communities, Inc. (NYSE:WCI) in the housing space; and AES Corp. (NYSE:AES), Chevron Corp. (NYSE:CVX), Consolidated Edison, Inc. (NYSE:ED), Dominion Resources, Inc. (NYSE:D), Duke Energy Corp. (NYSE:DUK), FPL Group, Inc. (NYSE:FPL) and Ameren Corp. (NYSE:AEE) in energy and utilities.

His move in housing was particularly striking - a November filing by his foundation showed new positions in a number of home builders, only to then sell the shares by Dec. 31.

Could it be that the housing market is just so lousy that Gates does not feel compelled to bother? This is a man who is so rich that, if he sold off everything he owned, he could give every man, woman and child in the United States something like $160 and still have plenty of money left over for the Egg McMuffins he was once known to favor.

MAJOR PAPERS:

• The Wall Street Journal's (subscription required) "Heard on the Street" column wrote that activist investor Carl Icahn has his eyes set on WCI Communities Inc. (NYSE:WCI).
• The Financial Times (subscription required) reports that BAE Systems Plc. ADR (OTC:BAESY) faces a court challenge from anti-arms groups that want to know how private documents belonging to them ended up in the company's hands.

OTHER PAPERS:

• Aviation Week reported that Iran said it is set to attempt a space launch. There is speculation it could be a cover for Iran testing longer-range missile strike technologies.
• Investor's Business Daily's "New America" column focused on Home Inns & Hotels Management Inc. ADR (NASDAQ:HMIN), China's top budget hotel chain. The company went public in October and is in the midst of a building boom, leasing properties and adding franchises in fast growing cities across China.
• BusinessWeek's "Inside Wall Street" column highlighted three companies:
• The Gap Inc. (NYSE:GPS) recently hired Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:GS) to explore strategic alternatives. With sales continuing to deteriorate this puts Goldman Sachs analyst Margaret Mager in an awkward position as she has a "Sell" recommendation on Gap.
• Louisiana-Pacific Corp. (NYSE:LPX) is up from $18 in September to $23.33 now, buoyed by rumors that it's a buyout target and by "signs of a bottoming" in homebuilding.
• Intelli-Check Inc.'s (AMEX:IDN) ID-Check technology has been ordered by the U.S. Defense Dept. and will be embedded in handheld computers used by the Pentagon Force Protection Agency.
  

MOST NOTEWORTHY: WCI Communications Inc (WCI) and L-1 Identity Solutions Inc (ID) topped today's list of downgrades:

• JMP Securities downgraded shares of WCI Communications Inc (NYSE: WCI) to Underperform from Market Perform to reflect the negative Q4 pre-announcement and lower-than-expected traditional home net orders.

• L-1 Identity Solutions Inc (NYSE: ID) was downgraded to Sell from Neutral at Oppenheimer, noting that the Transportation Security Administration is prepared to award the Transportation Worker Identification Card contract to Lockheed instead of L-1.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

• General Dynamics Corp (NYSE: GD) was downgraded to Hold from Buy by AG Edwards, citing valuation.

• Matrix USA downgraded Microtune Inc (NASDAQ: TUNE) to Strong Sell from Sell on valuation.

• Convergys Corp (NYSE: CVG) was downgraded to Sell from Hold, with a $22 target, based on valuation.

• BancFirst Corp (NASDAQ: BANF) was downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform, with a $45 target, at Keefe Bruyette following the disappointing Q4 report.

Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Tonight on CNBC's MAD MONEY, Jim Cramer featured WCI Communities (NYSE:WCI) and Genentech Inc. (NYSE:DNA).

He said that Icahn and SAC (Steve Cohen) had been buying WCI Communities. He thinks that while they are up, you should let it settle down before going in. Here is his logic behind it.

On Genentech Cramer said that the reason the stock has dropped is because the risks to the model caused a multiple contraction; but now he thinks that will change. Here is why he has a bear case of $104.00 and a bullish case of $140.00. DNA closed at $87.53 today.

Cramer is also apologizing for steadily believing in Coldwater Creek (NASDAQ:CWTR). It fell 20% after-hours because it lowered guidance. He has been positive on it since November, and here's what he said then.

Jon C. Ogg
January 18, 2007