The Street.com's Jim Cramer says that it's too soon to think about selling the semis, the PCs, the components, the DRAMs.

When do we sell the semis? The DRAMS? The flash? When do we get out of the hard drives?

These are legit questions, but the people who are asking, "When do we sell Micron (NYSE: MU) (Cramer's Take), Western Digital (NYSE: WDC) (Cramer's Take) and SanDisk (NASDAQ: SNDK) (Cramer's Take)?" are the very people who told you never to own them.

That's the conundrum of this semi cycle and PC cycle. Just as we are finally hitting our stride and we realize that the semi cycle is alive and well again, AND NOT JUST RE-STOCKING, all over the papers, including the Wall Street Journal, we see reports crying, "When do we sell?"

Analyst upgrades:

• Citigroup upgraded Polaris Industries (NYSE: PII) to Buy from Hold after channel checks indicated the company's sales trends improved through September. The firm raised its target on shares to $49 from $33.
• Jefferies upgraded Citrix Systems (NASDAQ: CTXS) to Hold from Underperform after channel checks indicated IT spending will be strong in the second half of 2009, but the firm finds the stock fully valued at current levels. Jefferies raised its target on shares to $40 from $32.
• Pali Captital upgraded Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) to Buy from Neutral on valuation and expectations that lower pricing and international growth will be catalysts going forward. The firm set a $45 price target on shares.
• Plum Creek Timber (NYSE: PCL) was upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JPMorgan.
• Advanced Micro (NYSE: AMD) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS.
• PPD Inc. (NASDAQ: PPDI) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Baird.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says managers are being judged on their exposure to this rally.

Did Abbott Laboratories (NYSE: ABT) (Cramer's Take) scare the shorts? Or was it so easy to get people to buy winners and sell losers at the end of the quarter that the market had to go higher? What makes a thin market levitate rather than decline?

I got to thinking about this and the incredibly bullish comments by one of my favorite strategists, Byron Wien -- comments that are even more bullish than usual for him -- and concluded that the single best thing that the bulls have going for them is that the market is up big and you look like a real knucklehead if you aren't invested or haven't made any money on the long side going into the fourth quarter.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says the spike in stock prices warrants no buying until prices go lower.

I read a scary book this weekend: the S&P chart book. It was frightening because there weren't more than a handful charts that aren't overextended, and many stocks have reached levels that I didn't like when their companies were doing well. Chart after chart in every business, but especially retail and industrial, have moved up so much that you have to feel like a chump to come in at these levels.

There are almost no stocks with growth prospects that have accidentally high yields anymore. Kimberly-Clark (NYSE: KMB) (Cramer's Take) and Paychex (NASDAQ: PAYX) (Cramer's Take) were the only two that I saw that seemed remotely appealing, and maybe Philip Morris (NYSE: PM) (Cramer's Take).

Analyst upgrades:

• Citigroup upgraded MEMC Electronic (NYSE: WFR) to Buy from Hold after channel checks indicated solar poly price pressures are easing. The firm added MEMC to its Top Picks Live list and raised its price target on shares to $24 from $15.
  
• FBR Capital upgraded PHH Corp (NYSE: PHH) to Outperform from Market Perform to reflect an improvement in mortgage banking fundamentals and recent management changes at the company. The firm raised its target on shares to $23 from $13.
  
• Deutsche Bank upgraded PerkinElmer (NYSE: PKI) to Hold from Sell on valuation, seeing a balanced risk/reward at current levels. The firm raised its target on shares to $19 from $14.
• Pearson plc (NYSE: PSO) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.
  
• Dell (NASDAQ: DELL) was upgraded to Conviction Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
  
• Nymagic (NYSE: NYM) was upgraded to Market Perform from Underperform at Keefe Bruyette.

Western Digital (NYSE: WDC - option chain) shares are rising today after Standard & Poor's announced yesterday that WDC will be added to the S&P 500 to replace Embarq (NYSE: EQ), which is being acquired by CenturyTel Inc. (NYSE: CTL). When this happens, mutual funds and other services that track the S&P 500 will have to buy WDC, which usually gives the stock a boost higher or at least a floor. If you think that the stock won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on WDC.

WDC opened this morning at $24.95. So far today the stock has hit a low of $24.35 and a high of $25.25. As of 11:30, WDC is trading at $24.68 up 0.32 (1.3%). The chart for WDC looks bearish and S&P gives WDC a negative 2 STARS (out of 5) sell ranking.

Analyst upgrades:

• Baird upgraded Western Digital (NYSE: WDC) and Seagate (NASDAQ: NSTX) to Outperform from Neutral citing better than expected industry conditions. The firm believes supply has tightened, resulting in price increases in certain market segments.
  
• RBC Capital upgraded XTO Energy (NYSE: XTO) to Outperform from Sector Perform citing free cash flow and stable growth.
  
• Goldman upgraded Manpower (NYSE: MAN) to Neutral from Sell and raised its target to $29 from $20 based on balanced risk/reward.
• Energy Conversion (NASDAQ: ENER) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Piper Jaffray.
  
• Infineon (NYSE: IFX) was raised to Hold from Sell at RBS.
  
• NetSuite (NYSE: N) was upgraded to Acummulate from Source of Funds at ThinkEquity.

Analyst upgrades:

• Keefe Bruyette upgraded MetLife (NYSE: MET) to Outperform from Market Perform as they believe the company's capital and liquidity profile are very solid relative to this week's sell-off.
  
• The firm also upgraded shares of MSCI (NYSE: MXB) to Outperform from Market Perform on valuation as they believe near-term challenges are already priced into shares.
  
• Burlington Northern (NYSE: BNI) was raised to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan based on valuation and strong pricing outlook.
• Costco (NASDAQ: COST) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
  
• Pali Capital lifted Virgin Mobile (NYSE: VM) to Neutral from Sell.
  
• Merrill upgraded Pall (NYS: PLL) and Xcel Energy (NYSE: XEL) to buy from Neutral.

Analyst downgrades:

• Oppenheimer downgraded shares of Trimble Navigation (NASDAQ: TRMB) to Perform from Outperform as they believe the company's Engineering and Construction division is facing a challenging period due to the credit market strain.
  
• Stephens downgraded Seacoast Banking (NASDAQ:SBCF) to Underweight from Equal Weight as they believe a dilutive capital raise is possible given future losses from real estate credits in coastal Florida.

Western Digital Corporation (NYSE: WDC) designs, develops, manufactures and markets hard drives. Its devices are used for non-volatile data storage in personal computers, servers, network storage, video game consoles, digital video recording devices and TV set-top boxes. The firm sells its products worldwide to manufacturers, distributors and such retailers as Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN), Office Depot (NYSE: ODP) and Target (NYSE: TGT).

Shareholders were pleased last week, when Robert Baird issued positive remarks regarding Western Digital's prospects. Baird noted healthy overall trends in the hard disk drive industry and believed that Western's recent acquisition of Komag gave it a strategic advantage over many competitors. Also last week, Caris boosted its Western Digital unit estimates.

The choppy/consolidating (or perhaps worse) market conditions sometimes give the impression that growth plays do not exist, but that is not the case, and one growth company worth reviewing is Western Digital Corp.

Western Digital Corp. (NYSE: WDC) is one of largest, independent hard drive manufacturers in the world.

In general, analysts see 35%-45% revenue growth in FY 2008, reflecting the Komag acquisition, and solid PC hard drive and DVD hard drive demand.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Ford, DealerTrack and Omnicare were today's noteworthy downgrades:

• Citigroup downgraded shares of Ford (NYSE: F) to Sell from Hold, as they see a number of rising headwinds in the company's turnaround, including a low likelihood of Ford's relatively older product lineup holding U.S. share in the first half of 2008.
• Lehman downgraded DealerTrack (NASDAQ: TRAK) to Equal Weight from Overweight citing near-term headwinds from economic uncertainty, declining auto sales, declining growth, and non-prime transaction risk.
  
• Oppenheimer downgraded shares of Omnicare (NYSE: OCR) to Perform from Outperform to reflect concerns over the timing and pace of a potential recovery.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

• Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria (NYSE: BBV) was lowered to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank.
  
• Mediaset SpA (OTC: MDIUY) was downgraded to Sell from Neutral at UBS.
  
• Western Digital (NYSE: WDC) was cut to Underweight from Neutral at JP Morgan.

MOST NOTEWORTHY: RF Micro Devices, Western Digital and Boyd Gaming were today's noteworthy downgrades:

• Jefferies downgraded shares of RF Micro Devices (NASDAQ: RFMD) to Hold from Buy to reflect the continued softness in the China Market after Asian channel checks suggested the March quarter will be weak.
  
• Citigroup downgraded shares of Western Digital (NYSE: WDC) to Hold from Buy, as they believe the HDD industry is nearing a cyclical peak. They also view the likelihood of consolidation as less likely given the current conditions.
  
• Boyd Gaming (NYSE: BYD) was lowered to Neutral from Add at Calyon following its Q4 report.

OTHER DOWNGRADES:

• JP Morgan downgraded BorgWarner (NYSE: BWA), Lea Corporation (NYSE: LEA) and TRW Automotive Holdings (NYSE: TRW) to Neutral from Overweight.
  
• Merrill lowered Edison International (NYSE: EIX) to Neutral from Buy.

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says even if the companies are OK, the stocks are going nowhere and need to be sold on strength.

Has tech had it?

Apple (NASDQ: AAPL) (Cramer's Take) simply didn't do that well. Google's (NASDQ: GOOG) (Cramer's Take) stock is floundering even if Google isn't. Garmin's (NASDQ: GRMN) (Cramer's Take) been pretty much destroyed. Microsoft's (NASDQ: MSFT) (Cramer's Take) in the same place it started after that great quarter. Texas Instruments (NYSE: TXN) (Cramer's Take) surprises to the upside and does nothing; same with Corning (NYSE: GLW) (Cramer's Take). VMWare's (NYSE: VMW) (Cramer's Take) simply awful, dragging down EMC (NYSE: EMC) (Cramer's Take), which I unfortunately own for Action Alerts PLUS, to a below-market multiple on 2008 earnings. IBM (NYSE: IBM) (Cramer's Take) preannounced up and then beat the preannouncement and nobody cares, and Intel's (NASDQ: INTC) (Cramer's Take) just awful.

Which leads me to conclude that, yes, tech has indeed become pretty much irrelevant. The big growth drivers, exciting product cycles, big innovations, don't exist. eBay (NASDQ: EBAY) (Cramer's Take), IAC/Interactive (NASDQ: IACI) (Cramer's Take) and Yahoo! (NASDQ: YHOO) (Cramer's Take) are just pathetic, all without leadership and declining earnings. Nobody cares about new kinds of cell phones or music or movie deliveries. It is all just too darned competitive.

Hitachi (NYSE: HIT) made a bold move in 2002 when it purchased IBM (NYSE: IBM)'s hard drive business for $2 billion. At the time, the hard drive industry was in a profit funk and IBM was looking to exit the hardware business. It eventually sold its PC division to Chinese company Lenovo to complete its exit from hardware. Five years later, Hitachi probably wishes it had never gotten into hard drives.

Hitachi Global Storage Technologies, the division responsible for hard drive storage, has consistently lost money in the last two years as competitors Seagate Technology (NYSE: STX) and Western Digital (NYSE: WDC) have really taken advantage of home entertainment, laptop and TiVo-like devices that are infiltrating homes like stormtroopers. Sales have been very nice for both companies, which are profitable even after storage was considered a boring and dead field around the year 2000. Hitachi, though, has had no such luck. Instead of selling its hard drive division to a private equity firm, the Japanese conglomerate may be looking to Japanese competitors Toshiba and Fujitsu as partners to form a new hard drive company.

Silver Lake Partners, which helped take Seagate private in 2000 only to launch it as a public company a few years later, has reportedly been in talks with Hitachi. Nothing concrete was produced, and Hitachi even said it does not want to sell the division. If Hitachi is too steeped in Japanese culture to sell to outsiders, then it has to do something -- but its options may remain limited. And, Toshiba and Fujitsu -- both of which have small hard drive businesses -- may not want to take more risk in the storage business currently dominated by Seagate and Western Digital. Hitachi shareholders, hold no fear; most likely, some kind of decision will come before April 1 of this year.

When a business essentially makes one product, it prospers when it makes versions of that product that allow other businesses to use it in many different ways. There is a hard drive maker in Lake Forest, California that has followed that growth formula for nearly 40 years. Its products are routinely found in a wide variety of business and consumer electronic devices that need to store and manipulate data.

Western Digital Corporation (NYSE: WDC) designs, develops, manufactures and markets hard drives. Its devices are used for non-volatile data storage in personal computers, servers, network storage, video game consoles, digital video recording devices and TV set-top boxes. The firm sells its products worldwide to manufacturers, distributors and such retailers as Amazon.com (NASDAQ: AMZN), Office Depot (NYSE: ODP) and Target (NYSE: TGT).

The company pleased investors last week, when it announced fiscal Q1 EPS of 58 cents and revenues of $1.77 billion. Analysts had been expecting 58 cents and $1.65 billion. Management also guided Q2 EPS to 73-77 cents (58 cent consensus) and Q2 revenues to $1.875-$1.925 billion ($1.774B consensus). Needham subsequently reiterated its "strong buy" rating on the issue. Caris, Brean Murray and BMO Capital Markets declared "buys." Price targets were boosted to the $30-$35 range. WDC shares popped on the news and then moved into a bullish "flag" consolidation pattern. Prices frequently exit flags moving in the same direction they were traveling on entry. In this case, that would be to the upside.

Brokers recommend the shares with six "strong buys," eight "buys" and five "holds." The WDC P/E ratio (11.75), PEG ratio (0.92), Price to Sales ratio (1.02), Price to Book ratio (3.49), Price to Cash Flow ratio (7.87), Price to Free Cash Flow ratio (20.69), Sales Growth rate (29.19%), EPS Growth rate (26.09%), Return on Assets (15.82%), Return on Investment (32.58%) and Return on Equity (34.65%) compare favorably with industry, sector and S&P 500 averages. Institutions own about 84% of the outstanding shares. The stock is one of those used to calculate the S&P 400 MidCap Index. Over the past 52 weeks, it has traded between $16.21 and $29.45. A stop-loss of $24 looks good here.

Larry Schutts is a contributing editor for Theflyonthewall.com and the Vice-President of Stockwinners.com.