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Millionaires Are in a Funk Too

Being a millionaire should be a good thing, right? In fact, it could even be more advantageous during tough times because of the attractive deals.

But even millionaires get anxiety attacks. Just take a look at a recent survey from the Spectrum Group. According to its millionaire investor confidence index, the level is the lowest in more than a year. The reading is at a -18, which is the result of a 11 point drop over the past month. Anything below -10 is considered bearish.

Continue reading Millionaires Are in a Funk Too

It Won't Be Easy to Get the Money Out of U.S. Politics

An unease in the nation appears to growing -- particularly among typical Americans -- regarding the influence of money in politics, and among U.S. Representatives and Senators, in particular.

This phenomenon has occurred cyclically in the U.S., and it is unclear whether this firestorm will differ from the rest. Historically, the displeasure runs hot for about a year or so, then the fire dies out.

Further, even less certain is whether these Americans will seek to reconcile the contradiction between the American economic system and the political system (democracy), or even whether most of these Americans will recognize it.

Continue reading It Won't Be Easy to Get the Money Out of U.S. Politics

Kim Jong Il Takes Back Wealth Limits, Copes with Cell Phones

It took two dead and a few weeks for Kim Jong Il to realize that using a currency exchange to cap wealth was probably a bad idea. Earlier this month, the North Korean leader announced a currency revaluation – without giving any warning. Paired with a currency exchange, citizens of the most isolated country on the planet would not be allowed to swap more than $40 of the old bills for the new. So, even the (relatively) wealthy would be left with $40 and piles of worthless paper.

The response was surprisingly negative. And, the fact that there was a response was surprising. Normally, the regime does a solid job of preventing any significant visible disagreement. This time around, the situation was different. The country, hit hard by famines, power shortages and profoundly depressed morale, voiced its displeasure with the decision. A riot broke out in one city, leaving two killed.

Continue reading Kim Jong Il Takes Back Wealth Limits, Copes with Cell Phones

How fragile are stock returns?

Earnings season seems to be off to a promising start. So far Alcoa (NYSE: AA) cut enough costs to get back into profitable territory and same-store retail sales are up collectively for the first time since last year.

This sounds good and the major market indexes are up on the news reaching mid-September's resistance levels. A break here could turn into another extension of the rally. However, should investors be moving more heavily into stocks?

Continue reading How fragile are stock returns?

Russia's oligarchs lost 73% in 2008

If you're 401(k) statement has got you down, just be glad you're not one of the 100 richest people in Russia.

According to Forbes, the net worth of Russia's wealthiest elite fell an astounding 73% in 2008. Not a single business leader in the Golden Hundred increased his fortune in the past year," according to Forbes. The story hasn't appeared on Forbes.com yet, but Blomberg reports that "Deripaska, the first of the billionaires to cede secured assets to banks, dropped to 10th from first place after losing an estimated $25 billion in the past year. Forbes put his fortune at $3.5 billion now."

Continue reading Russia's oligarchs lost 73% in 2008

Americans' net worth falls $1.7 trillion in Q1

Americans net worth declined by $1.7 trillion in Q1 2008 - - the biggest drop in wealth since 2002 - - as declining home prices and a sluggish stock market took a toll on portfolios and asset holdings, CNNMoney.com reported Friday.

U.S. household net worth fell 3% to $56 trillion at the end of March, according to the U.S. Federal Reserve's flow of funds report, CNNMoney.com reported, with the amount of home equity declining to 46.2% - - the lowest on record.

Economist Peter Dawson told BloggingStocks Friday the net worth and home equity statistics aren't surprising, given the U.S. economy's current fundamentals. Further, he said the economy is now approaching "the danger level" regarding several key economic metrics.

Trends moving in wrong direction

"The two biggest concerns for the economy right now are a lack of job growth across the spectrum and stagnant wages for segments of the American workforce. A lack of job growth and wage increases will put the U.S. economy in a very serious state, and not just with home values, if the current trends do not reverse," Dawson said.
Moreover, Dawson said he's less concerned about home equity and overall home values, because "a home is a derivative asset, really a function of job growth, wage gains, and rising real incomes."

"The key remains job growth, and the ability of all employees to secure the wage gains that are essential to a growing economy. Some have argued that the U.S. economy could compensate for a lack of consumption at home by simply selling more goods to consumers abroad, but this is a deeply flawed model," Dawson said. "Absent consumption at home, the U.S. economy will fall into a prolonged recession, and the key to consumption is job growth and wage increases. Without job growth and wage increases the United States will simply run out of consumers. You'll be a condition where there are plenty of goods in the stores but there will not be nearly enough consumers to buy them. That's a place the nation doesn't want to be in."

Continue reading Americans' net worth falls $1.7 trillion in Q1

Tribulations of the suddenly wealthy

The New York Times reports that getting wealthy all of a sudden can be a problem. But of all the problems one could face, I think it's a pretty high class one.

Here are three examples:

  • Ken Jennings won $2.5 million ($1.5 million after taxes) -- after prevailing in 74 consecutive Jeopardy games. He moved into a bigger house in Seattle and now designs board games.
  • Laurel Touby sold website MediaBistro for $26 million and found that her $11 million share was not enough to afford a private jet.
  • Elwood Bartlett, a Maryland accountant, won $84 million in a lottery last summer -- $33 million after taxes. He gave away $200,000 to the Special Olympics but gets lots of requests for more charity.

One financial adviser recommends they splurge with 5% to 10% of the money. Jennings' Advice? "put your money somewhere not idiotic and leave it alone as much as possible."

What do you think these sudden wealth winners should do?

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter.

Rich getting richer faster -- Does it matter?

A new report from the Congressional Budget Office has a pretty startling finding: From 2003 to 2005, the income growth of the top 1% of American income earners exceeded, by 37%, the total earnings of the bottom 20%.

It sounds bad -- it is, after all, about as compelling evidence as you'll find of increasing income inequality. The lowest-earning fifth of households had total income of $383.4 billion in 2005, while the richest 1% saw their earnings increase by $524.8 billion.

One factor was the appreciation in the stock market over that period, with about half of the earnings growth of the top1% coming from investments and business ventures.

Jared Bernstein of the Economic Policy Institute told the New York Times that "A lot of people justifiably feel they are working harder and smarter, they are baking a bigger and better pie, and yet their slice is not growing much at all. It is meaningless to middle- and low-income families to say we have a great economy because their economy looks so much different than folks at the top of the scale because this is an economy that is working, but not working for everyone."

This is bad news for the Republicans, who are facing pretty long odds at maintaining control of the White House. While they can point to economic growth over the past few years, the reality is that working-class Americans saw an increase in their income that is barely significant -- Wealthy Americans cleaned up.

The actual importance of income inequality is a debate that has no end in sight: Does the fact that rich Americans saw their earnings increase a lot really have anything to do with the lowest 20% of income-earners? It doesn't matter because it still make for great election-year rhetoric.

World's richest is Mukesh Ambani: Billion-dollar decisions from a billion-dollar home

Seems the world economy is growing and changing so fast that staying on top for very long will become harder. Carlos Slim of Mexico did not retain the title very long, as CNBC is reporting Meet the World's New 'Richest Person' -- For Now, a story about Mukesh Ambani. It has been reported that he is just completing a ONE BILLION DOLLAR HOME! Here's how the Indian press reports rank the world's top five richest people as of today, based on known public stock holdings:

  • Mukesh Ambani - $63.2 billion
  • Carlos Slim Helu - $62.2993 billion
  • William (Bill) Gates - $62.29 billion
  • Warren Buffett - $55.9 billion
  • Lakshmi Mittal - $50.9 billion
To me, this all amounts to creating headlines, since the slight difference between one, two, and three could be altered with a single day's stock movement. Given that Ambani is on the other side of the world with great fortunes in Europe and Asia it could change back and forth depending on which stock exchanges are open at the time. In a rising market you could go to sleep as the richest person in the world and wake up to find you were overtaken, only to find by the close of the market you were on top again.

What's more important is who is taking what actions. What are these supernova rich guys doing with their wealth? In the case of Gates and Buffett, they have become the world's biggest philanthropists. Carlos Slim has expressed a desire to share his wealth as well by setting up a $10 billion foundation -- I'm not sure how far he has gone with that idea. Mittal is still busy buying up all the steel production on the planet, and is now the largest player in the market. That will increase his wealth for now. On the other hand, the Hunt Brothers of Texas thought that way in the 1970s about silver, and found out rather quickly that was not their brightest idea. Steel is likely a much better bet.

Continue reading World's richest is Mukesh Ambani: Billion-dollar decisions from a billion-dollar home

Cartier glitters over Chinese, Indian & Russian wealth

The rapidly developing economies led by China, India and Russia, are making the folks at jeweler Cartier salivate with even grander plans to promote themselves as the world's premier jewelers. They have unveiled bobbles and bangles suitable only for the super wealthy. In the past, this might have been the territory of the U.S., Western Europe, Japan and the Middle East. But the game has changed.

    Cartier is not the first luxury house to look east. A Japanese or Chinese aesthetic has starred in collections from Giorgio Armani to Aquascutum, while the craze for embroidery and pattern filling runways owes a debt to India. ... The reasoning is clear: the wealth of the world's richest people -- who have at least $1 billion ready to invest -- rose to $32.7 trillion last year, up 11.4 percent, with China and India leading the way, the latest Merrill Lynch Cap Gemini World Wealth Report showed.

Continue reading Cartier glitters over Chinese, Indian & Russian wealth

A fool and his money -- not necessarily parted

Stupidity is no barrier to wealth: That's the conclusion of a study by Jay Zagorsky, a research scientist at Ohio State University's Center for Human Resource Research. Based on a study of 7,403 Americans who participated in the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, Mr. Zagorsky found no correlation between IQ and wealth: "Those with low intelligence should not believe they are handicapped, and those with high intelligence should not believe they have an advantage."

But here's what really interesting: Smart people do earn more money. They just aren't particularly likely to save and invest it, which is a recipe for creating wealth. According to the data, each extra IQ-point coincided with an extra $202 to $616 of income a year

So smart people earn more money but apparently fritter it away (Mensa memberships perhaps?). So does that mean that saving money is stupid? Or, are smart people just not very smart when it comes to money?

You don't have to be smart to be rich

This comes as no surprise: A national survey found that individuals don't actually have to be smart to be rich. In fact, people with below-average IQ test scores can be just as wealthy as brainiacs. According to the study, it's more about attitude than smarts.

The study's author Jay Zagorsky, an economist at Ohio State University's Center for Human Resource Research, says that it's up to each person to have a positive attitude and want to save up money and build up his or her wealth, and each and every one of us can do it regardless of our IQ.

Indeed, intelligence positively affects income as people with higher IQ tend to have higher education leading to higher paying careers. Basically, individuals with higher IQ scores earned higher incomes with each additional IQ point associated with an income boost of $202 to $616 each year.

But, the higher income didn't make them more wealthy as IQ score had no impact on wealth. In fact, highly intelligent people actually have financial difficulties, maxing out credit cards and missing bill payments, making them less wealthy. The lowest financial distress was found around the average IQ score.

Rich in America (in Canada and Mexico too): A penny for your thoughts

Many people like to dream up ways to get rich quick. Many people dream about inventing great things that could make them wealthy in a hurry. I often think about money also, but just in case you haven't figured it out yet, please be warned that I have some unconventional ways of thinking.

The money question I wish to place before you today is a concept which I have never gotten a decent answer to. When I pose this question I get blank looks, shrugged shoulders, an occasional sneer, and most often a good hearty "who cares!" Be that as it may, I place my query here for you today in the hope that I might get at least one good answer. Here's the question:

What would be the immediate and long-term economic effects if the United States, Canada, and Mexico were to equalize their currencies and maintain a neutral currency exchange rate?

There, now that's not such a stupid question is it? I'm sure that the question has already been fully addressed in other forums and I would very much welcome any links that readers could provide to appropriate discussions of this concept. I welcome any and all answers. Thanks in advance for your time.

Sotheby's/Mastercard debut yuppycard to mixed reviews

Sotheby's (NYSE: BID) and GE Money have teamed up to launch a Sotheby's MasterCard (NYSE: MA). Predictably, the card is aimed at wealthier consumers, and even gives them a chance to earn donations to their favorite museums. From the Wall Street Journal:

A cardholder who has charged $10,000, for example, can convert the 10,000 earned points into a $100 donation to one of 17 U.S. partner museums [...] Anyone accumulating 2.5 million points can book a Sotheby's specialist to conduct an auction for a charity event.

The piece goes on to note that some museums have been slow to sign on, preferring to go with relationships they already have. I'm really happy to see the consumer credit industry focusing some energy on higher net worth individuals (you need an income of 100k+ to qualify for the card). As you will learn from reading the book Maxed Out, the industry seems to relentlessly target those customers who can least afford it. Perhaps Sotheby's and MasterCard will show that there is money to be made providing credit to customers who can afford it, while also supporting the arts.

Kiplinger's suggests time tested strategies for building wealth

The TradeKing blog posted a nice review by Dominic Basulto of the May 2007 cover story of Kiplinger's Personal Finance. that pointed out some old tried and true investment strategies that are still the best way to build financial wealth over time.

While these strategies are nothing new, they should be reaffirmed from time to time.

Kiplinger's suggests that you consider the following when looking to consistently build your investment value over time:

1.) Get involved in a sector which has been underperforming for a considerable period of time and is showing strong signs of picking up. Consider Warren Buffett's railroads play. Could he be on to something?

2.) Keep a look out for "breakout technologies". I suggest keeping a close watch on solar and artificial intelligence plays as well as RFID. Basulto suggests telecom and biotech.

3.) Higher risk generally provides higher returns. Do ya think? Play the volatility game. This requires nerves of steel and a lightening hand but if you're good, the returns can be immense. It's like betting on the horse that's straining at the gate and sweating before the run. Either that pony will run uncontested or it'll spin circles in the first length. Volatility plays best if you're a heavy duty behind the scenes researcher.

4.) Look for fundamentally strong companies which have floundered under poor management and then wait for a management change. I have watched several people successfully work this angle.

The Kiplinger article seeks to provide insight into the strategies for compounding your money over various time frames. The information provided is valuable and time tested but Kiplinger's makes clear that they suggest a longer time table shall provide you with greater investment security.

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DJIA-89.2312,801.23
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Last updated: February 11, 2012: 04:35 AM

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