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Banks Lobby Against Risk Retention on the Loans They Make

banksLet's go back to the financial crisis and the practices that brought this country to its knees. Banks developed a fancy scheme whereby they absolved themselves of all risk from the loans they made. They simply wrapped them up in a bundle and sold them to someone else. What they were doing is essentially packaging and reselling "junk."

When the news of how bad things were became known, the markets froze and collapsed. No one knew who had which securities, and if they did, they didn't know their true value.

Continue reading Banks Lobby Against Risk Retention on the Loans They Make

Track These Three Items for Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo (WFC)Wells Fargo (WFC) was one of the banks to emerge the strongest after the financial crisis. As capital markets improve, we foresee Wells benefiting from and a greater presence than it had pre-recession relative to peers like Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Citigroup (C) and UBS (UBS).

Here we look at the key factors to watch in the coming months that support our $33.81 price estimate, which is around 10% ahead of the market price.

Continue reading Track These Three Items for Wells Fargo

Options Update: U.S. Bancorp Volatility Flat; Announces 150% Dividend Increase

U.S. Bancorp (USB) has approved a 150% increase in the dividend rate on U.S. Bancorp common stock to 50 cents on an annualized basis, or 12.5 cents on a quarterly basis. April and June option implied volatility of 30 is near its 26-week average of 29, according to Track Data, suggesting nondirectional price movement.

Wells Fargo (WFC) announced a special Q1 cash dividend on its common stock of 7 cents per share, together with the 5 cent per share dividend. April put option implied volatility is at 33, July is at 35, near its 26-week average of 34, according to Track Data, suggesting nondirectional price movement.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com.

Tell-Tale Stat: Buffett's Berkshire Divests Bank of America, Nike Stakes

Warren BuffettThe past week's data-point-of-consequence for investors had to be investment decisions by Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A).

Buffett ended positions in several stocks in the fourth quarter, including the Bank of America (BAC), Nike (NKE), Fiserv (FISV), Becton Dickinson (BDX), Comcast Corp. (CMCSA), Lowe's Co.s (LOW), Nalco (NLC) and Nestle (NSRGY), according to a filing, The Wall Street Journal reported.

Berkshire added to a holding of only one stock in the fourth quarter: Wells Fargo (WFC).

Continue reading Tell-Tale Stat: Buffett's Berkshire Divests Bank of America, Nike Stakes

JPMorgan: Upside and Downside Scenarios

JPMorgan (JPM) is one the largest and most diversified bank in the U.S., and offers services such as retail banking, commercial banking, asset management, investment banking, consumer lending and credit cards. Its main competitors include Bank of America (BAC), Wells Fargo (WFC), Goldman Sachs (GS), Deutsche Bank (DB) and Morgan Stanley (MS).

JPMorgan has benefited from a decline in provisions for credit losses that raised operating margins for its retail banking business. However, a weak economic recovery has resulted in a decline in average interest earning deposits and presents a potential concern for the multinational bank.

Continue reading JPMorgan: Upside and Downside Scenarios

Lower Reserves Lead to Higher Profit for Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo (WFC)Wednesday morning, banking giant Wells Fargo (WFC) announced that its fourth-quarter profit increased sharply thanks to improving customer payment habits and lower reserves to cover "souring loans."

During the quarter, Wells Fargo reported net income of 61 cents per share ($3.2 billion), matching the consensus estimate. A year earlier, the company earned 8 cents per share ($394 million) thanks to a large preferred dividend paid to the government (this payment was not necessary this year). The bank's CEO John Stumpf stated that the bank's business segments "contributed to earnings as the economy started to gain strength."

Continue reading Lower Reserves Lead to Higher Profit for Wells Fargo

Week in Preview: Banks in the Earnings Spotlight

earnings expectationsThe earnings season ramps up this week. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters foresee strong reports from such big names as Apple (AAPL), eBay (EBAY), IBM (IBM), General Electric (GE), Google (GOOG), Schlumberger (SLB) and Southwest Airlines (LUV). And fast on the heels of last week's big earnings beat from JPMorgan Chase (JPM), there will be plenty more results from the financial sector to peruse this week.

Among the financials expected to post double-digit earnings growth this week are Capital One Financial (COF), Morgan Stanley (MS), SLM Corp. (SLM) and U.S. Bancorp (USB), but the week's biggest earnings winner may be Wells Fargo (WFC).

Continue reading Week in Preview: Banks in the Earnings Spotlight

Chasing Value: Pre-Christmas Quick Takes

To paraphrase Mark Twain "The reports of our death are greatly exaggerated". The world economy has been in shambles for a few years now, and our nation has much work ahead of it. 2010 was an improvement over 2009 and I believe 2011 will show further improvement.

There are lots of ideas running through my mind as I consider where the economy might be heading in 2011. What opportunities lay in front of us waiting to be picked up or passed over? Just five trading days left, and market activity will slow down except among fund managers making adjustments for tax purposes or window dressing. You should examine your tax situation, too.

Continue reading Chasing Value: Pre-Christmas Quick Takes

Options Update: Boeing Volatility Flat into EPS and Cash Flow Outlook

Boeing (BA) is expected to report Q3 EPS on October 20. November put option implied volatility is at 33, January is at 34, versus its 26-week average of 32, according to Track Data, suggesting non-directional near-term price movement.

Wells Fargo (WFC) is reporting Q3 EPS on October 20. November put option implied volatility is at 43, January is at 40, versus its 26-week average of 36, according to Track Data, suggesting larger price movement.

Options Update is by Stock Specialist Paul Foster of theflyonthewall.com
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Bank of America Earnings Preview

Bank of America (BAC)Bank of America (BAC), which recently announced it would halt foreclosures nationwide, is scheduled to discuss its third-quarter 2010 financial results Tuesday, October 19, in a conference call beginning at 8:30 AM (ET). You can catch a live webcast of the call at the company's website.

During the three months that ended in September, Charlotte, N.C.-based Bank of America continued it mortgage modification efforts and declared a quarterly dividend. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters are looking for the leading lender to report that its earnings for that period were 16 cents per share, compared to a loss of 26 cents per share a year ago. Revenue is expected to total $27.2 billion, which is a 4.3% increase from the same period of last year.

Continue reading Bank of America Earnings Preview

Buffett Says the Economy Is Hunky-Dory

Warren BuffettWarren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) has holdings that span many industries, like health care, consumer goods, energy, insurance, real estate, rail and so on. Because of this, he has a good perspective on economic sentiment. And, according to a recent speech at the Montana Economic Development Summit, Buffett is unabashedly bullish on things.

First of all, he thinks a double-dip recession is highly unlikely. Then again, it appears that many investors believe the same. But, the question is: Can the U.S. economy show more robust growth?

Continue reading Buffett Says the Economy Is Hunky-Dory

Bank on Preferreds: Bank America and Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo"As a result of the Financial Reform Act, certain trust preferreds can offer investment-grade safety, robust yields of around 6-7%, and capital gains potential," suggests Carla Pasternak.

The editor of High Yield Investing explains, "Among our top picks in this group are Bank of America Capital Trust IV, 5 7/8% Capital Securities (BAC-U) and Wells Fargo Capital IX 5.625% Trust Preferred Securities (JWF).

"Traditional preferreds are an equity investment in a company. They are normally perpetual -- that is, they have no maturity date. In contrast, trust preferreds are debt, not equity. As such, they provide greater safety than traditional preferred stock.

Continue reading Bank on Preferreds: Bank America and Wells Fargo

Chasing Value: No Double-Dip Recession

The most common question I get from friends, family, business associates and, well, everyone is -- Do you expect a double-dip recession? My answer is an unequivocal "No!"

This does not mean that I think we are going to experience a dramatic improvement in the economy. We are not. Many of my colleagues seem to oppose my view, so it is not without some trepidation that I take this stand. However, I see the glass half full. My view is that others are overly influenced by "group-think" and the calls of doom.

I do think that we are currently adrift in uncharted waters and we may have a faulty rudder, too. The biggest fear I have is that everyone jabbering about another deep recession may actually cause one.

The following supports why I feel, from what we know, that we are not destined for a double-dip recession:

Continue reading Chasing Value: No Double-Dip Recession

Chasing Value™: 2009 Results Crushed the S&P 500

Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) logoI have always felt that for all the blabbing we do -- or blogging, in my case -- we should try as best we can to be accountable for our good and bad calls. This report is long overdue, but I will post it anyway since all of my past year's picks and results have been made public.

The market was very harsh in the early part of 2009, filling investors fear and trepidation, and sinking to a March 9, 2009 bottom. Perhaps some of the bleeding has stopped, but the economy has not healed as bears and bulls seem to carry the day, or every other day.

Continue reading Chasing Value™: 2009 Results Crushed the S&P 500

Chasing Value™: Tale of Two Tech Stocks (ISRG and SCON)

You win some you lose some. This story is about one of my less successful investments, which I acquired and sold many years ago. Over the past four years, I have written many times about Intuitive Surgical (ISRG), by far my best stock investment, up 4,500%, give or take, over a ten-year period. I bought in at the bottom and held on for the ride, until last year when the market tanked and took Intuitive Surgical with it.

The other company was Superconductor Technologies (SCON), the makers of high-temperature devices that improve communications transmission quality.

Continue reading Chasing Value™: Tale of Two Tech Stocks (ISRG and SCON)

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 11, 2012: 12:38 PM

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