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Cramer on BloggingStocks: Recognize the ludicrous pattern

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says if the market made sense, you could buy retail and restaurants off the lower oil price.

Here's the pattern: We get shelled by oil. It drops to $76 or $77, all energy goes down, and it takes everything else with it. Some of tech has been spared lately because of 3Com (COMS) (Cramer's Take).

Then, in the following couple of days, oil stabilizes (but not after it hurts the oils again), rallies, and everything goes with it.

That's what's been occurring. I don't know why it's any different. In this moment in time, it's often best to buy the most hammered natural gas stocks because they come back fast. The best value is Devon (DVN) (Cramer's Take), but it simply isn't down enough. Apache (APA) (Cramer's Take) would make sense below $60, which is still a ways from here.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Recognize the ludicrous pattern

Bullish on oil, bullish on Weatherford International

Recent, soft natural gas prices have hurt oil/natural gas services company Weatherford International Ltd. (NYSE: WFT), but that in no way changes the company's positive long-term prospects, which is why I'm Reiterating my Buy rating for Weatherford, first recommended on June 4, 2009 at a price of $20.85.

The trough in oil/natural gas servicing will likely end in F2009; margin recovery may lag, but upstream capital spending should provide a nice tailwind heading into FY2010. Institutional investors have sensed this, and it's one reason they've been incrementally added to their WFT positions since March. The First Call FY2009/FY2010 EPS estimates for WFT are 72 cents to $1.12.

Continue reading Bullish on oil, bullish on Weatherford International

Weatherford International knows the race for oil is on again

It looks like oil prices are headed to uncomfortable levels again, if not the stratosphere, and all this even before the U.S. and global economic recoveries take hold.

Well, look at it this way: you can seethe at the gasoline pump, or you can consider owning shares in oil services company Weatherford International Ltd. (NYSE: WFT).

Continue reading Weatherford International knows the race for oil is on again

Earnings highlights: Bank of America, Amazon, Coke, eBay, UPS, Yahoo!, IBM, and more

Here are some highlights from this past week's earnings coverage from BloggingStocks:

Continue reading Earnings highlights: Bank of America, Amazon, Coke, eBay, UPS, Yahoo!, IBM, and more

Weatherford Int'l (WFT) lower on Q1 earnings miss

WFT logoWeatherford International (NYSE: WFT - option chain) stock is lower today after the company reported a first-quarter profit of $164.80 million, or 23 cents per share. Excluding one-time items, WFT earned 27 cents per share, missing analysts' projections of 29 cents per share. Also helping to keep WFT in the red are crude oil prices that are down more than 7%, now well below $50. If you think this stock won't be rising too far in the coming months, then it could be a good time to look at a bearish hedged play on WFT.

This morning, WFT opened at $13.69. So far today the stock has hit a low of $13.43 and a high of $14.24. As of 11:40, WFT is trading at $14.10, down 65 cents (-4.4%). The chart for WFT looks bullish and S&P gives WFT a positive 4 STARS (out of 5) buy ranking.

Continue reading Weatherford Int'l (WFT) lower on Q1 earnings miss

Diamond Offshore Drilling (DO) to be added to S&P 500

DO logoDiamond Offshore Drilling (NYSE: DO - option chain) shares have been just about flat today after Standard & Poor's (NYSE: MHP) announced that the company will be added to the S&P 500 Index on a date still to be determined, replacing Weatherford International Ltd. (NYSE: WFT). This usually causes a surge in stock value as all the ETFs that track the S&P 500 now have to rush to add DO positions.

While DO is not rising today, it is also not falling sharply like the rest of the market, especially when compared to its peers like Transocean (NYSE: RIG), which just reported slowing earnings today and is down by more than 5%. If you think that DO won't fall by too much in the coming months, then now could be a good time to look at a bullish hedged trade on that stock.

Continue reading Diamond Offshore Drilling (DO) to be added to S&P 500

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AXP, CAT, BMY, GNK, TXCO ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Societe Generale upgraded shares of Veolia Environment (NYSE: VE) to Buy from Hold as they believe the company's new finance chief implement additional cost savings.
  • Citigroup upgraded shares of Sun Healthcare (NASDAQ: SUNH) to Buy from Hold and added the stock to their Top Picks Live List as they believe the market is pricing in a more severe Medicaid and Medicare reimbursement outlook than is probable. The firm has a $14 target on the stock.
  • Calyon believes in 2010, American Express (NYSE: AXP) will have easy comps, reserve releases, and income statement leverage. The firm upgraded shares to Outperform from Underperform.
  • Societe Generale (OTC: SCGLY) was upgraded to Buy from Hold at Citigroup.
  • Caterpillar (NYSE: CAT) was raised to neutral from Sell at UBS.
  • Goldman upgraded Biogen Idec (NASDAQ: BIIB) to Buy from Neutral and added shares to the Conviction Buy List; Goldman also added Bristol-Myers (NYSE: BMY) to the Conviction Buy List.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: AXP, CAT, BMY, GNK, TXCO ...

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Too much debt makes stocks dangerous

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says companies saddled with high debt loads can be found in every sector in every business.

Overleveraged. Too much debt. Need to pay down debt. How many times have you read that story?

You read it so much because it plays out every day and plays havoc with stock picking almost every time you see a savory stock down on its luck.

This weekend, as I went through the charts, I was amazed at how low some stocks have gone, stocks that I would normally say to just take a flyer on, but turn out to have so much debt, short- and long-term, that they are just too dangerous.

Consider these perhaps poisonous morsels:

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Too much debt makes stocks dangerous

Best stocks for a rebound in energy

"In recoveries from panic selloffs in the past, the energy patch has tended to outperform the S&P 500," notes energy sector specialist Elliott Gue.

In his The Energy Strategist, the advisor offers his outlook for the sector as well as a package of five favorite energy-related stocks, including ideas in the drilling, infrastructure. oil services and exploration areas.

"This has undoubtedly been the most challenging and unsettled market in recent history for the stock, bond, currency and credit markets. Not surprisingly, the energy sector hasn't been immune to the selling pressure.

"However, I would note that the selloff in most energy stocks I cover has little or nothing to do with fundamentals and everything to do with market sentiment and a pervasive sense of panic.

"Institutions are dumping stocks to raise cash and the primary fear infecting the energy markets is that a dramatic global economic slowdown coupled with a seizing up of credit markets will destroy demand for energy commodities..

Continue reading Best stocks for a rebound in energy

Big block traders bet on oil sector favorites

"We sense a turn for the better coming in the oil sector," says Peter Way who tracks 'big money' investors for his Block Trader Oil & Gas Report. Here's his look at the "big block" traders.

"When we use the hedging analysis employed in our stock price forecasts, there are significant differences between some adjacent futures expirations. Here's the current picture:

"Front month (November) hedging suggests likely near-term higher prices. But the December contracts are likely to continue the past 3-month price decline – briefly.

"After that we could see crude rise over a few months into the $115-125 area or even higher, providing a bullish backdrop for most energy stocks. We sense a turn for the better coming in this sector.

"Several issues are selling at attractive prices now. Among major integrated producers, the standout prospect among the big oils is Petrochina (NYSE: PTR).

Continue reading Big block traders bet on oil sector favorites

Some oil stocks for your portofolio from Kiplinger

With the economy facing soaring crude oil prices for the past year, consumers and drivers have seen a major impact on their savings. It could seem as though the good old times are over. Gasoline at $4 a gallon is not something we can ignore, and if we take into account that Americans consume nearly 40% of the world's gasoline, you can see where the problems begin. So the surge in oil prices came with an imminent effect on consumers, who had to cut back on their spending.

But since we are already in this unpleasant situation, Kiplinger offers some solutions to help investors fight against high oil prices. Kiplinger underlines in this article that one smart move would be to minimize the cost of driving by making some good energy-related investments.

Gerry Jordan, manager of Jordan Opportunity, recommends investors invest in oil companies such as Schlumberger Ltd. (NYSE: SLB) and Weatherford International (NYSE: WFT), citing strong international business. In addition, Jordan believes that higher crude prices will increase drilling demand. On the other hand, Jordan also loves power companies like Calpine Corp. (NYSE: CPN) and Reliant Energy Inc. (NYSE: RRI) as he anticipates huge power outages across the globe during this year.

Continue reading Some oil stocks for your portofolio from Kiplinger

Cramer on BloggingStocks: Oil's not the widespread tax it used to be

TheStreet.com's Jim Cramer says lots of companies now thrive with crude up here.

Oil's not a tax on everything -- it's a tax on the consumer. That's what I come down to when I see the charts this weekend and ponder what's happening in so much of industrial America.

Company after company that I examine -- the new techs, as I call them -- actually benefit from higher oil prices. Or they can pass them on with ease, because of the worldwide demand being so strong.

Take all of the companies involved with making a Boeing (NYSE: BA) (Cramer's Take): Boeing itself, Alcoa (NYSE: AA) (Cramer's Take), Honeywell (NYSE: HON) (Cramer's Take) and Precision Castparts (NYSE: PCP) (Cramer's Take) being good examples. Each of these is necessary because the new Dreamliner burns lots less fuel, and with fuel the biggest airline cost, it stands to reason that higher energy prices make the plane more desirable even at a higher price point.

Or how about all of the companies involved with process and flow control and efficient motors: Parker-Hannifin (NYSE: PH) (Cramer's Take), Emerson (NYSE: EMR) (Cramer's Take), Eaton (NYSE: ETN) (Cramer's Take) and Flowserve (NYSE: FLS) (Cramer's Take). Those work higher with higher energy prices. CSX (NYSE: CSX) (Cramer's Take), Burlington Northern (NYSE: BNI) (Cramer's Take), Kansas City Southern (NYSE: KSU) (Cramer's Take), Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP) (Cramer's Take) and Norfolk Southern (NYSE: NSC) (Cramer's Take) are smaller energy users than trucks, and they ship plenty of ethanol and fertilizer.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: Oil's not the widespread tax it used to be

Weatherford International (WFT): Share price cycles in bullish 'flag'

Weatherford International (NYSE: WFT) provides equipment and services for the drilling and production sectors of the oil and gas industry. The firm specializes in contract drilling, formation evaluation, well installation/completion systems, "fishing" services, oil recovery, and pipeline services. The company operates in over 100 countries and employs approximately 40,500 people worldwide. Halliburton Company (NYSE: HAL) and Schlumberger Limited (NYSE: SLB) are competitors.

The stock popped with the sector last Friday, when crude oil concluded a six percent weekly gain with its fourth new closing high. On Monday, the firm reported essentially in-line first quarter results and announced a 2-for-1 stock split (payable May 23).

Continue reading Weatherford International (WFT): Share price cycles in bullish 'flag'

Ignore random market noise and focus on lesser known names

Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) this, Apple Inc (NASDAQ: AAPL) that, will Lehman Brothers Holdings (NYSE: LEH) follow Bear Stearns (NYSE: BSC) -- bleh, all hotly debated, all random market noise! Noise that you must learn to ignore.

The financial media -- envious of the fat profits generated by such entertainment-based businesses as World Wrestling Entertainment Inc (NYSE: WWE), Las Vegas Sands Corp. (NYSE: LVS) and Wynn Resorts (NASDAQ: WYNN) -- has brainwashed you into believing that in order to make money in the stock market, you must keep up to date with every single headline and development in the business world. Hogwash!

I have no problem with financial entertainment, but I do take issue with all these media outlets making their content out to be useful to investors. I've repeatedly echoed this theme in articles like this and I don't expect this industry to change anytime soon, but I am going to keep preaching so you will better understand how low your chances of success are if you bet on the most popular -- hence the most efficient -- topics du jour. Unless you are George Soros or Warren Buffett or a few other wealthy elderly men, there is always somebody better informed and more intelligent than you are. Hence, you are always at a disadvantage.

Continue reading Ignore random market noise and focus on lesser known names

Analyst downgrades: BP, WFC and HIBB

MOST NOTEWORTHY: BP PLC, Wells Fargo and Hibbett Sports were today's noteworthy downgrades:
  • Lehman downgraded shares of BP PLC (NYSE:BP) to Underweight from Equal Weight to reflect a lower share of profitability from the Azeri field in Azerbaijan.
  • Friedman Billings downgraded Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) to Underperform from Market Perform citing its consumer exposure and recent indications of consumer credit quality deterioration.
  • The firm also downgraded Hibbett Sports (NASDAQ:HIBB) to Market Perform from Outperform following the company's Q4 pre-announcement.
OTHER DOWNGRADES:

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-17.2410,433.71
NASDAQ-6.832,169.18
S&P 500-0.591,105.65

Last updated: November 25, 2009: 08:49 AM

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