Today we are supposed to learn from the Federal Reserve Board if interest rates will rise. There is plenty of speculation as to whether rates will rise by a quarter point or a half point. I don't think they should do anything. I say take a rest for a couple of months, guys!
They have been sitting around trying to decide where the economy will be in 18 to 24 months. What are the chances they can figure that one out? Close to zero! What are the chances they cause a recession instead of preventing one? About 50/50!
If they know whats going to happen 18 months out then why don't they each make a zillion dollars in the stock market? I would like to ask them where the price of gold, or oil, Microsoft or eBay will be in 18 months. They are speculating just like the Wall Street analysts!
When interest rates were 1% or 2%, an increase did not matter. But the higher they go the more each increase matters. They should take a breather and cogitate a while. It would show some financial maturity.
Here's my prediction -- if we have a little inflation in 18 to 24 months because they guessed wrong, then we can live with it. But if we are in a recession by then, then good or bad, the Democrats will be in the White House and the Fed will have put them there!
Previous Rant: "Take the chalk away before Bernanke hurts someone"