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Analyst initiations 5-11-07: DOW, NILE, WINN and ZQK

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Dow Chemical (DOW), Smart Modular (SMOD), Wolverine World Wide (WWW), Win-Dixie Stores (WINN) and Blue Nile (BLUE) were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • UBS is positive on the ethylene cycle over the next two years and believes Dow Chemical (NYSE: DOW) can beat 2008 consensus estimates, initiating shares with a Buy rating.
  • JMP Securities started Smart Modular (NASDAQ: SMOD) with a Strong Buy as a unit volume growth theme without much dependence on commodity memory chip pricing.
  • Citigroup expects further upside given Wolverine World Wide's (NYSE: WWW) strong portfolio of brands, further growth opportunities through line extensions and international growth. The firm started Wolverine World Wide with a Buy rating and $33 target.
  • Winn-Dixie Stores (NASDAQ: WINN) was started with a Market Perform rating, citing low levels of profitability and unproven ability to drive sustainable profitable sales.
  • American Technology believes the valuation of Blue Nile (NASDAQ: NILE) leaves little room for upside, despite a highly attractive business model and strong fundamentals, and started shares with a Sell rating and $45 target...
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • Longbow started Mips Tech (NASDAQ: MIPS) with a Buy rating and $12 target.
Analyst summaries provided by TheFlyOnTheWall.com (subscription required).

Coupon redemption: One per customer please!

According to a federal indictment alleging 25 counts of coupon-redemption fraud, nine executives from International Outsourcing Services (IOS), the nation's largest clearinghouse for grocery- and retail-related coupons, have been accused of involvement in an ongoing coupon-redemption scheme that is claimed to have injured a laundry list of companies, including SC Johnson, Kimberly-Clark Corp.(NYSE:KMB), and Winn-Dixie Stores (NASDAQ:WINN). Federal attorneys claim that Wisconsin firms alone have been bilked as much as $15 million by fraudulent redemption practices. Coupon redemption program assistance organizations estimate that fraudulent coupon redemption costs product manufacturers as much as a half billion dollars a year.

A news story reports that in answering the indictment, IOS denied the allegations and said the company plans to "vigorously defend against these charges." IOS takes a firm stand that through a 40 year history of providing its services, it has never faced tort action in regard to its coupon-redemption practices, even in the face of routine audits performed by the many of the manufacturers it serves.

U.S. attorneys maintain that the indictment is the result of a long-standing and intensive investigation by members of the U.S. Attorney's office, with additional resources and support provided by the FBI and others. Already, 17 individuals have been charged and convicted in Wisconsin, 10 in Ohio, and 3 in Mississippi in connection with this investigation. Law enforcement indicates that the previous convictions involved an independent broker and an IOS sales manager.

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Last updated: October 07, 2008: 07:59 PM

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