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Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: WL, ORCL, GPS, TRN, ANF, COST, BJ ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Oppenheimer upgraded shares of Cree (NASDAQ: CREE) to Outperform from Perform as they believe LEDs are beginning to gain traction in general lighting applications.
  • Jefferies upgraded Constellation Energy (NYSE: CEG) to Hold from Underperform following the acquisition by MidAmerican Energy. The company's target was increased to $25 from $20.
  • RBC upgraded the Banking sector to Overweight from Underweight following the governments "massive assault" on the financial crisis. RBC believes government actions that include the potential creation of a Resolution Trust Corporation, the creation of federal insurance for money market fund investors and the ban on short selling will result in higher bank stock prices through year end; Wilmington Trust (NYSE: WL), KeyCorp (NYSE: KEY) and Pacific Capital Bancorp (NASDAQ: PCBC) were upgraded to Sector Perform from Underperform.
  • Oracle (NASDAQ: ORCL) was raised to Buy from Neutral at Piper.
  • UBS upgraded Murphy Oil (NYSE: MUR) to Neutral from Sell.
  • Gap (NYSE: GPS) was upgraded to buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Deutsche Bank downgraded shares of Thomson Reuters (NASDAQ: TRIN) to Sell from Buy as they believe uncertainty in the financial sector will hinder growth.
  • Piper cut MIPS Technologies (NASDAQ: MIPS) to Neutral from Buy as they believe estimates are at risk following the departure of ChipIdea's co-founder. The company's target was lowered to $3.70 from $8.
  • Jefferies downgraded GSI Commerce (NASDAQ: GSIC) to Hold from Buy on valuation as they view the risk/reward less compelling following the recent rally.
  • Host Hotels (NYSE: HST) was downgraded at Baird to Neutral from Outperform.
  • Wachovia downgraded Accenture (NYSE: ACN), Cognizant (NASDAQ: CTSH) and Infosys (NASDAQ: INFY) to Market Perform from Outperform.
Analyst initiations:
  • Jefferies initiated Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) with an Underperform rating and $38 target and thinks the company's sales and margins are at risk with negative comp trends getting worse.
  • Cantor believes Lawson Software (NASDAQ: LWSN) has a powerful franchise while the stock trades at a 33% discount to peers. Shares were assumed with a Buy rating and $8 target.
  • Stanford started Mentor (NYSE: MNT) with a Buy rating and $32 target and thinks the company is poised to benefit from growing global demand for products and services that make people look younger and more attractive.
  • Scripps Networks (NYSE: SNI) was initiated at UBS with a Neutral rating and $43 target.
  • BMO Capital initiated Costco (NASDAQ: COST) and BJ's Wholesale (NYSE: BJ) with Market Perform ratings and a $72 target and $42 target, respectively.
  • Isle of Capri (NASDAQ: ISLE) was initiated at Goldman with a Sell rating and $6 target.

Analyst upgrades: Ford, Imperial Tobacco, Schlumberger

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Ford, Imperial Tobacco and Schlumberger were today's noteworthy upgrades:

  • Soleil upgraded Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) to Buy from Sell as they expect improved sentiment towards shares given new product launches, cost cutting efforts, North American capacity reductions, and better than expected performance on the cash side.
  • Imperial Tobacco Group Plc (NYSE: ITY) was raised to Buy from Hold at Citigroup to reflect FX benefits and pricing in continental Europe.
  • Morgan Stanley upgraded shares of Schlumberger Limited (NYSE: SLB) to Overweight from Equal Weight following the company's Q1 results, as they expect consensus estimates to move higher over the coming quarters.

OTHER UPGRADES:

Analyst initiations: WL, DRH and OMRI

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Wilmington Trust, DiamondRock Hospitality and Omrix Biopharm were today's noteworthy initiations:
  • B. Riley initiated Wilmington Trust (NYSE: WL) with a Neutral rating and $33 target and points out the company has greater exposure to construction and development loans than most small- and mid-cap banks.
  • DiamondRock Hospitality (NYSE: DRH) was assumed with a Market perform rating and $13.50 target at Keefe Bruyette. The firm sees limited upside given expectations for continued moderation in RevPAR trends, limited operating margin expansion and an uncertain economic outlook.
  • Rodman & Renshaw believes that the issues that have plagued Omrix Biopharm (NASDAQ: OMRI) are now largely reflected in shares and that the company has improved visibility on business fundamentals with solid execution. The firm assumed coverage with an Outperform rating and $18 target.
OTHER INITIATIONS:
  • UBS initiated Millennium Pharma (NASDAQ: MLNM) with a Neutral rating and $16 target.
  • Credit Suisse initiated Ryanair (NASDAQ: RYAAY) with a Neutral rating.
  • Morgan Stanley started Brasken (NYSE: BAK) with an Underweight rating.

Wilmington Trust earnings expected to fall 7%

For more earnings forecasts, see Peter Cohan's Earnings expectations for 10 banks tell a mixed story.


Thomson Financial expects Wilmington Trust (NYSE: WL) to earn $0.65 when it announces its fourth-quarter results on January 18th. That's down 7% from the same period in 2006, when it earned $0.70.

Wilmington Trust is a Wilmington, DE-based bank that has four segments: Regional Banking, Wealth Advisory Services, Corporate Client Services, and Affiliate Money Managers. In the last year, its revenues were $726 million and its net income totaled $186 million. Its stock has fallen 27% in the last year and it trades at a P/E of 11.4.

It has a mixed record when it comes to meeting estimates. In the second quarter of 2007, Wilmington Trust beat the consensus estimate by 4.4%, but in the third quarter it missed by 9.9%. My hunch is that this quarter, Wilmington Trust will miss expectations.

Peter Cohan is president of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in Wilmington Trust securities.

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Last updated: October 07, 2008: 02:48 PM

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