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At this rate, a Boeing strike of 'only' a month would be a moral victory

Boeing's (NYSE: BA) largest union, the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers, is in its third day of a strike that's idled 27,000 workers. An aviation consultant argued that the strike could last more than a month, if history is any guide, Bloomberg News reported Tuesday.

However, Stock Analyst C. Leonard Bauer said what counts in work stoppages is not so much company/sector precedent, but "the reality of the facts on the ground ... the nature of the issues involved." Bauer added that he does not have a rating on nor own shares in Boeing.

"The two sides are reasonably close on the standard pay increase, it's pension payment increases and the use of outside contractor for work that the two sides are far from agreement on," Bauer said. "Boeing is booming now and the IAM wants some assurance that their retirees' pension will not go the way of other corporate pension plans, which were revised lower as corporations faced tougher times. The two sides are still pretty far apart on that issue, as well as on the use of outside contractors." Boeing's shares rose 80 cents to $64.71 in Tuesday morning trading.

Given the above, a strike of less than a month "would be a moral victory," Bauer said.

Continue reading At this rate, a Boeing strike of 'only' a month would be a moral victory

Chrysler may have been sold

The Wall Street Journal is reporting that the private equity firm Cerberus has won the bidding for Chrysler. DaimlerChrysler (NYSE: DCX), which will probably change its name, will hold a small stake in the new holding company. Cerberus bought the majority of GMAC from General Motors (NYSE: GM) last year.

Aside from what Cerberus pays for the U.S. car company, which may be very little, the key to the transaction will be that Daimler will move the $18 billion of Chrysler pension and benefits obligations off of its books.

The UAW is bound to try to derail the deal. They favor having Daimler keep Chrysler or sell it to Canadian car parts company Magna International (NYSE: MGA). In either case, the union believed it could hold on to more jobs. The UAW may now be faced with trying to block the deal at the Daimler supervisory board level, or threaten to strike in the face of the deal. A work stoppage could badly damage Chrysler's already troubled efforts to turn around it sinking U.S. sales.

Cerberus may have the money, but the union holds most of the cards.

Douglas A. McIntyre is a partner at 24/7 Wall St.

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Last updated: November 12, 2009: 10:53 PM

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