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Heavy Pessimism on YRC Worldwide Ahead of 4Q Earnings

YRC Worldwide (YRCW) is preparing to release its fourth-quarter results, with the company's earnings report scheduled to hit Wall Street before the market opens on Friday, Feb. 5. Analysts are expecting YRCW to swallow a loss of $1.74 per share, wider than the company's year-ago loss of $1.63 per share.

The transportation issue has fallen short of consensus earnings expectations in each of the previous four quarters, which may explain why bearish speculation is on the rise in the days leading up to YRCW's report.

Continue reading Heavy Pessimism on YRC Worldwide Ahead of 4Q Earnings

Closing Bell: Bad Close, but One Heck of a Year (T, IRM, WFC, YRCW, BIOD, AAPL, GE)

So, here is the question: do you want to complain that the stock market closed out 2009 on a down day, or do you want to talk about how the DJIA was up 20% and the S&P was up 24% going into today? Exactly! Today was marked by very light trading volume, as you always see on the New Year's Eve trading session, and by profit taking in many major stocks. Today's drop in jobless claims was the lowest since summer of 2008.

Today's unofficial closing bell numbers:

Dow 10,426.46 -122.05 (-1.16%)
S&P 500 1,114.97 -11.45 (-1.02%)
Nasdaq 2,269.15 -22.13 (-0.97%)

Continue reading Closing Bell: Bad Close, but One Heck of a Year (T, IRM, WFC, YRCW, BIOD, AAPL, GE)

YRC Worldwide Completes Debt-for-Equity Swap, Finally

At long last, trucking company YRC Worldwide (YRCW) announced that it completed its debt-for-equity swap, wiping out $470 million in debt in the process. The deadline on the exchange was extended numerous times, with the firm attempting to defer payment of $19 million in fees and interest and gain access to $159.8 million in revolver reserves.

As of 11:59 PM Wednesday, a total of 88% of the notes had been tendered, up from 81% the previous day. Thanks to the eleventh-hour success of the debt-for-equity swap, YRCW said it "will be open for business as usual on Monday." Previously, the trucking issue warned that it might face a bankruptcy filing unless it addressed its serious liquidity problems.

Continue reading YRC Worldwide Completes Debt-for-Equity Swap, Finally

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ALL, CMG, GRMN, IP, VRSN ...

Analyst upgrades:

  • Goldman said International Paper (NYSE: IP) is its top pick in the group citing leverage to early cycle containerboard. The firm upgraded shares to Conviction Buy from Buy and has a $26 target on the stock.
  • Morgan Keegan upgraded Healthcare Realty Trust (NYSE: HR) to Outperform from Market Perform citing valuation and better-than-expected Q2 results.
  • William Blair upgraded Harbin Electric (NASDAQ: HRBN) to Outperform from Market Perform as it believes the Chinese economy is likely to accelerate and the company's balance sheet is strengthened following the retirement of debt.
  • Allstate (NYSE: ALL) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at BofA/Merrill.
  • VeriSign (NASDAQ: VRSN) was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Credit Suisse.
  • Commercial Vehicle Group (NASDAQ: CVGI) was upgraded to Overweight from Underweight at JPMorgan.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ALL, CMG, GRMN, IP, VRSN ...

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CCL, LDK, MSFT, PCLN

Analyst Ugrades
  • Stephens upgraded Old Dominion Freight (NASDAQ: ODFL) to Overweight from Equal Weight to reflect the financial problems at YRC Worldwide (NASDAQ: YRCW), which the firm believes could lead to market share gains. Stephens raised its target on Old Dominion Freight to $40 from $22.
  • UBS expects SunPower (NASDAQ: SPWRA) to benefit from the U.S. residential solar segment as investment tax credits come available. The firm upgraded shares to Buy from Neutral and raised its target to $38 from $26.
  • KeyBanc upgraded DPL (NYSE: DPL) to Buy from Hold based on valuation and potential upside from the Ohio approval of the rate settlement, 2010 guidance, and potential to use cash flow for accretive purposes.
  • Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) was upgraded to Conviction Buy from Buy at Goldman.
  • Carnival (NYSE: CCL) was raised to Equal Weight from Underweight at Barclays.
  • South Financial Group (NASDAQ: TSFG) was upgraded at SunTrust to Buy from Neutral.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: CCL, LDK, MSFT, PCLN

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ANF, FDX, IBM, RBS, SNDK, T

Analyst upgrades
  • Baird upgraded Con-Way (NYSE: CNW) and Old Dominion (NASDAQ: ODFL) to Outperform from Neutral due to the benefits of a likely bankruptcy of YRC Worldwide (NASDAQ: YRCW). Old Dominion's target was raised to $40 from $26 and Con-Way's was raised to $42 from $22.
  • Citigroup upgraded Pride International (NYSE: PDE) to Hold from Sell as it believes higher valuation levels are warranted with the upcoming spin-off of Seahawk Drilling. Citi raised its target on shares to $25 from $18.
  • Jesup & Lamont upgraded FedEx (NYSE: FDX) to Buy from Hold with a $63 target as it believes the worst is largely behind the company.
  • Hewitt Associates (NYSE: HEW) was upgraded to Neutral from Underweight at JPMorgan.
  • ArvinMeritor (NYSE: ARM) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman.
  • Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) was upgraded to Buy from Neutral at SunTrust.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: ANF, FDX, IBM, RBS, SNDK, T

Closing Bell: When Bulls & Bears toss coins (BAC, PALM, YRCW, USO, HPQ, SWI)

Today was another one of those days where you were never really sure of the bias or tone of the market as it started strong, gave all the gains back, tried to rally, and then gave back all the gains and then some. There were too many moving parts not acting in unison.

The FOMC noted that it was going keep buying securities and there was no hint of higher rates, yet oil inventories fell again and sent commodity prices higher.

Here are today's unofficial closing bell levels:

Dow 8,424.91 -49.94 (-0.59%)
S&P 500 903.81 -4.32 (-0.48%)
Nasdaq 1,727.28 -7.26 (-0.42%)

Top Analyst Calls

Continue reading Closing Bell: When Bulls & Bears toss coins (BAC, PALM, YRCW, USO, HPQ, SWI)

Five stocks under $5 to consider

My core investment strategy of trading strong penny stocks (which earned me 197% last year) has clearly benefited from the overall market's strength of the past few days. While I'm looking at these following five names, I'm not rushing into them just yet. Each has a different story to tell:

Ferro Corp. (NYSE: FOE), a struggling industrial materials maker whose stock price has plummeted in the past six months from the $20s to $1, basically doubled to $2 after the company amended its financing agreement -- meaning its lenders gave it some breathing room.

Continue reading Five stocks under $5 to consider

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: GOOG, AAPL, CELG, NFLX ...

Analyst upgrades:
  • Merriman upgraded shares of Google (NASDAQ: GOOG) to Neutral from Sell as they believe consensus estimates for Q4 and FY09 are no longer too high. In addition, the firm believes Google's slowing capex spend will improve margins and their recent channel checks indicate the company's ad coverage has increased significantly during Q4.
  • Oppenheimer upgraded shares of Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) to Outperform from Perform following yesterday's disclosures regarding Steve Jobs' health. The firm has a $135 price target on Apple shares.
  • UBS upgraded BMC Software (NYSE: BMC) to Buy from Neutral and raised its target to $31 from $28 citing easier booking comps in the March quarter.
  • YRC Worldwide (NASDAQ: YRCW) was raised to Market Perform from Underperform at Wachovia.
  • Goldman removed Hewitt (NYSE: HEW) from its Conviction Sell List.
Analyst downgrades:
  • Stephens downgraded Emergency Medical Services (NYSE: EMS) to Equal Weight from Overweight on valuation, as they believe the stock is fairly valued at current levels. The firm maintains a $39 price target.
  • Merriman downgraded Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ: SMCI) to Neutral from Buy after Super Micro pre-announced a Q2 miss to reflect the company's "challenging" outlook.
  • Baird downgraded Celgene (NASDAQ: CELG) to Neutral from Outperform citing Revlimid growth concerns following their most recent survey and potential pressures on the European business and on Thalomid.
  • Medtronic (NYSE: MDT) was lowered to Market Perform from Outperform at Leerink.
  • Intercontinental Exchange (NYSE: ICE) was cut at Goldman to Neutral from Buy.
  • Devon Energy (NYSE: DVN) was downgraded to Equal Weight from Overweight at Barclays.
Analyst initiations:
  • Merriman believes Itron (NASDAQ: ITRI) is well-positioned to benefit from the upgrade to Advanced Metering Infrastructure by tier one utilities and finds the stock attractively valued. Shares were initiated with a Neutral rating.
  • Oppenheimer assumed Jones Lang LaSalle (NYSE: JLL) with a Perform rating and expects the company's growth to slow in 2009 given global credit concerns and the economic slowdown.
  • Citigroup started Telmex (NYSE: TMX) with a Sell rating and $15 target. The firm believes the company's inability to offer 3-play services could lead to accelerated market share loss in 2009.
  • Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) was initiated at Janney Montgomery with a Neutral rating and $31 fair value estimate.
  • Arthur J. Gallagher (NYSE: AJG) was initiated with a Neutral rating at Piper Jaffray.
  • Jesup & Lamont assumed UTi Worldwide (NASDAQ: UTIW) with a Buy rating and $18 target.

Cramer on BloggingStocks: The good news from emergency gas taxes

With gasoline prices plummeting, I see that every major state has enacted some form of an emergency gas tax to help fill the diminishing coffers and patch up gaping holes in budgets. It may be one of those rare bits of good news stemming from the radical deflation of commodities. I am surprised that California doesn't have one, and I figure that New Jersey, one of the states with horrible finances (perhaps among the worst, although not rivaling California or Michigan), will put one in place shortly.

I think we continually underestimate the impact of still lower gasoline prices on a host of industries. Ford (NYSE: F) (Cramer's Take) could get a windfall because it still has a big line of heavy duty gas guzzlers that are immensely popular. General Motors (NYSE: GM) (Cramer's Take) is a hard call because of its ownership structure, although I am sure it will pop with the GMAC deal. I'd sell it.

If United Parcel Service (NYSE:UPS) (Cramer's Take) had any traffic, it has a huge fuel surcharge that it can slowly diminish to help the margins. YRC Worldwide (NASDAQ: YRCW) (Cramer's Take) had a great one, but I think that company is now a goner. Obviously, I have already discussed the retail benefit, but it looks like that didn't matter much.

Continue reading Cramer on BloggingStocks: The good news from emergency gas taxes

Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: RHT, AMZN, DLM, BHP, RTP

Analyst upgrades:
  • Jefferies upgraded shares of Red Hat (NYSE:RHT) to Buy from Hold after their checks indicated Red Hat's November quarter results will be in-line due to solid Jboss sales. The firm also believes a potential new partnership with Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO) could provide share upside.
  • Barclays upgraded Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) to Overweight from Equal Weight as they believe the company's competitive position will strengthen during the current downturn and that the company will gain share.
  • JP Morgan upgraded YRC Worldwide (NASDAQ:YRCW) to Neutral from Underweight following the announcement that the company and the Teamsters will vote on contract modifications.
  • Del Monte Foods (NYSE:DLM) was raised to Overweight from Equal Weight at Stephens.
  • Thomson Reuters (NYSE:TRI) was upgraded at Morgan Stanley to Equal Weight from Underweight.
  • Reliant Energy (NYSE:RRI) was lifted to Outperform from Market Perform at Wachovia.
Analyst downgrades:
  • B. Riley downgraded shares of Hot Topic (NASDAQ:HOTT) to Neutral from Buy to reflect a lack of visibility into 2009 and valuation but raised their target price to $9.30 from $8.20.
  • Citigroup cut KLA-Tencor (NASDAQ:KLAC) to Hold from Buy to reflect their more offensive stance on the semi group as they view KLA-Tencor as a more defensive name. The firm lowered their target to $22 from $31.
  • KeyBanc downgraded Arch Chemicals (NYSE:ARJ) to Underweight from Hold citing global economic headwinds, the stronger dollar, pension costs, and continued weakness in North American housing, among other reasons.
  • Jo Ann Stores (NYSE:JAS) was cut to Hold from Buy at Soleil.
  • Calyon downgraded Schlumberger (NYSE:SLB) to Outperform from Buy.
  • Amdocs (NYSE:DOX) was downgraded to Neutral from Buy at Goldman.

Continue reading Analyst upgrades, downgrades and initiations: RHT, AMZN, DLM, BHP, RTP

Closing Bell: Volatility & exhaustion (BAC, MET, YRCW, AA, GM)

Today's market moves almost felt irrational and counter-intuitive. We had a global coordinated rate cut from the U.S., Canada, the U.K, The ECB, Switzerland, and China. Some might have thought this would create a 1,000 point rally, but many sellers are still winning out and the intra-day volatility was more than present.

The DJIA opened down around 200 points, rallied to being up roughly 200 points, went negative again to roughly the same levels, and then staged an afternoon rally. And then the selling came on again at the end of the day. Historically, this is what traders would look for as capitulation. Unfortunately, these are extremely unusual times and history books are of little use.

Here were the unofficial closing bell levels:

  • DJIA 9,245.76 -201.35 -2.13%
  • S&P500 983.96 -12.27 -1.23%
  • NASDAQ 1,740.33 -14.55 -0.83%
  • 10YR T-Note 3.713% (+0.207%)
  • 52-week lows (major list)

Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) sold its 455 million shares secondary offering at $22.00, yet selling took shares down to under $20.00 early in the day. Shares were down almost 8% at $21.95 right before the close.

Continue reading Closing Bell: Volatility & exhaustion (BAC, MET, YRCW, AA, GM)

Company nicknames: Roadway is on the road and in the way

This post is one in a series on prominent company nicknames. See all 25, and share your thoughts and memories about Roadway below in the comments.

Once or twice a year, the family and I take a long, cross-country drive to one vacation spot or another. So when I heard that that the nickname of the freight hauler Roadway Express was "always on the Road and in the Way," I knew exactly what that meant. It never seems to fail: just as I'm about to catch up to a semi truck, it suddenly swings over into my lane, the passing lane, and then spends the next five to ten miles inching past a very slightly slower truck. In the meantime, I get a nice close-up view of the Yosemite Sam mud flaps, while impatient traffic builds up behind me.

According to their website, Roadway Express, now a division of YRC Worldwide Inc. (NASDAQ: YRCW) has been on the road and in the way since it was founded in 1930 by a pair of brothers hauling freight between Akron, Ohio, and St. Louis, Missouri. By the end of its first decade, it had offices in 22 cities and operating revenues of more than a million dollars. After the Interstate system was established, that expanded to 65 cities and more than $40 million in operating revenue from nearly 1,000 trucks. The company celebrated its 75th anniversary in 2005, and now delivers to all 50 states, Puerto Rico, Canada, and Mexico with more than 8,500 trucks.

Continue reading Company nicknames: Roadway is on the road and in the way

Analyst upgrades: Comcast, Time Warner Cable, YRC Worldwide, Syniverse

MOST NOTEWORTHY: Comcast, Time Warner Cable, YRC Worldwide and Syniverse were today's noteworthy upgrades:

  • Soleil upgraded shares of Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA) and Time Warner Cable (NYSE: TWC) to Buy from Hold on improving fundamentals, as they believe the economic stimulus package should drive consumer demand in 2H08.
  • Stephens upgraded shares of YRC Worldwide (NASDAQ: YRCW) to Overweight from Underweight as they believe management is making meaningful changes.
  • Syniverse (NYSE: SVR) was raised to Overweight from Neutral at JP Morgan. The firm upgraded shares based on accelerating organic growth from consumer wireless data usage.

OTHER UPGRADES:

YRC Worldwide is ready for the long haul

YRC Worldwide (Nasdaq: YRCW) is the largest U.S. operator of motor carriers that offer less-than-truckload freight services.

Just because a sector is down doesn't mean that there aren't opportunities within the business category. Trucking transport has been a sector under pressure, and with the above in mind, YRC Worldwide is worth a review.

Analysts expect road freight sector conditions to improve gradually in 2008, with a slight revenue increase for YRCW, on mild tonnage gains and some pricing power. Margins should also improve in 2008.

Longer term, analysts expect YRCW to improve operational performance via ongoing efforts to rightsize its fleet and eliminate operational overlaps. The Reuters F2008/F2009 EPS consensus estimates for YRCW are $1.64/$2.42.

To be sure, YRCW's stock carries considerable risk, but the argument here is that improved operations and a pull-back in average oil prices for 2008 to the 'low' $75-80-level will provide enough tailwind to improve bottom-line results. Those facts, combined with a p/e of 8 make the YRCW risk/return favorable.

The risks? A U.S. recession would (obviously) hurt YRCW's results. Analysts also have an eye on the company's pension costs.

The First Call mean rating for YRCW is: Hold. [13 firms.] Mean 2008 target: $18.00. [high: $25, low: $15.]

Stock Analysis: YRC Worldwide is a moderate-risk stock not suitable for low-risk investors. Investors with an investment horizon longer than 2 years should be rewarded from YRCW's shares. Sell / Stop Loss if you were to purchase shares in this company: $8.

Disclosure: Lazzaro has no positions in stocks. In addition to private real estate holdings, he owns corporate and municipal bonds, and cash certificates of deposit.

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Symbol Lookup
IndexesChangePrice
DJIA-89.2312,801.23
NASDAQ-23.352,903.88
S&P 500-9.311,342.64

Last updated: February 10, 2012: 11:34 PM

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